Renegades Team

Renegades Team

The Renegades Writers combine passion for the game, with a lack of editorial oversight. When they aren't next to the water cooler bitching about that try assist the stats guys missed, they are churning out sports articles that have been widely touted as "readable".

Wednesday, 14 January 2015 11:00

RFS preview: 2RF rookies and returning players

After a few massive articles to cover the 2RF guns, mid-rangers and cheapies we have a much more manageable group; the 2RF rookies and other player that didn't play in 2015. This group feels too small, and there are no doubts that other 2RF rookies will emerge out of the woodwork as the season progresses, it happens every year.

Note: Since this series of articles started the first fantasy prices of 2015 have been announced. They appear to represent a 16% increase in player value while the salary cap, if they continue to match it with the actual NRL salary cap, will see just a 4% increase in value. That means it will be harder to build a team of guns in 2015 than it was in 2014. This will be a response to complaints in 2014 when the cap went up higher than player values did. It's a good thing, it makes for more differentiation and increases the importance of developing a good team rather than just starting with one. 

If you need to know a players actual price then you can find them at this link. Most of the players in this article are rookies and will come in at $128,000.

Adam Tuimavave-Gerrard

2015 Team

Dragons

Position

2RF

Bye weeks

11, 14

Price (2014 values)

128,000

Tuimavave-Gerrard was a understated signing for the Dragons this year, but he may be a player with a big future. With the ability to play both centre and in the backrow, Adam plied his trade with the Warriors Holden Cup and NSW Cup sides last year and also featured in the Junior Kiwi’s side at the end of the season. He will have to prove himself in the NSW Cup before forcing his way into a packed back row rotation.

 

Marvin Filipo

2015 Team

Knights

Position

2RF

Bye weeks

14, 17

Price

128,000

Marvin has been a part of the Knights for some time now, despite a short stint in France. He returned to the Knights in late 2014 and played out the entirety of his season in the NSW Cup. A second rower by trade, there is little chance that he will gain many if any minutes in 2015, given Newcastle's current abundance of back row talent.

 

Luke Bateman

2015 Team

Raiders

Position

2RF

Bye weeks

14, 17

Price

128,000

Luke Bateman has showed plenty of promise in the junior ranks, looking like a carbon copy of Shaun Fensom. He is also a f*cking gay c*nt, although the only verification of this fact came from the mouth of an irrational Matthew Lodge, so take that as you will. It is unlikely that we will see Bateman early in the season, but don’t forget his coach is Ricky Stuart, so don’t be surprised to see him play the last five games to ruin his 2016 cash cow potential.

 

Jack Siejka

2015 Team

Roosters

Position

2RF

Bye weeks

11, 17

Price

128,000

Because he is white, blonde, plays second row and has a name I can’t spell right I’m just going to assume Siejka is the spawn of the Black Widow Mitch Aubusson.

 

Abraham Papalii

2015 Team

Roosters

Position

2RF

Bye weeks

11, 17

Price

128,000

The Warriors junior joined the Roosters on a two year deal. The prop/second rower could be a chance to nab a bench spot following the shake-up to the Roosters forward pack with the departures of SBW and FPN.

 

Lagi Setu

2015 Team

Roosters

Position

2RF

Bye weeks

11, 17

Price

137,000

Setu is a journeyman who has had stints at the Dragons, Broncos, Storm and Raiders, playing 71 first grade games. He didn’t make any appearances for the Raiders last season despite them being terrible so it seems unlikely he’ll be in the forward pack rotation for a team like the Roosters.

 

Lachlan Burr 

2015 Team

Titans

Position

2RF

Bye weeks

11, 17

Price

128,000

Burr played a solitary game for the Bulldogs in 2013 but failed to add to that tally in 2014. He moves to the Titans in search of greater opportunities which he might find considering he’ll no longer be backing up players of the quality of James Graham, Aiden Tolman and David Klemmer.

 

Salesi Funaki

2015 Team

Tigers

Position

2RF

Bye weeks

12, 18

Price

128,000

With the Tigers’ second row stocks being what they are don’t be surprised to see Funaki get a run at some point. He’ll turn 20 during the season and is already a big guy capable of breaking tackles and slipping offloads.

 

Lamar Liolevave

2015 Team

Tigers

Position

2RF

Bye weeks

12, 18

Price

128,000

Liolevave is a young second rower who could be in a good position to make an impact in 2015. He has been part of the Junior Kiwis set-up and received a two year contract extension in December 2014 which signifies a certain level of confidence. Courtesy of RLW “Liolevave scored 10 tries, gained six try-assists and 15 linebreaks on the left edge for the Tigers NYC team in 2014. He also averaged 22.5 tackles per game plus 109 metres per game.” That’s a pretty interesting fantasy player if he gets a decent run.

 

Ryan Simpkins

2015 Team

Titans

Position

2RF

Bye weeks

11, 17

Price

204,000

Simpkins played 27 games for the Panthers in 2012 and 2013 but didn’t suit up once in the top grade in 2014 despite the Panthers horrific injury toll. That did give him the opportunity to make the NSW Cup team of the year. Will probably see some time during Origin.

 

David Bhana

2015 Team

Warriors

Position

2RF

Bye weeks

11, 17

Price

128,000

Bhana is a great role model for young league players, he managed to get a Bachelor of Science while playing for the Junior Warriors and he gives 100% every weekend. The Warriors have a lot of talented back rowers but Bhana must be close to making his NRL debut, if he gets the minutes he’ll be a tackling machine cash cow.

Saturday, 17 January 2015 11:00

RFS Preview: 2RF cheapies

The cheap 2RF players are the guys that'll fill your bench and probably even be counted on to score early in the season too, so you need to get them right. Thankfully RFS are here to help.

Note: Since this series of articles started the first fantasy prices of 2015 have been announced. They appear to represent a 16% increase in player value while the salary cap, if they continue to match it with the actual NRL salary cap, will see just a 4% increase in value. That means it will be harder to build a team of guns in 2015 than it was in 2014. This will be a response to complaints in 2014 when the cap went up higher than player values did. It's a good thing, it makes for more differentiation and increases the importance of developing a good team rather than just starting with one. 

Joel Edwards

2015 Team

Raiders

Position

2RF

Games played

20

Ave Minutes

55

Fantasy average

26.35

PPM

0.48

Consistency

0.51

Price

233,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14,17

Not since Michael Neil was suiting up for the Magpies, Tigers and Steelers in the 1980’s and 90’s has a fiery red head captured the imaginations of a population like Joel Edwards. Sure Keith Galloway has the attention of Phil Gould but he’s yesterday’s man, the cool kids favour Joel Edwards now. Despite that status he’s not an option for your fantasy side because Ricky Stuart has no idea how many minutes he should be playing, it could be 26, it might be 80 or 47 or 68. Nobody knows.

 

Patrick O’Hanlon

2015 Team

Bulldogs

Position

2RF

Games played

11

Ave Minutes

28

Fantasy average

26.00

PPM

0.92

Consistency

0.45

Price

230,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

12, 17

O’Hanlon’s broken ankle was a contender for the prestigious "I don’t need to watch that again" injury of 2014. The diagnosis was compound fracture and ankle dislocation and he’s likely to spend a very big chunk of 2015 on the sidelines. Devastating news for a 23 year old trying to make his way in the NRL.

 

Kyle O’Donnell

2015 Team

Raiders

Position

2RF

Games played

5

Ave Minutes

28

Fantasy average

25.60

PPM

0.92

Consistency

0.40

Price

193,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14,17

O’Donnell rode Ricky Stuart’s in and out of the side rollercoaster in 2014 with just two of his five games coming in consecutive weeks. He worked really hard with the minutes he got, racking up a tackle every one and a half minutes he was on the field. Might be an interesting player in an expanded role but you’d need to collect more evidence.

 

Frank-Paul Nu’uausala

2015 Team

Raiders

Position

2RF

Games played

23

Ave Minutes

41

Fantasy average

24.96

PPM

0.60

Consistency

0.34

Price

221,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

14,17

After 153 first grade games and one premiership Nu’uausala leaves the Roosters for the Raiders in 2015. He’s more help to the Raiders on the field than he is to your fantasy team. He’ll be a useful addition while the Raiders wait for Shaun Fensom to come back from injury although he only plays half the minutes of Fensom.

 

Paul Carter

2015 Team

Out of NRL

Position

HOK/2RF

Games played

21

Ave Minutes

45

Fantasy average

24.48

PPM

0.54

Consistency

0.50

Price

183,571

Origin

Medium

Bye weeks

#N/A

Carter’s missed tackle percentage of 16% puts him second in the list of forwards with more than 200 tackles (James Gavet is first with 19%). This is an unflattering stat but it is part of what makes Carter a decent prospect, he is a big effort player but he sometimes makes too much effort getting to a player that he doesn’t have much chance to tackle and being on the smallish side doesn’t help either. I’m not quite sure what to make of Paul Carter as a fantasy prospect but he’ll need to improve his PPM or his minutes or both quite a lot to be viable. Oh yeah, all this is irrelevant because the idiot got sacked for drink driving.

 

Glenn Stewart

2015 Team

Rabbitohs

Position

2RF

Games played

6

Ave Minutes

61

Fantasy average

25.83

PPM

0.42

Consistency

0.53

Price

201,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

15, 18

Stewart suited up for just six games in his last season at Manly and joins the Rabbitohs with the unenviable task of replacing the great Sam Burgess. Stewart’s price is likely to be appealing but he’s not the tackling work horse he used to be and has a PPM of just 0.42 which is not very good. Regardless of what I’ve just said there will be people around who think he’s a bargain.

 

Jason Clark

2015 Team

Rabbitohs

Position

2RF/HOK

Games played

19

Ave Minutes

35

Fantasy average

25.37

PPM

0.72

Consistency

0.47

Price

225,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

15, 18

Clark is a specialist interchange player who has just five starts in 92 first grade appearances. The belies the fact that he is a good player who would be capable of greater things if the opportunity was ever to present itself. That opportunity probably won’t present itself at Souths which is a shame because he’ll be 28 before he finishes his next contract.

 

Sauaso Sue

2015 Team

Tigers

Position

2RF

Games played

18

Ave Minutes

39

Fantasy average

24.61

PPM

0.64

Consistency

0.37

Price

218,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

12, 18

Sue was one of our favourite cash cows of 2013 but he did almost nothing in 2014. Even in the injury hit Tigers he struggled to get much game time, averaging just 39 minutes a game in his 18 appearances. He’ll be battling with a plethora of average players for one of two available second row spots but even if he gets one he probably caps out at around $250k.

 

Dene Halatau

2015 Team

Tigers

Position

2RF

Games played

7

Ave Minutes

60

Fantasy average

22.86

PPM

0.38

Consistency

0.71

Price

184,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

12, 18

Halatau made it into a lot of fantasy teams in 2014 because he was so cheap after a concussion induced -1 in his first appearance. He didn’t offer a whole lot but when you remove that -1 he averaged 27 points in his other six games which could have been quite handy if you were struggling to field 17 healthy players. With the Tigers’ second row stocks looking weaker than Tim Moltzen’s bones and ligaments Halatau could be in the mix to start at lock but remember he’s not a workhorse defender so his fantasy ceiling is low.

 

David Stagg

2015 Team

Broncos

Position

2RF

Games played

4

Ave Minutes

35

Fantasy average

24.25

PPM

0.70

Consistency

0.41

Price

176,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14, 17

Stagg was a fantasy gun in the good ol’ days, when a fantasy team was packed with as many no nonsense, 80-minute second rowers as possible. Now he is predominantly Origin cover in the Broncs pack. Under no circumstances should Stagg be in your team.

 

Jesse Sene Lefao

2015 Team

Sea Eagles

Position

2RF

Games played

23

Ave Minutes

32

Fantasy average

24.39

PPM

0.75

Consistency

0.39

Price

216,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

At the start of 2014 JSL was a cautionary tale about the risk associated with a rookie player named on the bench in round 1, he ended up playing just two minutes for three fantasy points in that game and was never heard from again. But during 2014 JSL emerged as a viable real life player and one that even had some fantasy usefulness. JSL played all of his 23 games off the interchange and from round 12 established a role as a 30-40 minute player that would tackle everything that moved. The Sea Eagles thought enough of him that they re-signed him for a further two years so he could be part of filling the hole left by Anthony Watmough but the signing of Feleti Mateo provide competition while Dunamis Lui and Tom Symonds were always preferred ahead of JSL in Watmough’s absence last year. Worth monitoring for fantasy purposes as with expanded minutes he could be a viable mid-range cash cow but that competition makes him high risk.

 

Sione Lousi

2015 Team

Warriors

Position

2RF

Games played

11

Ave Minutes

37

Fantasy average

25.00

PPM

0.67

Consistency

0.30

Price

221,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 17

A popular figure with coaching staff at the Warriors, he provides frustration and despair for fans and fantasy owners alike. Having the massive frame and big gangly arms, he looks like Tarzan yet often plays like Jane. In a make or break season Sione will be another that will fight for a bench position and need to make the most of his chances when they come along. If he played to the potential he has, would be a handy pick up for fantasy owners.

 

Frank Pritchard

2015 Team

Bulldogs

Position

2RF

Games played

6

Ave Minutes

39

Fantasy average

18.50

PPM

0.47

Consistency

0.59

Price

144,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

12, 17

Pritchard missed most of the season with a torn pectoral muscle but he was back for the Bulldogs Grand Final run. In the six games he did play Frank the Tank averaged 18.5 points after averaging 27.5 the year before. That might give just a touch of optimism he can make $80k but there will probably end up being better options about.

 

Joseph Tapine

2015 Team

Knights

Position

2RF

Games played

7

Ave Minutes

25

Fantasy average

20.57

PPM

0.83

Consistency

0.51

Price

166,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14, 17

Joseph Tapine impressed in the little time the young talent was given in 2014, and is considered one of the rising talents at the club. A second rower by trade, it's unlikely that 2015 will be the year he's given the minutes needed to establish himself as a regular first grader but rest assured that Tapine is one to watch out for in the next few years.

 

John Asiata

2015 Team

Knights

Position

2RF

Games played

6

Ave Minutes

33

Fantasy average

20.83

PPM

0.63

Consistency

0.43

Price

162,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14, 17

Asiata has only played 6 games in the top grade, with limited minute and opportunities. He did produce a solid PPM of 0.63, and predominantly did that through base stats. If he gets minutes, he could be a great fantasy player.

 

 

Cody Nelson

2015 Team

Eels

Position

2RF

Games played

8

Ave Minutes

45

Fantasy average

22.00

PPM

0.49

Consistency

0.42

Price

183,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

15, 18

Nelson’s debut with the Titans was a long time coming. He originally signed with the club as a 16 year-old but had to wait nine years before he made his first grade debut. Now at Parramatta he will probably struggle to crack the first grade line-up without some assistance from injuries but if he does you can be sure he’ll work hard.

 

James Hasson

2015 Team

Sea Eagles

Position

2RF

Games played

17

Ave Minutes

19

Fantasy average

13.53

PPM

0.73

Consistency

0.34

Price

137,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

Hasson played 17 games in 2014 but he only received garbage minutes averaging under 20 minutes per game which placed him behind only Jarrod Wallace for the lowest average minutes per game for players with over ten games. Will struggle to justify that sort of role in 2015.

 

Todd Lowrie

2015 Team

Broncos

Position

2RF

Games played

18

Ave Minutes

27

Fantasy average

16.56

PPM

0.61

Consistency

0.54

Price

147,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14, 17

Todd Lowrie has a reputation as a tackle machine, which is amazing considering how many he misses. He is simply unable to bust a tackle as he weighs 60kg and looks like he’s running in treacle. Don’t be fooled, Lowrie will play very few minutes in 2015, except as cover during Origin, and when he does he’ll probably get knocked out.

 

John Palavi

2015 Team

Warriors

Position

2RF

Games played

2

Ave Minutes

26

Fantasy average

18.00

PPM

0.71

Consistency

0.47

Price

144,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 17

After a successful NYC career the transition to NRL has proved harder than hoped for. Named in round 1 he proved to be a ghost cow. Playing just two games and getting 51 minutes, he may be coming to the realisation that continuing his medical studies might have been a better option. Will have to prove himself in NSW Cup and hope for injuries to get another crack.

 

Sitaleki Akauola

2015 Team

Tigers

Position

2RF

Games played

10

Ave Minutes

55

Fantasy average

17.30

PPM

0.32

Consistency

0.55

Price

153,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

12, 18

Last season Akauola played front row, second row, interchange and during the worst of the Tigers’ injury crisis he played on the wing. As a fantasy player he was most successful as a wing though by successful I mean that comparatively as he still averaged a paltry 24 but compared to 18 points in the second row, 8.5 on the interchange and 6 at prop 24 is a fantasy bonanza. Some speculation he will be a starting second rower for the Tigers. In related news the Tigers are really weak in the second row.

 

Brenden Santi

2015 Team

Tigers

Position

2RF

Games played

1

Ave Minutes

18

Fantasy average

8.00

PPM

0.44

Consistency

N/A

Price

136,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

12, 18

Santi was released to the Tigers at mid-season from the Eels. The Eels seemed to find serviceable second rowers under the cushions so dumping one on the Tigers made sense. Could be a nice smokey to nab the vacant lock position as he comes with decent wraps and is a hard working tackler, a trait not commonly exhibited by Tigers’ second rowers since Liam Fulton roamed the field. He’s definitely a prospect to monitor in the pre-season.

 

Corey Oates

2015 Team

Broncos

Position

2RF

Games played

20

Ave Minutes

28

Fantasy average

17.60

PPM

0.64

Consistency

0.82

Price

164,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14, 17

Oates is a genuine utility, able to play in all positions except the spine. As such, he should not be in your team. If he locked down a starting second row spot, maybe he is viable.

 

Matt Robinson

2015 Team

Titans

Position

2RF

Games played

7

Ave Minutes

52

Fantasy average

19.86

PPM

0.38

Consistency

0.33

Price

160,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 17

Robinson has escaped the second row clutter at the Panthers to join the Titans. He comes very cheaply but it is unclear how he fits in at the Titans either.

 

Sika Manu

2015 Team

Panthers

Position

2RF

Games played

21

Ave Minutes

45

Fantasy average

22.19

PPM

0.49

Consistency

0.29

Price

196,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 14

Manu’s move from the Storm to the Panthers has not been a stellar success and it would not be a surprise to see the former Kiwi international squeezed out by the plethora of resources available to Ivan Cleary. For fantasy purposes he’s cheap but he doesn’t offer a whole lot of returns.

 

Ben Murdoch-Masila

2015 Team

Panthers

Position

FRF/2RF

Games played

4

Ave Minutes

24

Fantasy average

17.50

PPM

0.74

Consistency

0.24

Price

142,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

Fantasy players love abbreviating names, it saves us time and the time of fantasy players is incredibly valuable. Ben Murdoch-Masila abbreviates as BMM. Now that you know that you know more than enough about BMM, he’s not going near your team this season.

 

Kelepi Tanginoa

2015 Team

Cowboys

Position

2RF

Games played

4

Ave Minutes

20

Fantasy average

9.75

PPM

0.48

Consistency

0.76

Price

136,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14, 17

Tanginoa joins the Cowboys from the Eels, where he had very few opportunities. He is capable of being a tackle breaking, try scoring back rower, and has been compared to Taumalolo. Basically, if he can get minutes on the park he’ll be a fantasy gun, but at 20 years old, he could struggle to get said minutes in the Cows’ experienced pack.

 

Clint Newton

2015 Team

Knights

Position

2RF

Games played

2

Ave Minutes

35

Fantasy average

23.50

PPM

0.68

Consistency

0.15

Price

158,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14, 17

Clint Newton is entering what should be his final season in the NRL. Even last season, Newton was used extremely sparingly by Newcastle, and most likely won't play any minutes at all in season 2015. You shouldn't even be considering placing Newton in your fantasy squad at any point.

 

Willis Meehan

2015 Team

Roosters

Position

2RF

Games played

1

Ave Minutes

28

Fantasy average

17.00

PPM

0.61

Consistency

N/A

Price

142,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 17

There are a lot of professional football/boxers but Willis Meehan is probably the most legit of the lot. The 19 year-old made both his NRL and professional boxing debuts in 2014, while also being selected to the Holden Cup team of the year, and he has the right sort of tools to be successful at both. He’s massive, tipping the scales at over 115 kg and is an outside chance to snag an interchange role.

 

Michael Chee Kam

2015 Team

Sea Eagles

Position

2RF/CTR

Games played

1

Ave Minutes

9

Fantasy average

6.00

PPM

0.67

Consistency

N/A

Price

136,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

MCK was finally confirmed to be an actual, real person when he stepped on to the field for nine minutes against the Cowboys in round 26. Injuries have been a large contributor to him not being the player the fantasy community expected but he is still only 22 and will find inspiration in what Jesse Sene Lefao managed in 2014. MCK will be an outside shot for the vacant second row berth but if he grabs it he is in your fantasy team.

 

Friday, 16 January 2015 11:00

RFS preview: 2RF mid-rangers

The 2RF mid-rangers is a huge group of players so expect to set some time aside to read this article. It is a really important group to get right because there are likely one or two players here capable of averaging over 45 fantasy points a game.

Note: Since this series of articles started the first fantasy prices of 2015 have been announced. They appear to represent a 16% increase in player value while the salary cap, if they continue to match it with the actual NRL salary cap, will see just a 4% increase in value. That means it will be harder to build a team of guns in 2015 than it was in 2014. This will be a response to complaints in 2014 when the cap went up higher than player values did. It's a good thing, it makes for more differentiation and increases the importance of developing a good team rather than just starting with one. 

If you have missed any articles in the series you can find the links here.

Greg Bird

2015 Team

Titans

Position

2RF

Games played

17

Ave Minutes

75

Fantasy average

37.65

PPM

0.50

Consistency

0.40

Price (2014 values)

333,000

Origin

Certain

Bye weeks

11, 17

What to say about the long and controversial career of Greg Bird? Inappropriate text messages were once sent from Bird’s phone to Lara Bingle. It’s just a shame for Bird that his youth pre-dated tinder because he would have done well on tinder. For fantasy purposes what you see is what you get, Bird has been valued between $250k and $300k for an eternity now, 2015 will be no different.

 

Nate Myles

2015 Team

Titans

Position

FRF/2RF

Games played

18

Ave Minutes

54

Fantasy average

37.06

PPM

0.68

Consistency

0.35

Price

328,000

Origin

Certain

Bye weeks

11, 17

Myles’ acting efforts alongside Paul Gallen was one of the highlights of 2014. He was dynamic, believable and all man. Hopefully it was an ad campaign that was effective. Myles has limited upside as a fantasy player and he will be a lock for the Maroons but if you have some self-imposed rules that your fantasy team can only feature players with facial hair then Nate Myles is your captain.

 

Kevin Proctor

2015 Team

Storm

Position

2RF

Games played

24

Ave Minutes

60

Fantasy average

38.38

PPM

0.64

Consistency

0.27

Price

340,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 17

With Ryan Hoffman departing to the Warriors the Storm will need to work out how to replace his 77 minutes per game. There will be scope for increases to Kevin Proctor (60 minutes), Ryan Hinchcliffe (53 minutes) and Tohu Harris (52 minutes) and the addition of Dale Finucane will take some too but it feels like someone will be close to an 80 minute player. Proctor’s fantasy appeal probably isn’t much better with increased minutes as his PPM has a general decline the more minutes he plays, when he plays more than 70 minutes his PPM dropped right down to 0.55.

 

Ryan Hinchcliffe

2015 Team

Storm

Position

HOK/2RF

Games played

24

Ave Minutes

53

Fantasy average

38.17

PPM

0.71

Consistency

0.24

Price

338,000

Origin

Medium

Bye weeks

11, 17

Hinchcliffe will likely start the season at hooker with Cameron Smith out injured. He had five starts at hooker last year and averaged just 34.6. In 2014 Hinchcliffe had a PPM of 0.71 while averaging 53 minutes per game and although he might be in line for more minutes following Ryan Hoffman’s departure he was definitively less effective in greater minutes with a PPM of 0.62 in games in which he played more than 60 minutes.

 

Tyson Frizell

2015 Team

Dragons

Position

2RF

Games played

15

Ave Minutes

42

Fantasy average

34.07

PPM

0.82

Consistency

0.44

Price

302,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

The Dragons have high hopes for the Welsh international, contracted up to and including the 2018 season with the club. Another player who was forced to play out of position last year, the hard working second rower suffered as a result of the clubs lack of front rowers, playing half of his 16 games there.

 

Scott Bolton

2015 Team

Cowboys

Position

2RF

Games played

24

Ave Minutes

37

Fantasy average

27.83

PPM

0.75

Consistency

0.31

Price

246,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14, 17

Like many a forward, Bolton could be a great fantasy player but he never seems to get the minutes to make him viable. Every year an injury seems to remind people about Bolton and he becomes the flavor of the month. But then, he gets the same minutes as always and everyone who bought him looks a bit stupid. Expect the same again this year.

 

David Taylor

2015 Team

Titans

Position

2RF

Games played

19

Ave Minutes

64

Fantasy average

34.00

PPM

0.53

Consistency

0.40

Price

301,000

Origin

Moderate

Bye weeks

11, 17

On a number of levels Dave Taylor is one of the largest disappointments in league. He shows us all this potential but the next week he can’t bust through a man half his size, he is a non-entity at rep level and most important of all he steals our fantasy souls. Considering his ability it is criminal that Taylor ranked just 73rd in tackle breaks on the year. His average fantasy points at each position are worth noting; second row 33.62, interchange 31 and centre 36.75. So he’s a better fantasy scorer at centre at an average that would have put him as the 15th best centre. Worth thinking about, but not too hard.

 

Ben Ridge

2015 Team

Titans

Position

2RF

Games played

5

Ave Minutes

45

Fantasy average

30.40

PPM

0.67

Consistency

0.36

Price

229,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 17

Ridge debuted in 2010 and played four games that season, in 2011 he made 11 appearances and in 2012 and 2013 he made 17 in each. However, 2014 saw him make just five appearances with injuries once again stalling his development. Five games is a pretty small sample size but it is interesting to note that Ridge had 152 fantasy points and 137 tackles so it is pretty obvious where he does his scoring.

 

Chris Heighington

2015 Team

Sharks

Position

2RF

Games played

19

Ave Minutes

49

Fantasy average

39.89

PPM

0.81

Consistency

0.26

Price

353,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

Heighington could be a fantasy gun if he had the right opportunity but he’s stuck behind big minutes players at the Sharks and even when they were all injured he seemed to lack opportunities. He had a very good PPM in 2014 that showed no signs of dropping when he played greater minutes but he’ll struggle to see enough minutes to justify that starting price.

 

Tinirau Arona

2015 Team

Sharks

Position

FRF/2RF

Games played

21

Ave Minutes

55

Fantasy average

38.52

PPM

0.70

Consistency

0.33

Price

341,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

Arona was one of 2014’s best cash cows. He came into the Sharks round one side as a late change to the Sharks’ second row so most people missed his week one performance but they were rewarded for trading him in as he averaged 42 over his next ten games and peaking at $279k. He wasn’t so good over his final ten games averaging 33 as he struggled to get big minutes, expect something similar or even less if the Sharks forwards are at full strength.

 

Ryan Hoffman

2015 Team

Warriors

Position

2RF

Games played

23

Ave Minutes

77

Fantasy average

33.39

PPM

0.43

Consistency

0.29

Price

295,000

Origin

High

Bye weeks

11, 17

A great signing for the Warriors, adding experience and professionalism. Let’s hope he’s better than the last player the Warriors recruited from Melbourne. Hoffman averaged a mediocre 33.4 last year. It is unlikely that this will increase even with opportunities to make a few extra tackles and steal minutes off other potential options at the Warriors.  Fantasy owners should give him the wide berth.

 

Beau Scott

2015 Team

Knights

Position

2RF

Games played

20

Ave Minutes

76

Fantasy average

39.85

PPM

0.53

Consistency

0.24

Price

353,000

Origin

High

Bye weeks

14, 17

Beau Scott had a fantastic 2014 season on the field in an otherwise failing Newcastle outfit. He managed to post a number of scores in the mid 40's, however it is not advised to pick him up in your fantasy squad for 2015. While he will most likely be playing big minutes, there's a huge chance that he'll make the Blues squad again and miss out on a few games over the origin period.

 

Tohu Harris

2015 Team

Storm

Position

2RF

Games played

24

Ave Minutes

52

Fantasy average

34.00

PPM

0.65

Consistency

0.32

Price

301,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 17

Mid-range alert! Harris will come into the season priced around $255k but he could offer substantially more output than that price would indicate. He’ll probably be a starter in 2015 and the evidence from the past two years would indicate he is substantially better as a starter. Last year he started four games in the second row and returned scores of 50, 62, 36 and 51 with a further two games at lock where he scored 33 and 39. That 45 point average as a starter is 15 points higher than what he was doing from the bench. The only caution is the off-season addition of Dale Finucane who could eat up minutes.

 

Tyrone Peachey

2015 Team

Panthers

Position

2RF

Games played

14

Ave Minutes

56

Fantasy average

35.71

PPM

0.64

Consistency

0.58

Price

316,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

For two weeks during the bye period Tyrone Peachey was the hottest fantasy player in the NRL. He reeled off 82 against the Eels and then the next week hit a 77 against the Titans. However, when you take out those two weeks Peachey’s average dips from 35.7 down to 28.4. To some extent that is an unfair way to measure a boom or bust player like Peachey but it does highlight that he is much more bust than he is boom.

 

Tariq Sims

2015 Team

Knights

Position

2RF

Games played

20

Ave Minutes

68

Fantasy average

42.15

PPM

0.62

Consistency

0.29

Price

373,000

Origin

Moderate

Bye weeks

14, 17

Tariq Sims will unfortunately start season 2015 on the sidelines due to a suspension he picked up in the 2014 finals series. Tariq Sims is a star signing for Newcastle and is all but assured of big minutes in what many would consider a weak Newcastle pack. Sims is one to watch out for in 2015 as he will be called upon to take charge and prove that he can be a leader in a Newcastle pack that will be saying goodbye to a few of its players come seasons end and in the next few years.

 

Alex Glenn

2015 Team

Broncos

Position

2RF

Games played

24

Ave Minutes

76

Fantasy average

38.17

PPM

0.50

Consistency

0.23

Price

338,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

14, 17

Glenn is super reliable, but has little upside. His occasional shifts to CTR make him fantasy poison. Added to this is the backrow conundrum of Parker v Thiaday v Gillett v Glenn. Buyer beware.

 

Ben Henry

2015 Team

Warriors

Position

2RF/CTR

Games played

16

Ave Minutes

70

Fantasy average

37.38

PPM

0.54

Consistency

0.57

Price

331,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 17

Will be dual position 2RF/CTR, however, he is also an international hooker (first tri-position fantasy player?). Henry will benefit from the departures of Mateo and Bukuya. Could be an 80 minute player but with team dynamics will range from 60-80 minutes, primarily in the second row. An ongoing concern with Ben Henry is injuries; he only managed 16 games last year and it wasn’t his first injury impacted year. A healthy Ben Henry could be one to watch carefully.

 

Bryce Cartwright

2015 Team

Panthers

Position

2RF

Games played

7

Ave Minutes

46

Fantasy average

35.86

PPM

0.79

Consistency

0.51

Price

289,000

Origin

Medium

Bye weeks

11, 14

Everybody knows that Cartwright is a gun in waiting but will that status be conferred in 2015? The big stumbling block is the depth in the Panthers second row. Cartwright will be battling with Elijah Taylor, Adam Docker, Tyrone Peachey, Lewis Brown, Isaah Yeo, Sika Manu and the newly acquired Tupou Sopoaga for minutes so something will have to give. Cartwright showed in 2014 that he doesn’t need a lot of minutes to be a fantasy contributor and even though it is a small sample size it is easy to see him average about 50 if he was to get 60 to 65 minutes a week, to do that he needs a 11, 12 or 13 on his back.

 

Joel Thompson

2015 Team

Dragons

Position

2RF

Games played

23

Ave Minutes

70

Fantasy average

35.35

PPM

0.51

Consistency

0.39

Price

313,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

The big hole-running backrower struggled in his first year at the club. After a poorly executed move to the centres by a desperate coach, Thompson moved back into his favoured left edge back row position and thrived under new coach Paul McGregor (hopefully this does enough to hold his DPP status for fantasy fans). ‘Mary’ will hope to see the performance from Thompson continue to trend upwards.

 

Joseph Paulo

2015 Team

Eels

Position

2RF

Games played

24

Ave Minutes

61

Fantasy average

36.60

PPM

0.60

Consistency

0.21

Price

324,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

15, 18

Paulo secured himself a two year extension with the Eels after a strong season for the Eels which was recognised with him being the Nations Player of the Year for the USA at the RLIF Player of the Year awards. Paulo was very consistent throughout the year and that was reflected in his fantasy scores with 23 of his 24 games falling between a points scoring range of 30 to 49. Paulo will likely join Watmough and Ma’u in the starting second row in 2015.

 

Jack De Belin

2015 Team

Dragons

Position

FRF/2RF

Games played

21

Ave Minutes

42

Fantasy average

35.52

PPM

0.85

Consistency

0.31

Price

314,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

De Belin, like Frizell, has been hurt by his ability to play any role in the forward pack over the past two years. The grandson of former Australian Kangaroo Fred and 2011Holden Cup player of the year at lock forward only played seven games in his preferred position last year. If Trent Merrin was to move back to prop, De Belin would shoot in fantasy relevancy with a very handy PPM of 0.85.

 

Chris Houston

2015 Team

Knights

Position

2RF

Games played

18

Ave Minutes

55

Fantasy average

37.33

PPM

0.67

Consistency

0.23

Price

330,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14, 17

Houston has been around for a long time now, as a former New South Wales 18th man he is one to keep an eye on. Houston's fantasy scoring has always been in the low-mid 40 range when given appropriate minutes but the likelihood of that happening is slim. Houston saw a lot of play off the bench in 2014, with Bennett preferring Rochow over him in the back row. Houston should only be considered if he finds a starting berth.

 

Matt Prior

2015 Team

Sharks

Position

2RF

Games played

10

Ave Minutes

58

Fantasy average

37.40

PPM

0.64

Consistency

0.23

Price

331,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

Prior should be a DPP FRF/2RF after finishing the year starting four games at prop. In a healthy Sharks line-up he’ll struggle to make any sort of impact but he’s serviceable.

 

Anthony Tupou

2015 Team

Sharks

Position

2RF

Games played

9

Ave Minutes

60

Fantasy average

37.22

PPM

0.62

Consistency

0.35

Price

320,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

Tupou once played for NSW and Australia but 2008 is a long time ago. In 2014 Tupou was just another Shark player to have a season ruined by injuries and ASADA. This is highlighted by the fact that the Sharks gun forwards (Fifita, Gallen, Lewis, Graham and Tupou) all appeared at the same time in just two games all season, not that they helped in those two games in which the Sharks were outscored by 73 points to 42. Tupou is long past his best but he still has value to the Sharks as a 60 minute player that’ll make a lot of tackles while not missing many.

 

Sebastine Ikhihifio

2015 Team

Warriors

Position

2RF

Games played

18

Ave Minutes

46

Fantasy average

26.72

PPM

0.59

Consistency

0.32

Price

236,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 17

Statistics often do not tell the full story. Sebastine’s very unflattering 0 tries, 0 try assists, 0 line breaks, and 6 offloads, mask the fact that his high work rate and bustling style will have him competing for the starting lock position. Unfortunately with the make up of the Warriors back row it’s more probable that he will have to make his impact from the bench and limited opportunities that arise through attrition in the season. Even if Sebastine was to get the starting roll, with his lack of output in key fantasy statistical columns he would still be a non factor for fantasy owners.

 

Mitchell Aubusson

2015 Team

Roosters

Position

2RF/CTR

Games played

23

Ave Minutes

55

Fantasy average

30.43

PPM

0.55

Consistency

0.54

Price

269,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 17

The black widow of thousands of fantasy teams, Aubusson has a knack for sucking the life from fantasy sides. He can promise much but his versatility makes him an incredibly inconsistent fantasy option. Aubusson’s consistency rating of 0.542 puts him in the company of wingers and centres (and Luke Brooks….), in fact for forwards that played more than 15 games the only player less consistent was Todd Lowrie. All of that sounds pretty bad but Aubusson would be a fantasy gun if he just played in the second row, he started four games there last season and averaged 53 while never scoring less than 46 points. The problem is can you count on him being locked in as SBW’s replacement in the second row even if he gets named there in round 1? I get the feeling Dylan Napa will probably emerge ahead of him at some point but I’m not Trent Robinson.

 

Jeremy Smith

2015 Team

Knights

Position

2RF

Games played

18

Ave Minutes

50

Fantasy average

31.67

PPM

0.63

Consistency

0.25

Price

280,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

14, 17

Jeremy Smith has proven time and time again that he's one of the toughest players on the rugby league field. Sadly, this doesn't always translate into fantasy scoring potential, as his is case. Smith spent much of season 2014 on the sidelines, and with his growing age is one to avoid when it comes to looking for fantasy talent.

 

Tepai Moeroa

2015 Team

Eels

Position

2RF

Games played

9

Ave Minutes

57

Fantasy average

31.33

PPM

0.55

Consistency

0.58

Price

269,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

15, 18

Moeroa managed to start seven games and added another two appearances from the bench in 2014. He is probably back to the bench in 2015 but nonetheless it was an impressive debut for the youngster who is still learning his craft after being a Australian schoolboys representative in Rugby Union. Moeroa hopes to put the shot in the 2016 Olympic Games.

 

Tupou Sopoaga

2015 Team

Panthers

Position

2RF

Games played

15

Ave Minutes

60

Fantasy average

32.13

PPM

0.54

Consistency

0.44

Price

284,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

Sopoaga joins the Panthers from the Sharks and will be part of second row interchange/reserve grade rotation. With Jason Bukuya returning to the Sharks he would have had the same sort of limited opportunities at Cronulla but he would have to play for the Sharks so the move is a no brainer. He’s the younger brother of Highlanders rugby union player Lima.

 

Dylan Napa

2015 Team

Roosters

Position

FRF/2RF

Games played

23

Ave Minutes

42

Fantasy average

29.48

PPM

0.69

Consistency

0.25

Price

261,000

Origin

Medium

Bye weeks

11, 17

Napa will continue his development in 2015 with a good chance he replaces SBW in the second row. Nobody will ever mistake him for SBW, he had five offloads all season whereas SBW had six in one game alone, but he has a fiery, aggressive streak to his game which is often associated with higher honours. As a fantasy player Napa had a stark decline in PPM playing more than 80 minutes, though it is a small sample size of just three games, so a starting role doesn’t confer gun status on him. He feels like a player that will max out at around 40 points a game due to his lack of attacking stats.

 

Ben Lowe

2015 Team

Rabbitohs

Position

2RF

Games played

17

Ave Minutes

41

Fantasy average

30.35

PPM

0.75

Consistency

0.49

Price

269,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

15, 18

Lowe is a valuable cog in the Rabbitohs machine. He is a limited ball player but a tackling machine who had a missed tackle rate of just 3% in 2014. Chris McQueen, John Sutton, Glenn Stewart and Kyle Turner will be the Rabbitohs first options at second row but Lowe will have an interchange role with the potential for the odd spot start when necessary.

 

Sione Masima

2015 Team

Rabbitohs

Position

2RF

Games played

3

Ave Minutes

38

Fantasy average

29.00

PPM

0.77

Consistency

0.18

Price

203,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

15, 18

Masima made an under the radar NRL debut for the hapless Sharks in 2014. He ended up playing the last three games of the season and actually looked pretty solid with the minutes he got. He can tackle, break tackles and offload which are useful traits in an interchange forward. He’s now stuck in a logjam at the Rabbitohs second row but don’t be shocked to see him get some game time at some point in the season.

 

Tony Williams

2015 Team

Bulldogs

Position

2RF

Games played

23

Ave Minutes

77

Fantasy average

37.70

PPM

0.49

Consistency

0.34

Price

334,000

Origin

High

Bye weeks

12, 17

The 1.92m, 118 kg T-Rex become the largest halfback in recorded history when he took the field in round 17. The next week he became the largest ever five-eighth. Sure he didn’t play the role in a traditional sense but he did manage 140 kick metres in that round 17 game so he did try. Williams play improved significantly after a lacklustre campaign in 2013, he was the leading forward with 82 tackle breaks and was 14th in offloads. He also scored three tries and though there was no official measurement my estimate is that none of them were longer than 5 metres.

 

Jayson Bukuya

2015 Team

Sharks

Position

2RF

Games played

18

Ave Minutes

60

Fantasy average

30.39

PPM

0.50

Consistency

0.41

Price

269,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

After a failed stint with the Warriors Bukuya returns to the Shire, where he’ll find the second row situation just as difficult to crack as he did last time round.  Bukuya’s minutes were all over the place with the Warriors, he played 80 minutes in five games but he also 30 minutes on three occasions. If he had stayed with the Sharks he would likely have been a useful fantasy player in 2014 but he’ll need injuries to clear the path in 2015.

 

Kyle Turner

2015 Team

Rabbitohs

Position

2RF/CTR

Games played

22

Ave Minutes

55

Fantasy average

28.86

PPM

0.53

Consistency

0.42

Price

255,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

15, 18

Turner has a concussion problem. A human being is not designed to suffer six concussions in the span of 365 days but that is what Kyle Turner has managed. The NRL’s concussion protocols introduced in 2014 are a major step in the right direction but it defies believe that Turner managed to rack up such a significant number of concussions in such a short period of time. Liam Fulton’s career ended after four concussions in six games, this was the only reaction to a problem with long term consequences. We can only hope that Turner can come to a similar decision should his issues persist in 2015.

 

Jarrad Kennedy

2015 Team

Raiders

Position

2RF

Games played

20

Ave Minutes

73

Fantasy average

32.75

PPM

0.45

Consistency

0.38

Price

290,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14,17

Kennedy established himself as a Ricky Stuart favourite in 2014, a bit of versatility has that effect on a coach. He ended up starting 18 games at second row, lock and centre while averaging 78.6 minutes a game. That makes him less appealing as a fantasy option because he has probably already reached his fantasy ceiling. He probably gets DPP status for those three games at centre.

 

Chris McQueen

2015 Team

Rabbitohs

Position

2RF

Games played

17

Ave Minutes

59

Fantasy average

28.59

PPM

0.48

Consistency

0.38

Price

253,000

Origin

High

Bye weeks

15, 18

McQueen spent most of the season as an impact player from the interchange bench after Kyle Turner nicked his spot. He’s probably back in the starting line-up following the departure of Ben Te’o although the Rabbits will also have Glenn Stewart to go with the returning John Sutton and Kyle Turner. His PPM of 0.48 is terrible and should tell you all you need to know about his fantasy prospects.

 

Tom Symonds

2015 Team

Sea Eagles

Position

2RF

Games played

18

Ave Minutes

53

Fantasy average

29.33

PPM

0.55

Consistency

0.48

Price

260,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

Tom Symonds will compete with Dunamis Lui, Jesse Sene-Lefao, Feleti Mateo and perhaps even the myth Michael Chee Kam for the opportunity to replace Anthony Watmough. Symonds got an extended audition at the end of 2014 and made a good impression making him the likely front runner at this early stage. His 29 point average is deflated by his time on the interchange, as a starter he averaged a touch over 37 points a game but that probably won’t be enough to make him a worthwhile fantasy mid ranger.

 

Isaah Yeo

2015 Team

Panthers

Position

2RF

Games played

10

Ave Minutes

66

Fantasy average

32.30

PPM

0.49

Consistency

0.35

Price

286,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

Yeo is the son of former 1990’s North Sydney and Balmain player Justin Yeo who must not have ever been in a rugby league card set because I have no recollection of him. Isaah will feature in a number of rugby league card sets because at just 20 he has a big future in front of him. Stuck in the Panthers logjam at second row he could also see some time at centre if injury hits Jamal Idris or Dean Whare.

 

Korbin Sims

2015 Team

Knights

Position

2RF

Games played

20

Ave Minutes

37

Fantasy average

27.90

PPM

0.75

Consistency

0.40

Price

247,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14, 17

The youngest of the Sims brothers, Korbin has a chance to stamp his mark on the Knight's squad in 2015. Newcastle are struggling for props, and with brother Tariq being suspended for the first few rounds Korbin has a chance to step up and prove that he's worthy of a first grade spot. While only playing small minutes under Bennett, Korbin showed he had a knack for big hits and finding the line. One to watch out for, probably not one to have in your starting team however.

 

Feleti Mateo

2015 Team

Sea Eagles

Position

2RF

Games played

19

Ave Minutes

40

Fantasy average

27.37

PPM

0.69

Consistency

0.40

Price

242,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

The enigmatic Mateo ended his tenure with the Warriors in incredibly disappointing fashion. Over his last three games he managed zero offloads, a trait which was once the hallmark of his game, while getting the sort of minutes reserved for George Rose and anonymous prospects. Now Mateo is with the Sea Eagles and joins the dark fight to replace Anthomy Watmough in the back row. At his best Mateo would have no issues beating out the likes of Tom Symonds or Dunamis Lui for a starting role but it has been a long time since Mateo has been at his best. If he does grab a starting role Mateo will be an interesting boom or bust mid-range prospect capable of defining or destroying a team’s early season efforts.

 

Justin Horo

2015 Team

Sea Eagles

Position

2RF

Games played

21

Ave Minutes

71

Fantasy average

27.14

PPM

0.38

Consistency

0.36

Price

240,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 14

Horo had the lowest fantasy points per minute for all second rowers who played more than 15 games. Horo achieves this by having minimal attacking game, not being an active defender and missing too many tackles (sixth in missed tackle percentage for qualifying second rowers). In a season that will see a lot of transition in the Manly forward pack Horo’s place is safe for now but getting his signature for 2016 isn’t going to be a high priority for Manly’s new owners.

 

Glenn Hall

2015 Team

Cowboys

Position

2RF

Games played

22

Ave Minutes

34

Fantasy average

27.55

PPM

0.81

Consistency

0.38

Price

244,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14, 17

Like many a forward, Hall is a great fantasy player who never seems to get the minutes to make him viable. Every year an injury seems to remind people about Hall and he becomes the flavor of the month. But then, he gets the same minutes as always and everyone who bought him looks a bit stupid. Expect the same again this year.

 

Robbie Rochow

2015 Team

Knights

Position

2RF

Games played

24

Ave Minutes

77

Fantasy average

34.00

PPM

0.44

Consistency

0.31

Price

301,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14, 17

Robbie Rochow in 2013 was a solid consistent low 40's fantasy scorer while he played big minutes in the second row. In 2014, Rochow struggled to hang on to his starting position and found his minutes altering from game to game. If Rochow can establish himself as a starting second rower at the club (which is unlikely) then there may be some value in owning him at some point of the season.

 

Curtis Sironen

2015 Team

Tigers

Position

2RF

Games played

13

Ave Minutes

72

Fantasy average

27.00

PPM

0.38

Consistency

0.41

Price

239,00

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

12, 18

The Tigers’ second row is going to hold them back in 2015 unless they can work the same sort of magic on unheard of players that Parramatta did in 2014. Sironen is the only second rower you could consider to be bolted on and even then he could end up back at stand-off. It probably comes as a surprise to nobody that the Tigers had the worst missed tackle percentage in the league at 10.33%, Sironen’s missed tackle rate of 11.1% puts him near the top for worst rates of second rowers. If he wants to be a replacement for Liam Fulton he needs to tackle a lot better.

 

Luke Lewis

2015 Team

Sharks

Position

2RF

Games played

8

Ave Minutes

58

Fantasy average

28.00

PPM

0.48

Consistency

0.41

Price

233,000

Origin

High

Bye weeks

11, 14

Lewis is a starting second rower in the Kieran Foran all-star team. The Kieran Foran all-star team is a side of great players/crap fantasy players and looks a lot like the fantasy team picked by someone ranked outside the top 20,000 in fantasy or TDC 2014 team.

 

Greg Eastwood

2015 Team

Bulldogs

Position

2RF

Games played

20

Ave Minutes

51

Fantasy average

33.85

PPM

0.66

Consistency

0.23

Price

300,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

12, 17

Greg Eastwood’s 112 kg frame is almost small compared to some of the other behemoths in the Bulldogs forward pack, but he’s still a big unit and being a big unit limits the amount of minutes he sees. He averages about 51 minutes a game with a PPM that would only be useful if he was playing 80. He’s another member of the Kieran Foran all-stars (better real player than fantasy player).

 

Lewis Brown

2015 Team

Panthers

Position

2RF

Games played

20

Ave Minutes

57

Fantasy average

31.45

PPM

0.55

Consistency

0.26

Price

278,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 14

Lewis Brown cranks out seasons like 2014 on a routine basis now. Sometime starting, sometime on the bench, it doesn’t matter he’ll average in the low 30’s.

 

Pauli Pauli

2015 Team

Eels

Position

FRF/2RF

Games played

17

Ave Minutes

41

Fantasy average

26.82

PPM

0.65

Consistency

0.45

Price

237,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

15, 18

Pauli x2 turned into a very useful cash cow/contributor during the bye weeks averaging 39 points between round 10 and 18. For some unknown reason he just started making far more tackles per game than he had been despite only playing slightly more minutes. For people that like to deeply research their decisions this sort of unexplained turnaround is infuriating but so it goes. His role this season is most likely as a 40-50 minute impact player.

 

Leeson Ah Mau

2015 Team

Dragons

Position

FRF/2RF

Games played

23

Ave Minutes

66

Fantasy average

39.61

PPM

0.60

Consistency

0.31

Price

351,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

After a big outing in the Charity Shield prior to the season kicking off, Ah Mau made an appearance in a lot of fantasy sides. The big bustling back rower has the ability to hit holes and break tackles for the occasional try. His one-on-one defence became a big worry though, with the big man targeted out wide by opposition halves and fullbacks closer to his own try line. The competition for backrow spots will heat up next year, with the incumbent no sure thing to hold his own down.

 

Dale Finucane

2015 Team

Storm

Position

2RF

Games played

23

Ave Minutes

41

Fantasy average

32.35

PPM

0.78

Consistency

0.32

Price (

286,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 17

Though it seems likely Finucane will increase in value you will have to be betting he becomes an 80 minute player to get the sort of price increases to justify owning him. The Storm second row is a bit unsettled but with Ryan Hinchcliffe being a possibility of starting the year at hooker Finucane, Proctor and Harris could all start with Finucane or Harris the best option to play big minutes. Of course then with CS9 comes back the second row gets a reshuffle so there is some risk.

 

Adam Docker

2015 Team

Panthers

Position

2RF

Games played

20

Ave Minutes

55

Fantasy average

28.50

PPM

0.52

Consistency

0.38

Price

252,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

Kangaroos coach Tim Sheens compared Docker to Paul Gallen in 2014. Sheens knows lots more about rugby league then me so I will differ to him but I will say the obvious glaring difference between Docker and Gallen is that Docker does not have anything near Gallen’s work rate. The Panthers’ depth at second row suits Docker fine as he’s at his most effective playing limited minutes. 

Friday, 16 January 2015 11:00

RFS Preview: 2RF Guns

Now that FRF players have been covered we move on to the biggest position group of all; the 2RF. Starting with the 20 players whose averages make them guns or near guns. With injury and potential role changes it could be a tricky group to get a handle on in 2015.

Note: Since this series of articles started the first fantasy prices of 2015 have been announced. They appear to represent a 16% increase in player value while the salary cap, if they continue to match it with the actual NRL salary cap, will see just a 4% increase in value. That means it will be harder to build a team of guns in 2015 than it was in 2014. This will be a response to complaints in 2014 when the cap went up higher than player values did. It's a good thing, it makes for more differentiation and increases the importance of developing a good team rather than just starting with one.

If you have missed any articles in the series you can find the links here.

Corey Parker

2015 Team

Broncos

Position

FRF/2RF

Games played

21

Ave Minutes

65

Fantasy average

54.71

PPM

0.84

Consistency

0.24

Price

484,000

Origin

Certain

Bye weeks

14, 17

Parker (or CP13) was a fantasy gun before 2014. Then he started playing prop (CP10), and his minutes and points began to tail off. Under Bennett, Parker may move back to lock, where he plays all his representative football, in which case, he may be resurrected. But, Parker still needs minutes on the park, so Bennett’s forward rotation will be a hot topic in the 2015 pre-season.

 

Shaun Fensom

2015 Team

Raiders

Position

2RF

Games played

18

Ave Minutes

73

Fantasy average

58.61

PPM

0.80

Consistency

0.31

Price

519,000

Origin

Medium

Bye weeks

14,17

Fensom did his ACL in round 21, ending his season and casting doubts over his ability to be ready for the start of 2015. Reports say that his rehab has progressed well and he should play early in the season and is an outside chance to be ready for round 1. Fensom makes over 45 tackles a game while having a stellar missed tackle percentage of just 3%. He always generates some chatter around Origin time but the reality is that he is behind a host of other NSW second row options. Even if he is healthy from round 1 he’s a risky option based on his high starting price and the uncertainty over whether he will be an immediate 80 minute player. Look to upgrade to him during the season.

 

Simon Mannering

2015 Team

Warriors

Position

2RF

Games played

24

Ave Minutes

79

Fantasy average

44.46

PPM

0.56

Consistency

0.33

Price

393,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 17

Captain Reliable. The main interest for fantasy owners will be whether Mannering will continue to retain his dual position status. Considering he hasn’t started at centre for almost three years and only ever covers mid game it is a bit of a joke. That being said it is also the only way he would make it into most people’s fantasy teams. With an average of 44.5 at centre that will solve a lot of headaches. Buyers beware: after another long season including a taxing international schedule Mannering started the 2014 slowly, scaring most who’d bought him into jumping off before he hit his purple patch that saw him score a career best nine tries. Yes he will be a viable option but be prepared for a slow start to the season or pick up after the first four weeks.

 

Trent Merrin

2015 Team

Dragons

Position

2RF

Games played

21

Ave Minutes

55

Fantasy average

50.81

PPM

0.92

Consistency

0.24

Price

450,000

Origin

Certain

Bye weeks

11, 14

The name that has been on everyone’s lips this off season, the Dragons star forward has been in the middle of a very public contract negotiation between the club and his manager, Wayne Beavis. In the past managers have come out in the press to drive up their players price, though one would wonder how much more than the Dragons history breaking $1.8 million dollar contract Merrin will demand on the open market. On the field ‘Mez’ will be looking to eliminate the errors that have been creeping into his game. Known for his work-rate and offloading abilities, the big middle forward will have to learn to pick his moment more in the future.

 

Elijah Taylor

2015 Team

Panthers

Position

2RF

Games played

17

Ave Minutes

70

Fantasy average

41.00

PPM

0.59

Consistency

0.35

Price

363,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 14

I take it all back Elijah. If you’ll let me I am ready to rekindle our fantasy relationship. In a season with depleted second row options a fit Elijah Taylor could be the sort of player who can really make a difference. His season was ruined by injuries and negative plays. The injuries were just bad luck but I am not sure what to make of the negative plays. His missed tackle percentage was 5% but he missed tackles in bunches missing at least three tackles in a game on six occasions. In the games where he wasn’t missing tackles he was committing penalties or making errors. He even got sin binned once as well. This trend for negative plays wasn’t an issue with the Warriors so I’m hopeful he can get back to manageable numbers and be one of the better second row options going. There is one last sticking point for ET, the plethora of options the Panthers have in the back row. Still every relationship is a risk…

 

Josh Papalii

2015 Team

Raiders

Position

2RF

Games played

19

Ave Minutes

70

Fantasy average

44.79

PPM

0.64

Consistency

0.31

Price

396,000

Origin

High

Bye weeks

14,17

Ricky Stuart didn’t trust Papalii to play 80 minutes at the start of last season. He did it once in round 1 but then wouldn’t do it again until round 18. As an 80 minute player he is an elite fantasy option averaging just over 50 but when he doesn’t play 80 his average falls all the way to 39.2. A coach of just average intelligence would probably see the void created by the loss of 80 minute man Shaun Fensom and plug it with his best second rower but Ricky Stuart is not a coach that approaches average intelligence. I’m always left feeling queasy when I stake my fantasy team on the whims of Ricky Stuart.

 

Anthony Watmough

2015 Team

Eels

Position

2RF

Games played

19

Ave Minutes

67

Fantasy average

48.79

PPM

0.73

Consistency

0.26

Price

432,000

Origin

High

Bye weeks

15, 18

After 286 first grade games for the Manly Sea Eagles and Northern Eagles Watmough joins the Eels in the twilight of his career. The Eels second row stocks are young and talented but they’ll get a lot out of seeing how a leader and winner operates. Watmough only averaged 67 minutes a game last year so the depth in the Eels second row shouldn’t impact his game time a lot, so he’ll continue to be a low end gun fantasy scorer.

 

Matt Gillett

2015 Team

Broncos

Position

2RF

Games played

20

Ave Minutes

70

Fantasy average

46.90

PPM

0.67

Consistency

0.39

Price

415,000

Origin

High

Bye weeks

14, 17

Gillett has all the elements to be a fantasy gun, except he isn’t. Like many young players he fades in and out of games. When he’s on, he can easily go large. When he’s not, you will be throwing beers at the TV as he misses tackles and drops the ball. The real threat is to his minutes. Under Bennett and the acquisition of Blair, Parker may return to lock, leaving Thiaday, Glenn and Gillett to share two starting positions. The bottom line is that Gillett may get fewer minutes, and start off the bench.

 

Josh Jackson

2015 Team

Bulldogs

Position

2RF

Games played

24

Ave Minutes

71

Fantasy average

43.21

PPM

0.61

Consistency

0.46

Price

382,000

Origin

High

Bye weeks

12, 17

Jackson and Boyd Cordner represent the future of the Blues second row once Paul Gallen, Greg Bird and Anthony Watmough hang up the boots and the risk for fantasy owners is whether that future starts in 2015 or later. Even if he does get picked for Origin he’s under-priced so at least he could increase in value before you have to kick him to the curb. There’s some speculation he might be available as a DPP 2RF/CTR but that seems unlikely considering he didn’t officially play centre in 2014, he did play three games at five eighth though.

 

Ethan Lowe

2015 Team

Cowboys

Position

2RF

Games played

9

Ave Minutes

64

Fantasy average

41.67

PPM

0.65

Consistency

0.37

Price

358,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14, 17

Ethan Lowe is a great fantasy talent, but who still hasn’t locked down a spot. He played 9 games in 2014, and played 80 minutes in four of them. Unfortunately, his solid 2014 average may price him out of many teams for 2015, but an 80 minute Lowe would still be worthwhile.

 

Boyd Cordner

2015 Team

Roosters

Position

2RF

Games played

19

Ave Minutes

75

Fantasy average

47.37

PPM

0.63

Consistency

0.30

Price

419,000

Origin

High

Bye weeks

11, 17

Cordner made his second State of Origin appearance in the game 3 dead rubber and it was only the dreaded ankle syndesmosis that kept him out of the first two games. Cordner has been a slow starter, fast finisher for the last two fantasy seasons (although he got injured at the end of 2013). In 2014 he averaged 42.8 in his first ten games and 52.4 over his last nine, so he’s probably not a wonderful pre-Origin fantasy option but will be worth a look afterwards.

 

Wade Graham

2015 Team

Sharks

Position

2RF

Games played

19

Ave Minutes

78

Fantasy average

47.37

PPM

0.60

Consistency

0.26

Price

419,000

Origin

Moderate

Bye weeks

11, 14

Graham had to carry a big burden for the injury ravaged Sharks in 2014 and he did a really good job of it before ASADA caught up in round 22. Graham’s versatility has been a burden for him in the past but during 2014 he was able to lock down a role as an 80 minute second rower and he really thrived with the added responsibility. Graham made his first grade debut back in 2008 but he’s still only 24 and an Origin spot will be beckoning him in the coming years.

 

Jamie Buhrer

2015 Team

Sea Eagles

Position

2RF/HOK

Games played

23

Ave Minutes

66

Fantasy average

40.74

PPM

0.61

Consistency

0.38

Price

361,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

Buhrer had an excellent 2014 and is well placed to replace club legend Glenn Stewart in the second row in 2015. Still only 25 the Sea Eagles have Buhrer under contract for the next two season and it isn’t hard to envisage him establishing himself as an invaluable contributor to a Sea Eagles side in transition. For fantasy purposes he could have some value, his starting price is deflated by averaging 27 in six games from the bench which compares to his average of 46 as a starter but be aware that average as a starter isn’t that much greater than his overall average. Is under an injury cloud but is still hopeful to play in round 1.

 

Jason Taumalolo

2015 Team

Cowboys

Position

2RF

Games played

23

Ave Minutes

69

Fantasy average

41.87

PPM

0.61

Consistency

0.39

Price

371,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

14, 17

Lolo had his breakout year in 2014, but was a painful experience for many coaches. He played 80 minutes for 12 games, but his three biggest scores (74, 67 and 65) did not come off those games. Rather, his lowest score of 16 did. So, with no obvious relationship between minutes and scores, coaches were left to make it up on the fly. Back-to-back bad games in the middle of the season saw many coaches jump off and miss his late season improvement. What will he do in 2015?

 

Bodene Thompson

2015 Team

Warriors

Position

2RF

Games played

21

Ave Minutes

78

Fantasy average

40.52

PPM

0.52

Consistency

0.26

Price

359,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 17

Averaging a respectable 40.6  in 2014 for the Tigers, it’s almost impossible to see him performing at these heights for the Warriors due to congestion in his preferred roles of second rower and centre. Bodene will have less minutes and less opportunities with Mannering and Hoffman likely to be 80 minute players. Watch his price plummet, although a major injury to Mannering or Hoffman would mean that his chances and minutes would suddenly increase.

 

John Sutton

2015 Team

Rabbitohs

Position

2RF/HLF

Games played

19

Ave Minutes

73

Fantasy average

41.68

PPM

0.57

Consistency

0.34

Price

369,000

Origin

Medium

Bye weeks

15, 18

After flirting with elite fantasy status in 2013 Sutton declined in 2014. He finished up averaging 41.7 with basically the same average at five-eighth and at lock. Will be expected to play lock in 2015, replacing Sam Burgess, so he will need to improve his fitness as he was frequently gassed or ineffective in the forwards last season.

 

Aiden Guerra

2015 Team

Roosters

Position

2RF

Games played

21

Ave Minutes

58

Fantasy average

45.00

PPM

0.78

Consistency

0.25

Price (2014 values)

337,500

Origin

High

Bye weeks

11, 17

Guerra would be a terrific low priced gun if it wasn’t for the high likelihood he’ll be involved in Queensland’s Origin quest. With SBW and FPN gone the way will be clear for Guerra to play 80 minutes after averaging just 58 last season. We saw a glimpse of what Guerra was capable of with 80 minutes near the end of last year and it was an impressive 55.2 points. In fact even with Origin duties Guerra could be someone worth considering.

 

Sam Thaiday

2015 Team

Broncos

Position

2RF

Games played

18

Ave Minutes

55

Fantasy average

42.89

PPM

0.78

Consistency

0.22

Price

398,000

Origin

Certain

Bye weeks

14, 17

Thiaday is a good mid-range 2RF/FRF, who’ll keep pumping out mid-40s all season. But, he will play Origin, and is unlikely to improve. Unless 2RF/FRF becomes decimated by injury, Thiaday is probably not the best option.

 

Manu Ma’u

2015 Team

Eels

Position

2RF

Games played

13

Ave Minutes

68

Fantasy average

40.62

PPM

0.60

Consistency

0.34

Price

359,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

15, 18

Ma’u was a 26 year-old rookie in 2014 thanks to a career stalled by a three year prison sentence for his part in a brawl and he made up for lost time until an injury took him down in round 14. Ma’u tackled hard, ran harder and was one of the real feel good stories of the early part of the season. He should retain his position across from Anthony Watmough in what could be a very formidable second row partnership.

 

Gavin Cooper

2015 Team

Cowboys

Position

2RF

Games played

15

Ave Minutes

69

Fantasy average

40.60

PPM

0.59

Consistency

0.36

Price

359,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14, 17

Cooper gets the minutes that we want Bolton and Hall to get, and has the PPM that makes him a midrange fantasy meh. He is a placeholder at best and is unlikely to improve. 

Monday, 12 January 2015 11:00

RFS Preseason Bible

Just to make sure you haven't missed any of our great RFS preseason content here are all the links to the articles released so far. We'll continue to update this every time something comes out.

General fantasy articles

Fantasy 101 - a guide to how NRL Fantasy is played and why you should do it.

Setting up your fantasy team - Struggling to work out how to pick a side? This article gives you some help.

Top 10 Tips for picking a team, and winning - the things you need to know if you want to finish high in the overall rankings.

Ten tips for dominating your H2H league - ten tips that'll help you beat up on those chumps from the office.

Terms and abbreviations - all the fantasy terms and abbreviations so you won't look like a rookie.

The Real Cash Cows - A look at the 2015 crop of cash cows.

Undervalued players - A look at one player from each team that has some value in them.

Lessons from fantasy in 2014 - a reminder of the things we learnt about playing fantasy in 2014.

Guns, duds and fantasy cows - a look at how each club's new signings will impact fantasy.

2015 bye weeks - a look at how bye weeks will impact fantasy.

Popular bye week players - an early look at who the popular bye week players will be.

2015 Player prices - a listing of player prices for the upcoming season.

2015 Discounted players - a list of all the players who have a discounted price in 2015.

The lies we tell - A look at some popular lies we've told each other this pre-season.

Boom or Bust - the players that could hold that fate our fantasy seasons in their hands.

The Kieran Foran All-Stars - players who excel at NRL, but shouldn't come near your NRL Fantasy team

Fantasy impact on the Gold Coast - who benefits from the Coco

Twas the night before teamlists...

Team List Tuesday Preview - a rundown on all the selections that good fantasy coaches will be watching

The Renegade

Fantasy Hotline I - Q&A with the fans

Fantasy Hotline II - Q&A with the fans

Adding the Renegade to your H2H league

Preseason Trials and Matches

Warriors vs Panthers

Nines recap: Round one - recap of the NRL Nines with a slant towards players with some fantasy relevance. 

Nines recap: Round two - recap of the NRL Nines with a slant towards players with some fantasy relevance.

NRL All Stars Preview - a look at the NRL All Stars game.

Fantasy player's guide to the Nines - all the players you need to keep an eye on at the Nines.

The importance of the World Club Series - our resident international league expert explains why the World Club series concept is important.

Specific subjects

Players we think will improve with the new NRL ruck rules

Teams and hookers who will benefit from the new ruck rules

Comparing stats providers - with a new stats provider in 2015, how will player's scores vary?

A look at the DPP options

First five round draw analysis - A look at where the draw might give potential gains to fantasy players.

Changing perspectives on player pricing structures - An analytical look at the real player price structure.

Player Previews

To Aubo or not to Aubo - a look at whether Mitchell Aubusson is the real deal or another fantasy heart break.

Ryan "The Penalty Man" James

Lichaa, Granville or Clydsdale - a detailed look at the three good mid-range hooking options.

The Cash Cow Conundrum: Points per minute - a look at how increased minutes could impact the PPMs of Lichaa, Granville and Clydsdale.

Cash cow alert - a look at Cowboys juggernaut Kelepi Tanginoa

The Renegade Analytics Department Prediction Series

How to predict the future - An introduction to three predictive stats

Is JT a choker? - A look at the Cowboys terrible record in close games and some other anomalies.

Who will bend - A look at the team's the Analytics Department thinks will compete for the wooden spoon in 2015.

Who will depend - A look at the team's the Analytics Department thinks could do anything in 2015.

Who will pretend - A look at the team's the Analytics Department thinks should be finalists but not quite contenders for the top of the pile.

Who will contend - A look at the  team's the Analytics Department thinks should be the class of 2015.

Position previews

WFB

HOK

HLF

CTR

FRF

2RF 

Team previews

Melbourne Storm

South Sydney Rabbitohs

Parramatta Eels

Manly Sea Eagles

Vodafone Warriors

Wests Tigers

Canterbury Bankstown Bulldogs

Canberra Raiders

Sydney Roosters

Newcastle Knights

Brisbane Broncos

St George Illawarra Dragons

Cronulla Sharks

North Queensland Cowboys

Penrith Panthers

Position deep dives

FRF guns - profiles on every FRF gun.

FRF mid-rangers - profiles on every mid-range FRF.

FRF cheapies - profiles on all the cheap FRF.

FRF rookies and returning players - profiles on the FRF rookies and other players who didn't play in 2014.

2RF guns - profiles on every 2RF gun.

2RF mid-rangers - profiles on every mid-range 2RF.

2RF cheapies - profiles on all the cheap 2RF.

2RF rookies and returning players - profiles on the FRF rookies and other players who didn't play in 2014.

HOK guns - profiles on every HOK gun.

HOK mid-rangers - profiles on every mid-range 2RF.

HOK rookies and cheapies - profiles on all the cheapies, rookies and other HOK that didn't play in 2014.

HLF guns - profiles on every HLF gun.

HLF mid-rangers - profiles on every mid-range HLF.

HLF rookies and cheapies - profiles on all the cheap HLF.

CTR guns - profiles on every CTR gun.

CTR mid-rangers - profiles on every mid-range CTR.

CTR cheapies - profiles on every cheap CTR.

CTR rookies - profiles on every rookie CTR.

WFB guns - profiles on every WFB gun.

WFB mid-rangers - profiles on every mid-range WFB.

WFB cheapies - profiles on every cheap WFB.

WFB rookies - profiles on every rookie WFB.

Thursday, 15 January 2015 11:00

RFS Preview: FRF rookies and returning players

It has been a busy off-season at RFS headquarters. Since the season finished last September we moved straight onto preparing for the 2015 fantasy season. One of the things we've been working on is a complete preview that covers every player likely to get a run in the NRL this season. A large number of players won't play much of a factor in 2015 Fantasy as a cash cow or a gun but you never know who is set to fill those roles so we thought we'd at least through some numbers and some comments at you that might help you identify who is what.

Note: Since this series of articles started the first fantasy prices of 2015 have been announced. They appear to represent a 16% increase in player value while the salary cap, if they continue to match it with the actual NRL salary cap, will see just a 4% increase in value. That means it will be harder to build a team of guns in 2015 than it was in 2014. This will be a response to complaints in 2014 when the cap went up higher than player values did. It's a good thing, it makes for more differentiation and increases the importance of developing a good team rather than just starting with one. 

If you have missed any articles in the series you can find the links here.

Here are the FRF players that didn't play in 2014 but could be a factor in 2015, including a player who has been out of the NRL for five years.

Sam Mataora

2015 Team

Knights

Position

FRF/2RF

Bye weeks

14, 17

Price

137,000

Mataora was brought to Newcastle by Wayne Bennett mid way through the season in 2014. Mataora is a very promising young talent, and given Newcastle's distinct lack of props at the club for season 2015 he could very well see some minutes. Mataora is a good chance to make a fair amount of coin at some part of the season, and is advised to be on fantasy players' watch lists if he is not named in teamlists week 1.

 

Addin Fonua-Blake

2015 Team

Dragons

Position

FRF

Bye weeks

11, 14

Price

128,000

CASH COW ALERT! Fonua-Blake is a huge prospect for the Dragons club. The Junior Kiwis prop will be in prime position to grab a position in the forward pack after starting in both the Holden Cup and NSW Cup last year for the Dragons and Cutters respectively. A hard worker, the big young front rower will bend the line all day with plenty of something the St George forward pack has been missing – attitude.

 

Mitchell Dodds

2015 Team

Broncos

Position

FRF

Bye weeks

14, 17

Price

128,000

Dodds is like so many promising forwards at the Broncos; not playing in the NRL. He’ll need a few injuries to the top squad to be a fantasy option.

 

Joe Ofahengaue

2015 Team

Broncos

Position

FRF/2RF

Bye weeks

14, 17

Price

128,000

This kid has huge wraps, and is an absolute monster. But, in a forward pack dominated by representative stars, he is unlikely to get the minutes to be a fantasy option.

 

Andy Saunders

2015 Team

Panthers

Position

FRF

Bye weeks

11, 14

Price

128,000

Saunders got some game time with the NSW Cup side at the end of 2014 after being the skipper of the NYC side. He comes with some big wraps and represented the Junior Kangaroos in 2014. Could have a big future but maybe not in 2015.

 

Rory O’Brien

2015 Team

Dragons

Position

FRF

Bye weeks

11, 14

Price

128,000

After partnering Trent Merrin in the Dragons u20s front row some six years ago, Rory O’Brien has taken a very different path to the top squad. While Merrin was knocking up over 100 games for the club, O’Brien fell out of love with the game, looking for a job and sticking to park football. The lure of the big time was too strong, with O’Brien coming back in a big way for the Illawarra Cutters last season. The big prop forward may be an answer to the Dragons' lack of impact forwards off the bench sometime next year.

 

Richie Fa’aoso

2015 Team

Eels

Position

FRF

Bye weeks

11, 14

Price

152,000

After suffering an apparently career ending broken neck in 2013 Fa’aoso has received clearance to join a number of his old pals at Parramatta. The 31 year-old should be a good shot to fill an interchange role.

 

Danny Wicks

2015 Team

Eels

Position

FRF

Bye weeks

11, 14

Price

186,000

Most people probably know that Wicks is back in the NRL following a drug related conviction that saw him serve 18 months in prison. What none of us know and we probably care more about is how will he go in NRL Fantasy? The first thing is that he has been out of league for five years, which is a very long time. Secondly, he’s playing in a side stacked with forward talent, which will limit his game time. Offsetting this is that Wicks does have a game well suited to being a mid-range fantasy talent so keep an eye on his starting price.

 

James Taylor

2015 Team

Knights

Position

FRF

Bye weeks

14, 17

Price

128,000

James Taylor was signed from the Warriors mid-season to add depth to Newcastle's front row stocks. One of the few players competing for a bench spot, Taylor could make decent coin if granted the chance to play in first grade. Taylor is earmarked as a future Lillyman style player, and will see minutes in first grade eventually.

 

Chris Grevsmuhl

2015 Team

Rabbitohs

Position

FRF

Bye weeks

15, 18

Price

128,000

At this stage he is just a guy with a last name that is difficult to spell but the former junior Kangaroo could push for a bench utility spot in 2015. He’s a big guy that was able to find the try line in Under 20s with 31 tries in 53 games.

 

Jake Trbojevic

2015 Team

Sea Eagles

Position

FRF

Bye weeks

11, 14

Price

136,000

After making his debut at the end of 2013 Trbojevic was expected to breakout in 2014 but he ended up not playing another first grade game. Long term, don’t be shocked to see Trbojevic and David Klemmer combine as a future NSW Origin pairing but in 2015 he will need to force his way past a number of other players to make an impact. Don’t be surprised if he does it though, the Eagles extended his contract for another two years so they still see him having a role. Also look at for younger brother Tom who is a dynamic fullback.

 

Tom Learoyd-Lahrs

2015 Team

Storm

Position

FRF

Bye weeks

11, 17

Price

132,000

The former Australia and NSW player joins the Storm hoping to revitalise a flagging career. TLL didn’t see any first grade games in 2014 with the Raiders, a pair of injuries didn’t help but in between those he was stuck playing reserve grade. Signing him was a good move by the Storm as it is a low risk/high reward sort of move.

 

Dallas Graham

2015 Team

Tigers

Position

FRF

Bye weeks

12, 18

Price

128,000

Graham is a hard working prop who will probably see some game time as injury or Origin cover in 2014. He played for the Junior Kiwis at the end of the season and is capable of playing decent minutes with big tackle counts.

 

Sam Lisone

2015 Team

Warriors

Position

FRF

Bye weeks

11, 17

Price

128,000

Lisone was named the NYC player of the year in 2014 and he should get a run in the top grade at some point in 2015. He’s a skilful big man with a big motor and could be a useful cash cow if he gets a run but you’ll need to remember that Warriors coaches can be very fickle with how they play their forwards.

 

Wednesday, 14 January 2015 11:00

RFS Preview: FRF cheapies

Following on from our articles on the FRF guns and mid-rangers we move onto the cheapies. There is a good chance that some of the better cash cows will emerge from this group of players. However, there will also be a large group of guys that do nothing for fantasy purposes. These articles might help sort the wheat from the chaff.

A few things as a reminder.

We have divided each position up into four sections: guns (players over $300k), mid-range players ($200k-300k), cheapies (under $200k) and rookies and other players that didn't see any first grade in 2014. We will have one article covering each of these four areas, for each of the positions. If you can't find the player you are looking for he's either priced somewhere else or he is a dual position player that we have included in his other position.

The prices are just a prediction based on a player's 2014 fantasy average, the salary cap might change the actual price a bit but this will give you a good feel for how players will be valued compared to others. Players that played less than seven games can be subjected to price discounts from as high as 50% for players who played one or two games to as low as 5% for someone that played six games. Just keep that in mind. 

This article looks at the FRF players under $200k to find some players who'll make you cold hard cash in 2015.

Note: Since this series of articles started the first fantasy prices of 2015 have been announced. They appear to represent a 16% increase in player value while the salary cap, if they continue to match it with the actual NRL salary cap, will see just a 4% increase in value. That means it will be harder to build a team of guns in 2015 than it was in 2014. This will be a response to complaints in 2014 when the cap went up higher than player values did. It's a good thing, it makes for more differentiation and increases the importance of developing a good team rather than just starting with one. 

If you need to know a players actual price then you can find them at this link.

If you have missed any articles in the series you can find the links here.

Keith Galloway

2015 Team

Tigers

Position

FRF

Games played

19

Ave Minutes

42

Fantasy average

25.58

PPM

0.60

Consistency

0.26

Price

226,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

12, 18

I don’t know for sure but I’m pretty sure Phil Gould is the type of person who stacks his fantasy side with players he likes. Every year he picks Keith Galloway and makes him captain and every year he wonders why he’s ranked around 20k. Don’t play fantasy like Phil Gould.

 

Martin Kennedy

2015 Team

Roosters

Position

FRF

Games played

15

Ave Minutes

27

Fantasy average

25.53

PPM

0.94

Consistency

0.28

Price

226,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 17

After an unhappy season in Brisbane Kennedy is back with the Roosters for 2015. He averaged almost 10 points less in 2014 than he did in 2013 and that is predominantly due to his lack of minutes, as he often got the garbage man 20-30 minute role, leaving his average for the season at 27. Depending on how the Roosters’ second row shakes out, Kennedy should be the third prop in the rotation and a good chance to average somewhere between 40 and 50 minutes a game. So he should be in line for a decent increase in value but probably not enough to justify having a $190k player.

 

Issac Liu

2015 Team

Roosters

Position

FRF

Games played

20

Ave Minutes

32

Fantasy average

23.75

PPM

0.74

Consistency

0.37

Price

210,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 17

Liu should have a similar role to 2014 in the Roosters prop rotation, although he could lose some time to Martin Kennedy. Liu’s fantasy scoring is basically all base stats but he does accumulate them at a decent rate, making one tackle for every two minutes he spent on the field in 2014. Can play both front and second row.

 

Sam Anderson

2015 Team

Eels

Position

 

Games played

2

Ave Minutes

33

Fantasy average

25.50

PPM

0.77

Consistency

0.42

Price

172,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

15, 18

Anderson played a handful of nondescript games in 2013 and another handful of nondescript games in 2014. He made the NSW Cup team of the year last year but will probably need to bide his time in NSW Cup again in 2015.

 

Peni Terepo

2015 Team

Eels

Position

FRF

Games played

21

Ave Minutes

35

Fantasy average

24.24

PPM

0.69

Consistency

0.48

Price

215,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

15, 18

Terepo has had epilepsy since he was 13, a condition he can control with medication , but after forgetting to take his medication he had a seizure just before halftime of the Round 9 game with the Eels. When Terepo regained his state of consciousness his first thought was frustration at having let his teammates down. If that doesn’t make you respect Terepo I don’t know what will.

 

Junior Roqica

2015 Team

Sharks

Position

FRF

Games played

6

Ave Minutes

43

Fantasy average

22.50

PPM

0.52

Consistency

0.25

Price

175,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

The 2014 Sharks are well summarised by the fact their groundsman played six games for them. Roqica has good size and is still young but there wasn’t much to suggest he will finish his first grade career with a lot of games.

 

Dunamis Lui

2015 Team

Sea Eagles

Position

FRF

Games played

19

Ave Minutes

33

Fantasy average

23.05

PPM

0.71

Consistency

0.39

Price

204,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

Lui had a decent first season with Manly, enough so that he is back on contract for 2015. He managed to start five games at mid-season but is still not a good fantasy player.

 

Ben Spina

2015 Team

Cowboys

Position

FRF

Games played

1

Ave Minutes

13

Fantasy average

9.00

PPM

0.69

Consistency

N/A

Price

136,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14, 17

The 26 year-old Spina made a debut for the Cowboys in 2014. He’s following in the footsteps of Dad Laurie who I have a Rugby League card of from 1995. Laurie played 169 first grade games, Ben will need some things to fall his way to add to his total of one.

 

Siosasia Vave

2015 Team

Sea Eagles

Position

FRF

Games played

15

Ave Minutes

31

Fantasy average

25.40

PPM

0.81

Consistency

0.27

Price

225,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

Vave joins Willie Mason to bolster Manly’s front row stocks. Vave made 15 appearances for the Sharks last season with five starts and ten appearances from the bench. He is a low minute impact player regardless of whether he starts or not that is probably down the Sea Eagles peaking order.

 

Sam Rapira

2015 Team

Warriors

Position

FRF

Games played

18

Ave Minutes

39

Fantasy average

26.22

PPM

0.67

Consistency

0.44

Price

232,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 17

After a couple of injury plagued seasons, Sam needs to show that he can still lay the platform as a dominant prop in the NRL. At his best he represented New Zealand, he now finds himself fighting to make the starting line up for the Warriors. With a starting price probably under $200k, if he could play uninjured and find his best form he could make some reasonable coin. Averaging a mere 26.2 I don’t think he justifies the punt.

 

Charlie Gubb

2015 Team

Warriors

Position

FRF

Games played

5

Ave Minutes

22

Fantasy average

15.60

PPM

0.72

Consistency

0.38

Price

137,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 17

Only getting five opportunities in 2014, he failed to inspire in any of these. On a positive is the fact in those limited opportunities he was ticking boxes that fantasy coaches like - tackle busts, try assists and offloads. Props are unattractive at the best of time and props that average 22 minutes are hideous.

 

Ava Seumanufagai

2015 Team

Tigers

Position

FRF

Games played

23

Ave Minutes

31

Fantasy average

21.48

PPM

0.69

Consistency

0.41

Price

190,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

12, 18

Ava made 382 tackles in 2014 while missing just 21. This makes him one of the rare breed of Tigers that could actually tackle effectively. He played in 23 games and only once played more than 47 minutes, he’s an impact player that doesn’t make much impact (PPM of 0.69).

 

Kenny Bromwich

2015 Team

Storm

Position

FRF/2RF

Games played

18

Ave Minutes

32

Fantasy average

26.22

PPM

0.81

Consistency

0.41

Price

232,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 17

Kenny isn’t quite the same player brother Jesse is but he is nearing the same age Jesse was when he started to make the leap. The Storm have a vacant front row spot across from Jesse but even if Kenny doesn’t grab that role he could see a bump in minutes. He has more versatility than Jesse and with Ryan Hoffman gone and Tohu Harris likely into the starting line-up Kenny could see his minutes rise from the low 30’s into the 50’s. One to watch.

 

Suaia Matagi

2015 Team

Warriors

Position

FRF

Games played

24

Ave Minutes

34

Fantasy average

21.13

PPM

0.61

Consistency

0.26

Price

187,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 17

One certainty when Matagi plays is that the commentator will mention his past time in incarceration. Matagi burst onto the scene with his leg pumping, hard and fast running style. Playing all 24 Warrior games last season, he appeared in need of a rest by the end of the season. With a maximum of 46 minutes in any game in 2014 he only managed a measly 32 as his best haul in fantasy. A disappointing average of 21.1 means that, unless you can hack a mate’s account, Suaia Matagi won’t be in any fantasy line-ups this year.

 

Ryan James

2015 Team

Titans

Position

FRF/2RF

Games played

4

Ave Minutes

34

Fantasy average

26.50

PPM

0.79

Consistency

0.53

Price

192,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 17

If Ryan James gets a starting job in round one he is in my side. There was nothing in his 2014 performance that would suggest that is a good idea but in 2013 his position splits showed that he was a gun when he started in the front row. I’m convinced he can do that again if he has Neil Henry’s confidence and stays healthy. Not giving away so many penalties would help too.

 

Jack Buchanan

2015 Team

Tigers

Position

FRF

Games played

4

Ave Minutes

20

Fantasy average

16.00

PPM

0.81

Consistency

0.59

Price

144,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

12, 18

Buchanan was a promising looking player in 2013 but he mostly disappeared in 2014, making just four interchange apperances. It is unclear how he fits in with the Tigers considering Aaron Woods, Martin Taupau and Keith Galloway are entrenched while Matt Lodge has replaced Buchanan as the prospect.

 

Tim Grant

2015 Team

Rabbitohs

Position

FRF

Games played

11

Ave Minutes

32

Fantasy average

26.18

PPM

0.82

Consistency

0.38

Price

232,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

15, 18

Phased out at the Panthers, Grant joins the Rabbitohs with the hope of re-establishing himself as a first grade starter. He’s battling Dave Tyrrell for the spot but they’ll likely play a similar amount of minutes. Grant’s PPM was 0.82 in 2014 while playing 32 minutes a game. If he can get those minutes up close to 50 he could make some fantasy dollars but if you do the math splitting 160 by Gurgess, Turgess and Tyrrell doesn’t seem to leave that many minutes for Grant.

 

Luke Burgess

2015 Team

Rabbitohs

Position

FRF

Games played

17

Ave Minutes

31

Fantasy average

25.47

PPM

0.82

Consistency

0.42

Price

225,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

15, 18

The Daniel Baldwin of the Burgess brothers. He played 17 games where he would have been anonymous unless you were trying to spot if all four brothers were on the field at the same time.

 

Jack Stockwell

2015 Team

Knights

Position

FRF

Games played

12

Ave Minutes

29

Fantasy average

24.25

PPM

0.85

Consistency

0.29

Price

215,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14, 17

Stockwell, signed from the Dragons this season, will be looking to make his mark on the Knight's forward pack this year. Seen as a strong potential young talent, and even a cash cow in previous years, Stockwell could be of use in NRL Fantasy 2015. Stockwell will most likely see decent minutes in 2015, and is one to watch out for.

 

Dan Hunt

2015 Team

Dragons

Position

FRF

Games played

11

Ave Minutes

33

Fantasy average

24.82

PPM

0.76

Consistency

0.25

Price

220,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

It’s a surprise to many that Dan Hunt is still at the Dragons for 2015. Since Peter Doust paraded Hunt as a marquee player re-signing two years ago at $400k a year, he has done very little for the side on the field. In Hunt’s defence, he throws his body into every run and every tackle. The problem being his body looks to be around 10-15kgs short of where a prop forward should be. The Dragons reportedly shopped Hunt around to clubs over the off-season, and with his price-tag, it’s no surprise another club didn’t take him on.

 

James Gavet

2015 Team

Broncos

Position

FRF/2RF

Games played

12

Ave Minutes

33

Fantasy average

15.25

PPM

0.46

Consistency

0.58

Price

135,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14, 17

Gavet has played 13 NRL games, for the Bulldogs and West Tigers. He was recruited to Bennett’s new-look Broncos to add some size and aggression to the Broncos pack. But, where will he figure in an already crowded pack? Depending on Bennett’s use of Parker and Thaiday at prop, Gavet could see some improvement in Brisbane.

 

Tim Glasby

2015 Team

Storm

Position

FRF

Games played

12

Ave Minutes

25

Fantasy average

22.92

PPM

0.91

Consistency

0.57

Price

203,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 17

Glasby was one of those anonymous interchange players the Storm have. They are there but they don’t do anything memorable. Glasby had seven games where he got less than 20 minutes but he also had four games with more than 30 minutes where he averaged 36.5. There are more minutes on offer in the Storm forward pack so watch this space.

 

Tim Browne

2015 Team

Bulldogs

Position

FRF

Games played

17

Ave Minutes

29

Fantasy average

23.12

PPM

0.80

Consistency

0.40

Price

205,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

12, 17

Browne was a valuable change of pace player for the Bulldogs until he suffered a skull fracture in round 19, but he did manage to get back and play for the Bulldogs in the Preliminary and Grand Finals. The Bulldogs have great depth in the front row but Browne will probably snag a spot as a 30 minute interchange forward.

 

Darcy Lussick

2015 Team

Eels

Position

FRF/2RF

Games played

14

Ave Minutes

31

Fantasy average

18.43

PPM

0.60

Consistency

0.43

Price

163,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

15, 18

What Cronulla is to the West Tigers so Parramatta is becoming to the Manly Sea Eagles. The number of ex-Sea Eagles continues to swell and Parramatta fans will be hoping a certain half might boost those ranks further but that won’t happen for another year. Lussick is just an impact player and didn’t play more than 50 minutes in any of his 14 games. Lussick made starts at prop, second row and lock while also playing from the interchange. Nothing about his stats suggest he is ever going to have a breakout fantasy season.

 

Shannon Boyd

2015 Team

Raiders

Position

FRF

Games played

21

Ave Minutes

26

Fantasy average

23.19

PPM

0.88

Consistency

0.38

Price

205,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14,17

Boyd is a poor man’s David Klemmer but at least he got to play some proper minutes in 2014, finishing the season with 41, 38, 38, 34, 43 and 38 whereas Klemmer only got that amount of minutes twice all year. For such a huge man Boyd needs to be delivering more than 0.9 tackle breaks per game.

 

George Rose

2015 Team

Dragons

Position

FRF

Games played

9

Ave Minutes

25

Fantasy average

15.11

PPM

0.61

Consistency

0.38

Price

142,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

The butt of everyone’s jokes for years, the ageing front rower will be out to prove he still has it in 2015 after a failed move to Melbourne last year. The former Manly crowd favourite will be out to secure the Red V fans' hearts in a last ditch effort to play first grade at the end of his career. In a side that has been screaming for size, the 120kg big man has plenty of it.

 

David Hala

2015 Team

Titans

Position

FRF

Games played

7

Ave Minutes

19

Fantasy average

18.14

PPM

0.93

Consistency

0.73

Price

146,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 17

Hala played seven games last year and averaged less than 20 minutes per game. That average is down around the Jarrod Wallace/James Hasson zone of "it's probably not worth cleaning the jersey after every game". Hala should get more opportunities at the Titans, and in fact he could be a sneaky cash cow if he secures a starting role at the Gold Coast.

 

David Klemmer

2015 Team

Bulldogs

Position

FRF

Games played

19

Ave Minutes

22

Fantasy average

21.58

PPM

0.99

Consistency

0.42

Price

191,000

Origin

High

Bye weeks

12, 17

Klemmer had a huge season for a guy that only averaged 22 minutes a game. He consistently made a lot out of those 22 minutes, delivering big hits and wearing teams down with his charges. If he is to be a useful fantasy player he really needs to deliver that same sort of output over 40 minutes but Des Hasler doesn’t care about your fantasy side so he’s probably content letting Klemmer develop with limited minutes.

 

Kane Evans

2015 Team

Roosters

Position

FRF

Games played

8

Ave Minutes

23

Fantasy average

18.50

PPM

0.79

Consistency

0.22

Price

154,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 17

For the third year in a row Evans will attract some buzz as being a potential cash cow. He’s been on an NYC team of the year, played under 20s for NSW and the Junior Kangaroos, been on the NSW Cup team of the year and played international league for Fiji, so he certainly ticks a lot of boxes. He debuted for the Roosters in 2014 and played sporadically throughout the season in the low minute fourth front row role and with three first choice front rowers and Martin Kennedy re-joining it is difficult to see Evans getting an expanded role in 2015, although Issac Liu could play more second row than front row which will help.

 

Jarrod Wallace

2015 Team

Broncos

Position

FRF

Games played

15

Ave Minutes

18

Fantasy average

12.80

PPM

0.72

Consistency

0.58

Price

137,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14, 17

Wallace is like so many promising forwards at the Broncos; not playing in the NRL. He’ll need a few injuries to the top squad to be a fantasy option.

 

Lloyd Perrett

2015 Team

Bulldogs

Position

FRF

Games played

8

Ave Minutes

18

Fantasy average

14.88

PPM

0.83

Consistency

0.49

Price

137,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

12, 17

Although David Klemmer gets most of the headlines as a future front row boss Lloyd Perrett has a massive future in front of him too. The Bulldogs saw enough in him to extend his contract out to 2018 which is a huge sign of faith. He’s eligible for Queensland and his mate versus mate battles with Klemmer could be one of the highlights of Origin battles in the next decade.

 

Dayne Weston

2015 Team

Storm

Position

FRF/2RF

Games played

6

Ave Minutes

18

Fantasy average

12.67

PPM

0.70

Consistency

0.64

Price

137,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 17

In 2014 Dayne Weston was one of those incredibly cheap players that people got in their fantasy team so they had an extra $20k to spend elsewhere. His minutes played during the year were 11, 10, 4, 10, 28 and 13, and considering he’s 28 there’s no reason to think he’s the next great cash cow.

 

Tyson Andrews

2015 Team

Titans

Position

FRF

Games played

4

Ave Minutes

8

Fantasy average

7.00

PPM

0.88

Consistency

0.58

Price

136,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 17

Ladies and gentlemen, the winner of the player with the lowest value at year end…..TYSON ANDREWS! Andrews finished worth just $73,468 after averaging 7 in his four games.

Monday, 12 January 2015 11:00

RFS Preview: FRF mid-rangers

Yesterday we started our series covering over 450 players that are likely to have role in the 2015 NRL season. You can find the FRF guns here. Today we take a look at the mid-range FRF's to see if there is a gem hidden in the rough.

But first a quick refresher. 

We have divided each position up into four sections: guns (players over $300k), mid-range players ($200k-300k), cheapies (under $200k) and rookies and other players that didn't see any first grade in 2014. We will have one article covering each of these four areas, for each of the positions. If you can't find the player you are looking for he's either priced somewhere else or he is a dual position player that we have included in his other position.

The prices are just a prediction based on a player's 2014 fantasy average, the salary cap might change the actual price a bit but this will give you a good feel for how players will be valued compared to others. Players that played less than seven games can be subjected to price discounts from as high as 50% for players who played one or two games to as low as 5% for someone that played six games. Just keep that in mind. 

Note: Since this series of articles started the first fantasy prices of 2015 have been announced. They appear to represent a 16% increase in player value while the salary cap, if they continue to match it with the actual NRL salary cap, will see just a 4% increase in value. That means it will be harder to build a team of guns in 2015 than it was in 2014. This will be a response to complaints in 2014 when the cap went up higher than player values did. It's a good thing, it makes for more differentiation and increases the importance of developing a good team rather than just starting with one. 

If you have missed any articles in the series you can find the links here.

James Tamou

2015 Team

Cowboys

Position

FRF

Games played

19

Ave Minutes

47

Fantasy average

38.79

PPM

0.82

Consistency

0.26

Price

343,000

Origin

Certain

Bye weeks

14, 17

Tamou is out with injury for the start of the 2015 NRL season. His return date is not yet known, but coaches should pay attention, as Tamou’s return will see a reshuffle to Green’s forward pack.

 

Ben Creagh

2015 Team

Dragons

Position

FRF

Games played

22

Ave Minutes

55

Fantasy average

36.68

PPM

0.67

Consistency

0.28

Price

325,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

One of the only Dragons forwards to play consistently all through the year, Creagh shoots into fantasy relevancy if he continues the transition to prop he has been making over the past two seasons. With the club captaincy guaranteeing higher than usual front row minutes and a much improved PPM than his play on the edge, Creagh could be an interesting option moving forward.

 

Adam Blair

2015 Team

Broncos

Position

FRF

Games played

24

Ave Minutes

62

Fantasy average

33.75

PPM

0.54

Consistency

0.32

Price

298,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

14, 17

Adam Blair was a fantasy spud at the Tigers, despite being a 60 minute forward. But, any player coming into a new team can be undervalued, as their role and impact may change. If Blair does lift his terrible PPM above 0.5, expect Tigers’ fans to go into conniptions.

 

Will Matthews

2015 Team

Dragons

Position

FRF/2RF

Games played

15

Ave Minutes

37

Fantasy average

28.40

PPM

0.77

Consistency

0.39

Price

251,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

Matthews role has grown at the Dragons every year since moving down from the Titans in 2012. A common face in NSW Cup teams of the year, Matthews always seems to be one or two injuries away from a permanent spot in the 17, he has only managed 25 games over the previous three seasons with the club.

 

Ben Matulino

2015 Team

Warriors

Position

FRF/2RF

Games played

20

Ave Minutes

50

Fantasy average

35.60

PPM

0.71

Consistency

0.30

Price

315,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 17

Big Ben was stymied in his attempt to become a fantasy stud in 2014. With niggly injuries and an overabundance of second rowers, his morphing into an offloading back rower was often hidden behind his role as a hard hitting work horse front rower. Despite limited opportunities he topped the Warriors offload totals with an impressive 38 from 20 games; almost double any other Warrior. Bukuya and Mateo’s departures will hopefully help complete his ball playing transformation. Could be a bolter - watch closely, might be a nice little POD!

 

Jacob Lillyman

2015 Team

Warriors

Position

FRF

Games played

24

Ave Minutes

47

Fantasy average

33.08

PPM

0.71

Consistency

0.25

Price

293,000

Origin

High

Bye weeks

11, 17

The Bull continues to grow as a leader and aspirations of Origin are still realistic so expect another raging season. With the Warriors having a strong prop rotation no Warrior props are worth considering as serious fantasy options. An increase in minutes could be a red flag, offset by his Origin possibilities it’s likely that he will be of little interest to fantasy owners in 2015.

 

Sam Moa

2015 Team

Roosters

Position

FRF

Games played

24

Ave Minutes

47

Fantasy average

37.92

PPM

0.80

Consistency

0.26

Price

336,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 17

Moa is an unsung hero of the Roosters forward pack. Tough, uncompromising and super consistent he’s certainly become a success in the NRL via a long and tortuous path – Cronulla and Hull. Here’s a classic old school shoulder charge from Moa’s days at Hull. You’re welcome.

 

Ben Hannant

2015 Team

Cowboys

Position

FRF

Games played

20

Ave Minutes

40

Fantasy average

36.75

PPM

0.91

Consistency

0.39

Price

325,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14, 17

Ben Hannant comes from the Broncos after a disappointing season. A representative prop a few years ago, Ben seemed to be on the outer at Brisbane and did not get the minutes or scores he may manage in Townsville. The injury to Tamou also elevates him to starting prop, so he might be a good early season option.

 

Jared Waerea-Hargreaves

2015 Team

Roosters

Position

FRF

Games played

23

Ave Minutes

51

Fantasy average

35.74

PPM

0.69

Consistency

0.22

Price

316,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 17

JWH withdrew from the Kiwis Four Nation squad citing burnout but it smelt a lot more like put out after his ANZAC test snub by Steve Kearney. You were better off snubbing JWH from your 2014 fantasy side as he was a big disappointment after a promising 2013 campaign. Both his minutes and scoring were down on his numbers from 2013 and he didn’t appear quite as committed as he had during the Roosters Grand Final win. He is still only 25 years-old so it could just be a glitch rather than the start of his downfall and reports are he has been a beast in pre-season training lifting an incredible 160 kg powerclean. If you think JWH can return to form and past minutes he’s fairly cheap.

 

Martin Taupau

2015 Team

Tigers

Position

FRF

Games played

24

Ave Minutes

36

Fantasy average

33.21

PPM

0.93

Consistency

0.29

Price

294,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

12, 18

Marty Kapow made huge strides in 2014 and his status was cemented by a massive display in the Four Nations final. He’s the sort of player that will have hundreds of youtube clips of him blowing up ball carriers by the time his career is done. As a fantasy player he is not getting enough minutes to be useful, he averaged 39 minutes a game starting and 35 from the interchange, but his PPM should hold if he does get more minutes, making him a 40-45 point player if he could play 50 minute games.

 

Luke Douglas

2015 Team

Titans

Position

FRF

Games played

21

Ave Minutes

44

Fantasy average

32.76

PPM

0.74

Consistency

0.27

Price

290,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 17

Douglas set a record for the longest streak of games during 2014 and he extended the streak to 215 before accepting his ASADA ban. That sort of ability to remain injury free would be great for fantasy but Douglas doesn’t play enough minutes to be a viable option, he averaged just 44 minutes a game in 2014.

 

Matthew White

2015 Team

Titans

Position

FRF

Games played

22

Ave Minutes

41

Fantasy average

32.18

PPM

0.78

Consistency

0.24

Price

285,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 17

White had a really solid 2014, he had the lowest missed tackle percentage on the Titans at just 2%, and had only two errors and six penalties in his 22 games. White doesn’t have much explosiveness but a player who can avoid negative plays can easily find a niche. White’s value increased by $88k over the year but he still wouldn't have been a good cash cow as he didn’t peak in price until round 26.

 

Matt Lodge

2015 Team

Tigers

Position

FRF

Games played

4

Ave Minutes

31

Fantasy average

29.50

PPM

0.95

Consistency

0.26

Price

214,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

12, 18

If you have heard of Matt Lodge there is a good chance you have done so because he was the player suspended for three weeks for writing “c*nt” on his wrist taping during the under 20's Origin game. Lodge ended up finishing runner up to the Hound in the Webster’s Dictionary Man of the year awards but he is also an outstanding rugby league prospect. Lodge was released from his contract with the Storm at mid-season and was swiftly grabbed by the Tigers in what could end up a real steal. He debuted in round 17 and managed 21 tackles and three tackle breaks in just 26 minutes of game time and started three further games at the end of the year, managing a PPM of 0.95. He will be the fourth prop behind Aaron Woods, Martin Taupau and Keith Galloway but expect him to make the most of any opportunity. Also expect his price to be discounted as he only played four games. One to watch.

 

Jeremy Latimore

2015 Team

Panthers

Position

FRF

Games played

22

Ave Minutes

43

Fantasy average

36.36

PPM

0.85

Consistency

0.21

Price

322,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 14

Latimore was one of the unheralded players in the Panthers’ finals run. He was very consistent from the bench and did a lot of the unrecognised work. His fantasy scores reflect his consistency, he had a coefficient of variation score of 0.21 which means his fantasy scores had very little variation compared to his average. His 2014 PPM points towards a player capable of averaging 45-50 points per game if he was to get 55 to 60 minutes but I am not sure he has those sort of minutes in him on a regular basis.

 

Mitch Garbutt

2015 Team

Broncos

Position

FRF

Games played

6

Ave Minutes

26

Fantasy average

27.83

PPM

1.07

Consistency

0.37

Price

217,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14, 17

Mitch played nine games for the Storm in 2014, before arriving at the Brisbane Broncos for 2015. It’s hard to know if Garbutt will be in the top 17, but he is probably close. However, even if he does make it, he is competing with a star-studded forward pack, so minutes will be limited. With the uncertainty around the Broncos forward pack, watch this space.

 

Tim Mannah

2015 Team

Eels

Position

FRF

Games played

22

Ave Minutes

44

Fantasy average

35.91

PPM

0.81

Consistency

0.19

Price

318,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

15, 18

Mannah only averaged 44 minutes a game last season which was easily the lowest average of any of the NRL captains (Ben Creagh was the closest with 55 minutes per game). His low minutes and consistent scoring rate meant that Mannah was second only to Cam Smith in his fantasy points consistency. That’s probably not relevant to you because Mannah only averaged 35.9 points.

 

Thomas Burgess

2015 Team

Rabbitohs

Position

FRF

Games played

14

Ave Minutes

43

Fantasy average

32.79

PPM

0.77

Consistency

0.27

Price

290,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

15, 18

A sure fire way to tell George and Tom apart is that George is the one breaking tackles. George broke 3.3 tackles per game in 2014 compared to Tom who could only manage 1.1 per game. Tom finished the season averaging 43 minutes per game which is only eight minutes less than George but he was a massive 16.6 fantasy points behind his twin brother. Don’t make the mistake of thinking that Tom can do what George can just because they look the same.

 

Kade Snowden

2015 Team

Knights

Position

FRF

Games played

17

Ave Minutes

44

Fantasy average

37.18

PPM

0.85

Consistency

0.26

Price

329,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14, 17

Kade Snowden had a very underwhelming season in 2014 and will be looking to reconcile that in a big way in 2015. In previous years Snowden has been able to reach an average of low 40s and will be looking to hit that again in 2015. Snowden is an option that could be taken as a POD if his price tag is low enough to be considered value.

 

Willie Mason

2015 Team

Sea Eagles

Position

FRF

Games played

21

Ave Minutes

41

Fantasy average

31.19

PPM

0.76

Consistency

0.21

Price

276,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

After three years with Newcastle big Willie makes his way to Manly. He turns 35 early in the season, and although his retirement is approaching fast he will add some toughness to the Sea Eagles forward pack. He averaged fairly consistently between 35 and 50 minutes at Newcastle and he will be similar at the Sea Eagles, so don’t see a change of scenery as a boost to his fantasy prospects.

 

David Tyrrell

2015 Team

Rabbitohs

Position

FRF

Games played

24

Ave Minutes

37

Fantasy average

28.04

PPM

0.76

Consistency

0.33

Price

248,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

15, 18

Tyrrell managed to start 20 games for the Rabbitohs last season which is quite the effort in a forward pack stuffed with rep players. He played less than 40 minutes per game but he was a reliable player who could beat out Tim Grant for the right to start in 2015.

 

Jordan McLean

2015 Team

Storm

Position

FRF

Games played

15

Ave Minutes

35

Fantasy average

31.67

PPM

0.90

Consistency

0.35

Price

280,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 17

Jordan McLean got seven weeks for his tackle on Alex McKinnon. It was an outcome that had significantly more to do with bad luck than anything malicious by McLean. Subsequent to this suspension Greg Bird (two weeks), Tariq Sims (two weeks), Ngani Laumape (three weeks) and Johnathan Wright (three weeks) all did much worse lifting tackles for much smaller suspension lengths. Basing a suspension length on outcome rather than the tackle itself is ridiculous and inconsistent when the outcome, whether a player gets injured or not, is completely random. The NRL continues to pay lip service to player safety unless they get serious on all lifting tackles, not just those that result in an injury.

 

Josh Starling

2015 Team

Sea Eagles

Position

FRF

Games played

24

Ave Minutes

44

Fantasy average

28.21

PPM

0.64

Consistency

0.24

Price

250,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

Starling was the surprise package in the Sea Eagles' forward pack in 2014 and ended up starting every game at prop. As a cash cow Starling's price moved about as fast as he does on the field, he peaked in round 17 which is far too long to wait for a player that only goes up $100k. Even with the addition of Willie Mason, Starling likely has a similar role in 2014 unless highly touted prospect Jake Trbojevic gets his long awaited opportunity.

 

David Shillington

2015 Team

Raiders

Position

FRF

Games played

17

Ave Minutes

49

Fantasy average

35.82

PPM

0.74

Consistency

0.25

Price

317,000

Origin

Medium

Bye weeks

14,17

Shillington was solid but unspectacular in 17 games before a pec injury ended his year. Shillo’s representative days appear over and it will take a stellar first ten rounds to push him back into the frame. It’s also interesting he didn’t get much consideration as the captaincy successor to Terry Campese although that could be more of a positive reflection on Jarrod Croker than a negative on Shillington who ended up the VC. As a fantasy player he is a base stat warrior with limited upside, not unlike about ten other Raiders forwards.

 

Junior Paulo

2015 Team

Eels

Position

FRF

Games played

16

Ave Minutes

44

Fantasy average

33.19

PPM

0.76

Consistency

0.31

Price

294,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

15, 18

I took a calculated gamble on Junior Paulo in round 14. He was coming off a three game run averaging 48 points while increasing his minutes each week. Paulo collected on my gamble by scoring 24, 22 and 43 at which point I ditched him. Just a terrible decision on my part, I take full accountability for that.

 

David Fa'alogo

2015 Team

Knights

Position

2RF/FRF

Games played

18

Ave Minutes

40

Fantasy average

27.56

PPM

0.69

Consistency

0.22

Price

244,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14, 17

The veteran prop enters what may very well be his final season in the NRL. While he is almost assured a starting position, his minutes and fantasy scoring potential in 2015 are questionable at best. There isn't much competition in the front row at the Knights at the moment however, with a distinct lack of props at the club.

 

Dane Tilse

2015 Team

Raiders

Position

FRF

Games played

24

Ave Minutes

41

Fantasy average

32.71

PPM

0.79

Consistency

0.29

Price

289,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14,17

The lanky Dane Tilse spent most of the year on the interchange bench, although his six games starting he played basically the same minutes. One of the many mid-range players you have never considered and will never consider having in your fantasy team.

 

Sam Tagataese

2015 Team

Sharks

Position

FRF

Games played

18

Ave Minutes

36

Fantasy average

29.06

PPM

0.81

Consistency

0.31

Price

254,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

Tagataese split his 18 games in 2014 evenly between time starting and on the interchange. He passed the eyeball test making some strong runs throughout the year but he never played more than 45 minutes in a game so his fantasy value is capped.

 

David Gower

2015 Team

Eels

Position

FRF

Games played

22

Ave Minutes

46

Fantasy average

30.36

PPM

0.66

Consistency

0.32

Price

269,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

15, 18

I know that Gower wasn’t a popular fantasy player last year because he played 10 games at second row or lock and yet was never made a dual position player. If he was popular the pressure to correct this would have been immense. Anyway Gower is a versatile player who should suit 45-60 minutes spurts from the bench covering the front and second row.

 

Sam McKendry

2015 Team

Panthers

Position

FRF

Games played

22

Ave Minutes

40

Fantasy average

30.18

PPM

0.76

Consistency

0.23

Price

267,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 14

McKendry returned from a scary neck injury in 2013 to get a starting role and a three year contract extension with the Panthers. McKendry was part of Penrith’s unheralded front row rotation along with Jeremy Latimore, Brett Kite and Nigel Plum. None of them are flashy but they all do a job for the Panthers. McKendry should start again in 2015 but he’d play basically the same minutes from the bench anyway.

 

Mark Ioane

2015 Team

Titans

Position

FRF

Games played

11

Ave Minutes

32

Fantasy average

30.55

PPM

0.96

Consistency

0.36

Price

270,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 17

Ioane played 11 games from the interchange bench but it wasn’t until round 25 and 26 that he made a noticeable fantasy impact. After averaging 26 points a game in 27 minutes over his first nine games he got a bump to 46 and 57 minutes and came up with 54 and 49 fantasy points. Being able to maintain his PPM in greater minutes is a pretty encouraging sign and it isn’t like there were any fluke elements to his scores as he was almost all base stats. I’m not sure he will get good minutes in 2015 but he could be worth keeping on the radar.

 

David Fifita

2015 Team

Sharks

Position

FRF

Games played

3

Ave Minutes

22

Fantasy average

27.33

PPM

1.26

Consistency

0.18

Price

191,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

If David Fifita and Andrew Fifita share 100% of their DNA then how come Andrew has at least 120% of the football ability of brother David? These are the sort of questions that keep me awake at night. David saw spot duty in three games last season and will struggle to break into first grade in 2015 if he does that PPM is actually really good and his price will probably be discounted by 20-30% which will make him intriguing.

 

Caleb Binge

2015 Team

Titans

Position

FRF

Games played

2

Ave Minutes

37

Fantasy average

34.50

PPM

0.95

Consistency

0.10

Price

232,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 17

Binge is more well known as being the recipient of alleged racial abuse from Timana Tahu than for anything he has done in the NRL. He did make a long awaited debut in 2014 for the Gold Coast, in round 14, and made one further appearance in the Titan’s round 26 game. Binge had a very good PPM in his limited minutes but it is hard to see him having much of an impact in 2014 unless there is an injury crisis at the Titans.

 

Mike Cooper

2015 Team

Dragons

Position

FRF

Games played

23

Ave Minutes

44

Fantasy average

36.83

PPM

0.84

Consistency

0.26

Price

326,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 14

The UK import was the real surprise packet for the Dragons in his first year at the club. The only forward in the pack to bend the line, Cooper forced his way into to starting lineup for the second half of the season. A PPM machine, the Dragons will be relying on the Englishman if they want to improve their much maligned under-sized pack.

 

Sam Kasiano

2015 Team

Bulldogs

Position

FRF

Games played

14

Ave Minutes

34

Fantasy average

28.64

PPM

0.85

Consistency

0.32

Price

253,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

12, 17

Kaisano is off contract at the end of the season and rumours have often circulated about his unhappiness at Belmore. The Bulldogs have a solid front row nucleus developing even if Kasiano left so it wouldn’t be a shock to see him take up a role with a front row needy team like the Dragons or Knights, but that’s a concern for next season. An impact player who only averaged 34 minutes a game last season it was surprising to see Kasiano have just 16 tackle breaks in the entire season although he was second on the team with 31 offloads.

 

Nigel Plum

2015 Team

Panthers

Position

FRF

Games played

21

Ave Minutes

42

Fantasy average

31.48

PPM

0.74

Consistency

0.22

Price

266,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 14

If someone asked me who the most average fantasy prop was I would say Nigel Plum. He’s not good, he’s not bad, he’s just Nigel Plum. He was also super consistent at being average with a consistency rating that places him 20th of players who played more than 15 games. A further boon to his prospects is the fact he has officially retired from rep footy which puts his risk of missing Origin games at zero rather than the previous status of very low. That’ll increase his ownership by at least 3% so get on board.

 

Brent Kite

2015 Team

Panthers

Position

FRF

Games played

17

Ave Minutes

42

Fantasy average

27.59

PPM

0.66

Consistency

0.30

Price

244,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

If you have read the profiles of Jeremy Latimore, Nigel Plum or Sam McKendry you’ll know that the Panthers front row was unheralded. If you haven’t read any of those profiles then the Panthers’ front row was unheralded in 2015, they did a good job with not much press time.

Monday, 12 January 2015 11:00

RFS preview: FRF Guns

It has been a busy off-season at RFS headquarters. Once the season finished last September we moved straight onto preparing for the 2015 fantasy season. One of the things we've been working on is a complete preview that covers every player likely to get a run in the NRL this season. A large number of players won't play much of a factor in 2015 Fantasy as a cash cow or a gun but you never know who is set to fill those roles so we thought we'd at least throw some numbers and some comments at you that might help you identify who is what.

We have divided each position up into four sections: guns (players over $300k), mid-range players ($200k-300k), cheapies (under $200k) and rookies and other players that didn't see any first grade in 2014. We will have one article covering each of these four areas, for each of the positions. If you can't find the player you are looking for he's either priced somewhere else or he is a dual position player that we have included in his other position.

The prices are just a prediction based on a player's 2014 fantasy average, the salary cap might change the actual price a bit but this will give you a good feel for how players will be valued compared to others. Players that played less than seven games can be subjected to price discounts from as high as 50% for players who played one or two games to as low as 5% for someone that played six games. Just keep that in mind. 

Note: Since this series of articles started the first fantasy prices of 2015 have been announced. They appear to represent a 16% increase in player value while the salary cap, if they continue to match it with the actual NRL salary cap, will see just a 4% increase in value. That means it will be harder to build a team of guns in 2015 than it was in 2014. This will be a response to complaints in 2014 when the cap went up higher than player values did. It's a good thing, it makes for more differentiation and increases the importance of developing a good team rather than just starting with one. 

If you have missed any articles in the series you can find the links here.

Here are your FRF guns led off by a pair of injury riddled Sharks....

Paul Gallen

2015 Team

Sharks

Position

FRF/2RF

Games played

9

Ave Minutes

71

Fantasy average

64.56

PPM

0.91

Consistency

0.34

Price

554,000

Origin

Certain

Bye weeks

11, 14

These days it feels like Gallen plays more games for New South Wales than he does for Cronulla. For that reason he has entered a lot of people’s “never again” list but what if he does the unthinkable and plays 24 games? In the nine games Gallen decided to grace the Sharks with his presence he averaged 64.6 fantasy points and scored over 70 on four occasions and that average comes without any adjustment for the two games he got injured. Just imagine if he stays fit.....

 

Andrew Fifita

2015 Team

Sharks

Position

FRF

Games played

12

Ave Minutes

54

Fantasy average

60.50

PPM

1.11

Consistency

0.27

Price

535,000

Origin

Certain

Bye weeks

11, 14

Fifita is a fantasy boss but he was cursed by injuries in 2014 which forced him to miss ten games while a suspension cost him another two. When he is on the field Fifita can do it all. He breaks tackles, makes tackles and has a great work rate. Fifita had one injury impacted score of 23 but every other performance he scored at least 48, that’s really good, and if you throw that injury out his consistency level rivals that of Cam Smith. If you are going to pay the big bucks it is comforting to know you’ll get a weekly return.

 

Jesse Bromwich

2015 Team

Storm

Position

FRF

Games played

23

Ave Minutes

56

Fantasy average

50.22

PPM

0.90

Consistency

0.27

Price

444,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 17

Bromwich established himself as an elite talent in 2014, at both international and club level Bromwich was influential. He has missed just one game for the Storm in the past two years and has thrived with the game time. He has good footwork, strong ball skills and is a reliable tackler (missed tackle rate of just 4% last year). He looks primed to join James Graham and Matt Scott at the top of the front row pile.

 

James Graham

2015 Team

Bulldogs

Position

FRF

Games played

24

Ave Minutes

63

Fantasy average

50.63

PPM

0.80

Consistency

0.23

Price

448,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

12, 17

Graham has long lived in the shadow of fellow Englishman Sam Burgess, who managed to add a Grand Final win to his resume while Graham now has two losses, so you can expect Graham to be fully motivated for 2015. With the Bulldogs playing round 11 and 14 James Graham is going to a very popular fantasy player. He doesn’t have the big splash games of Andrew Fifita or George Burgess but he still scored over 70 on three occasions while only having one sub-35 game. As safe as fantasy players get.

 

George Burgess

2015 Team

Rabbitohs

Position

FRF

Games played

20

Ave Minutes

51

Fantasy average

49.35

PPM

0.96

Consistency

0.27

Price

437,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

15, 18

George Burgess wasn’t quite as explosive in 2014 as he was in 2013; his tries dropped from seven to two while he had just one try assist and three line breaks. Those numbers could easily bounce back in 2015 as George looks to replace part of the production of big brother Sam and he could even be in line for a slight bump to his minutes. George very rarely lost any effectiveness playing longer minutes and after averaging 51 minutes per game last year someone between 55 and 60 is a realistic proposition in 2015. He is probably slightly undervalued but he can be a bit streaky so don’t be shocked if he throws together a three or four game run scoring under 45 points.

 

Aaron Woods

2015 Team

Tigers

Position

FRF

Games played

21

Ave Minutes

57

Fantasy average

48.19

PPM

0.84

Consistency

0.24

Price

426,000

Origin

High

Bye weeks

12, 18

Woods was a huge fantasy bust at the start of the 2014 season. Over the first four games he averaged just 38.75 which wasn’t good enough for a player worth $380k. But Woods got things back on track and averaged 50.4 over the course of the rest of the season. Woods doesn’t have the high ceiling of some of the other front rowers, he only passed 65 on one occasion, but his lack of big scores does mean that he is amongst the most consistent front rowers around. Woods should be in the Blues squad for Origin but that couldn’t be considered a certainty quite yet.

 

Josh McGuire

2015 Team

Broncos

Position

FRF

Games played

23

Ave Minutes

59

Fantasy average

50.30

PPM

0.85

Consistency

0.20

Price

445,000

Origin

Moderate

Bye weeks

14, 17

McGuire promised so much in 2013, and seemed to never reach his fantasy potential. 2014 was the same with unreliable minutes and poor discipline harming his scores. McGuire has potential to be a fantasy gun with a big motor and ability to break tackles, but he is still just potential. Will he finally break out in 2015?

 

Matthew Scott

2015 Team

Cowboys

Position

FRF

Games played

18

Ave Minutes

56

Fantasy average

53.17

PPM

0.95

Consistency

0.27

Price

471,000

Origin

Certain

Bye weeks

14, 17

Matt Scott is a gun FRF, when fit. Unfortunately, he often struggles with undisclosed injuries, which lead to unexpected drops in scores, normally when you need him most. After some surgery and a proper offseason, 2015 should see him injury free and back to his barnstorming best.

 

Aiden Tolman

2015 Team

Bulldogs

Position

FRF

Games played

18

Ave Minutes

52

Fantasy average

46.39

PPM

0.90

Consistency

0.35

Price

411,000

Origin

Medium

Bye weeks

12, 17

Tolman started and finished the season really strong, he averaged 54.75 in the first four weeks and 56.2 on the last five. In between he wasn’t so good, averaging 37.2 while getting injured and ruining the bye preparations of countless fantasy owners. At about $350k you probably need a much higher level of consistency.

 

Paul Vaughan

2015 Team

Raiders

Position

FRF/2RF

Games played

23

Ave Minutes

47

Fantasy average

41.65

PPM

0.89

Consistency

0.25

Price

369,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14,17

Vaughan had a very good season in 2014. He spent most of his time coming off the interchange bench but he really made his minutes count averaging 41.7 fantasy points a game. He’s a grinder who scores almost entirely due to tackles and metres gained with the occasional tackle bust. He could be in line for expanded game time while Shaun Fensom is out and in the two games he played more than 70 minutes he scored 53 and 45 points.

 

Brenton Lawrence

2015 Team

Sea Eagles

Position

FRF

Games played

22

Ave Minutes

46

Fantasy average

41.23

PPM

0.90

Consistency

0.21

Price

365,000

Origin

Medium

Bye weeks

11, 14

Lawrence failed to kick on after a promising first campaign with the Sea Eagles had people thinking he was an outside shot for the Maroons. Lawrence is a late bloomer with his NRL debut not arriving until he was 25 years-old but now 30 his representative window is almost closed. In 2014 Lawrence was seen as an intriguing fantasy prospect because there was a wide belief he would get an increase in minutes as the Sea Eagles front row depth was almost non-existent, unfortunately it was Lawrence’s increase in minutes that was non-existent. Lawrence has a PPM similar to fantasy guns Paul Gallen and Jesse Bromwich but it is worth noting that in the two games Lawrence played more than 60 minutes he had his worst and third worst PPM’s of the year suggesting that he may not be able to maintain his PPM with greater minutes.

Thursday, 18 December 2014 11:00

RFS Holiday Viewing Guide

At RFS we recognise that Christmas isn’t just about presents and lunch. It is also about relaxing on the couch and watching sport and with that in mind the RFS team bring you a guide to help you get your relax on.

Note: Dates are intended to reflect the Aust/NZ timezone. Consult your broadcast partner for more details.

Cricket - Big Bash

The Big Bash is under way and features games almost every day until the end of January.

Darts – World Darts Championship (19th December-5th January)

With Michael van Gerwen (11/4 odds) capturing his first world title last year, it looked like he would start in pursuit of Phil Taylor’s record 16 titles. Like many a sportsman before, marriage seems to have taken the edge that gave MVG the dominance over fields. Phil Taylor (2/1 favourite) also has got his groove back and is comfortable with his darts, thus making him favourite. Other strong contenders include the in-form Gary Anderson (13/2 odds), who if he starts hitting doubles could go deep. The flamboyant Peter Wright (40/1 odds) emerged from the pack last year and will look to replicate. James Wade (16/1 odds) loves the format and look for him to lose to Taylor in the semi. Mervyn King (80/1 odds) and Stephen Bunting (22/1 odds) could be this year’s long shots. However it pans out, there is something quite cathartic watching darts with your bacon and eggs. If you don’t think darts is a big deal check out these darts WAGS and think again.

Football – A-League (19th December-6th January)

There is plenty of A-League action across the holiday period, with some sides looking to consolidate their place atop the competition, and some unlikely customers in the cellar looking to begin to play catch up. With 20 games from the 19th December to the 6th January, there is plenty of action, highlighted by the Melbourne derby on the 20th, to keep you entertained.

Football – English Premier League (20th, 21st, 22nd, 26th, 28th, 29th December and 1st January)

The English Premier League continues over the holiday period, with even more games than usual. There are story lines across the competition at the moment. Will Chelsea maintain their dominance despite recently suffering their first loss? Will City keep touch with the leaders after Aguero's injury, and can United continue their impressive run of results despite injuries to what seems like the majority of their playing roster? There is also of the issue of what clubs will keep in touch with the top four and qualification for Europe, and as always the feisty relegation scrap at the other end of the table holds much mystery. To go along with regular fixtures across the holiday period, there is a full game week (10 matches) on Boxing Day night, along with another during the night following New Year's Day.

American Football – College Bowl Games and Playoffs (21st December-13th January)

For the first time the College Football National Championship will be determined by a play-off with Alabama, Oregon, Florida State and Ohio State in the running. Ohio State feels out of their depth but there is something to like about all of the other three sides. The Rose Bowl and Sugar Bowl are both played on the 2nd of January with the winners through to the National Championship game on the 13th of January.  On top if this there are another 36 Bowl Games throughout the holiday period.

Sports Documentaries – ESPN 30 for 30 series (21st December)

If you love sport ESPN’s 30 for 30 series is a must. They’ll likely screen on ESPN throughout the time period but there are three scheduled next week. On the 21st (also replayed on the 23rd) there is Two points, one title which tells the story of the crucial decision by Nebraska football coach Tom Osborne in 1984, and this is followed by the Myth of Garrincha about Brazillian soccer player Mane Garrincha. The next day sees The Fab Five shown which is about Michigan Basketball’s loaded freshmen class of 1991. If you want something more bite sized there is also the 30 for 30 shorts series over at Grantland.

American Football – National Football League Regular Season (22nd, 23rd and 28th December)

The NFL season is in crunch time with play-off spots, seedings and the important race to the first overall draft pick up for grabs over the final two weeks. If you haven’t caught NFL Redzone, make the most of the earlier hours of Monday morning and do so. The big clashes over the next two weeks will involve the Falcons v Saints, Chiefs v Steelers, Seahawks v Cardinals and Broncos v Bengals in Week 16 and Lions v Packers, Chargers v Chiefs and Bengals v Steelers in Week 17. If you need a long odds play to pay off your credit card lay a few bucks on the Bills to make the play-offs. They’ll need some help, ok a lot of help, but they are playing really well and could give the Patriots a scare in their Week 17 match-up.

Basketball – Christmas Day NBA (26th December)

The Americans don’t let Christmas Day interrupt their sport, in fact the NBA embrace the opportunity with a dedicated Christmas Day schedule. This year they have five games headlined by the Warriors v Clippers and Cavaliers v Heat. The Warriors and Clippers are in a two way race to win the Pacific Division while the schedule makers have cleverly scheduled LeBron’s first match-up against his old team in a money making TV slot. New Zealand fans will have something to follow with Steven Adams’ Thunder taking on the defending champion Spurs. Finally the many fans of the Lakers and Knicks can see their miserable seasons continue with likely loses to the Bulls and Wizards.

Cricket – Boxing Day Test India v Australia (26th-30th December)

The Australians will look to retake the Border-Gavaskar Trophy on the hallowed grounds of the MCG. If you want some easy money bet on a result and an Australian win. There hasn’t been a draw at the MCG since 1997 and in that time Australia has won 13 and lost 3. Meanwhile the Indians haven’t tasted victory at the MCG since 1981 and have lost their last five there. With the belligerent David Warner looking to extend his lead as the best opening batsman in the world Australia seem very likely to take this game.

Cricket - Boxing Day Test New Zealand v Sri Lanka (26th-30th December)

Test cricket returns to Christchurch for the first time in eight years. Hagley Oval is likely to offer a bit to the bowlers on the first day before flattening into a wicket that takes just a touch of turn. The two first class fixtures there this season have both got to a result with the side batting first winning once and the side batting second winning once. A number of New Zealand batsman are in great form with the middle order of Kane Williamson, Ross Taylor and Brendon McCullum being stellar over the past year. On the bowling front Tim Southee and Trent Boult will be well rested and Boult especially could be a handful back in familiar conditions. A Sri Lankan top order missing Mahela Jayawardene looks fragile but they still have the outstanding Kumar Sangakkara and Angelo Mathews while Rengana Herath could find conditions to his liking if he is available to play.

Sailing - Sydney Hobart Yacht Race (26th-28th December)

The 2014 Sydney- Hobart could be one of the most hotly contested in recent years. Defending line honours champion Wild Oats XI will be there, as will a host of other 100 footers. Ragamuffin 100 and Perpetual Loyal return to challenge the 7-time winner, and will be joined by new American Supermaxi 'Comanche' and refurbished Bakewell-White 100 (formerly 98) 'Rio 100'. Don't discount the smaller guys though, NZ Wine Magnate Jim Delegat's Volvo 70 'Giacomo' is back for a second bite at the apple. After finishing 6th on line last year, the race between them and fellow 70 footer 'Black Jack' will be a tight one. Black Jack showed what they are capable of earlier this month by finishing 3rd in the SOLAS Big Boat Challenge on Sydney Harbour behind Wild Oats XI and Comanche.

Horse Racing – Perth Cup (1st January)

Western Australia kicks off the year in fine style with the running of the time honoured Perth Cup. Dating back to 1887 the 2400mtr race is sure to draw a large crowd on the public holiday. The early favourite ($3) is Real Love trained by Adam Durrant and ridden by William Pike.

Ice Hockey – 2015 NHL Winter Classic (2nd January)

The annual Winter Classic is Ice Hockey returning to its roots by playing outdoors. This year’s classic sees the Washington Capitals host the Chicago Blackhawks at National Park. The Capitals are led by Russian phenom Alexander Ovechkin while the 2010 and 2013 Stanley Cup champion Blackhawks have a ton of firepower in Jonathan Toews and Patrick Kane, the two 26 year-olds are both locked into identical long term contracts that see them paid $10.5m a season. Chicago will enter the game as favourites as they are currently a front runner in the Western Conference, while the Capitals are on the cusp of the play-off race in the East.

Golf - Hyundai Tournament of Champions (8th-12th January)

The Hyundai Tournament of Champions is the first PGA Tour event for 2015. The field consists of those players that won a tournament on the tour the previous year. Held at the Kapalua Resort in Hawaii from 9th-12th Jan it can be watched live on Foxtel. Aussies in the field will be Adam Scott, Jason Day, Geoff Ogilvy, Matt Jones, John Senden and Steven Bowditch.

 

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