Renegades Team

Renegades Team

The Renegades Writers combine passion for the game, with a lack of editorial oversight. When they aren't next to the water cooler bitching about that try assist the stats guys missed, they are churning out sports articles that have been widely touted as "readable".

Thursday, 22 January 2015 11:00

RFS Preview: CTR cheapies

The reality is this group of players doesn't offer much. That being said there is one player that seems very under priced, if he stays healthy.

Note: Since this series of articles started the first fantasy prices of 2015 have been announced. They appear to represent a 16% increase in player value while the salary cap, if they continue to match it with the actual NRL salary cap, will see just a 4% increase in value. That means it will be harder to build a team of guns in 2015 than it was in 2014. This will be a response to complaints in 2014 when the cap went up higher than player values did. It's a good thing, it makes for more differentiation and increases the importance of developing a good team rather than just starting with one. 

If you need to know a players actual price then you can find them at this link.

If you have missed any articles in the series you can find the links here.

Josh Morris

2015 Team

Bulldogs

Position

CTR/WFB

Games played

15

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

25.40

PPM

0.32

Consistency

0.47

Price (2014 $’s)

190,500

Origin

Certain

Bye weeks

12, 17

One day I will actually write an article on the Kieran Foran all-stars. Josh Morris is another. He’s one of the best centres in the game but his talents don’t show up in fantasy stats. The primary reason is Morris is a man to man defender that doesn’t pick up tackles by helping his inside man finish off an already completed tackle, great for conserving energy but not great for fantasy status. He missed the middle of the year following an injury sustained in the Blues Origin I victory but was back to play a big role in the Bulldogs finals run.

 

Dale Copley

2015 Team

Broncos

Position

CTR/WFB

Games played

24

Ave Minutes

79

Fantasy average

25.63

PPM

0.32

Consistency

0.58

Price (2014 $’s)

192,188

Origin

Medium

Bye weeks

14, 17

Copley is a great WFB/CTR, but a terrible fantasy option. Every rookie fantasy coach who likes the Broncos will pick him up, and then drop him. “He’s so cheap, he will be great”, he won’t be.

 

Dominique Peyroux

2015 Team

Warriors

Position

CTR

Games played

4

Ave Minutes

67

Fantasy average

17.75

PPM

0.27

Consistency

0.25

Price

142,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 17

He played four games and only 71 minutes in 2014 and will struggle to do better this year. Self confessed as too small for the second row, Dominique is in a precarious position, battling the masses for a centre role. Sadly he has failed to impress any of his four first grade coaches so far. It will be a long season providing experience in the NSW Cup.

 

Dane Nielsen

2015 Team

Dragons

Position

CTR

Games played

13

Ave Minutes

77

Fantasy average

25.15

PPM

0.33

Consistency

0.33

Price (2014 $’s)

188,654

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

After a disastrous stint at the New Zealand Warriors, the former State of Origin centre will be out to prove a point in his third outfit in four years. With plenty of backline spots up for grabs, Nielsen looks to have chosen the perfect club to get a look in. Previously known for his solid defence and consistent performances in attack, he may be a bargain basement fantasy option.

 

Brendan Elliot

2015 Team

Roosters

Position

CTR

Games played

1

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

20.00

PPM

0.25

Consistency

N/A

Price

142,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 17

I have no recollection of Brendan Elliot playing round 17 against the Sharks. On the wing he scored 20 fantasy points in that game with almost all of those courtesy of a try and the associated line break. He was named to the centres alongside Sione Mata’utia in the Holden Cup team of the year in 2014 and Mata’utia is an international player now. Perhaps don’t expect the same rise for Elliot but he’s a good player who good make the most of any chance he gets.


Beau Champion

2015 Team

Eels

Position

CTR

Games played

2

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

19.00

PPM

0.24

Consistency

0.74

Price

146,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

15, 18

Champion was one of the victims of Kirisome Auva’a not receiving any punishment from the NRL until the end of the season. After Champion injured his wrist Auva’a grabbed his spot and Champion was never able to get it back. He joins the Eels with hopes of benefiting from the backline shake-up in the wake of Jarryd Hayne’s departure. He’ll be very cheap but that does not make him a solid cash cow prospect.


Blake Ayshford

2015 Team

Sharks

Position

CTR

Games played

16

Ave Minutes

77

Fantasy average

25.38

PPM

0.33

Consistency

0.44

Price

225,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

Last season Ayshford played one game at lock and scored 53 points! Sadly he won’t see much time at lock in 2015.

 

Gerard Beale

2015 Team

Sharks

Position

CTR

Games played

24

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

25.92

PPM

0.32

Consistency

0.52

Price

229,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 14

Gerard Beale signing with the Dragons is a real annoyance for fantasy players. Instead of having cash cow Jack Bird we get fantasy no-go Gerard Beale.  If Beale was a Shark in 2014 he would have led the team in tries and line break assists and been second in line breaks, this is probably a reflection of how bad the Sharks were rather than how good Beale was.

 

Justin Hodges

2015 Team

Broncos

Position

CTR

Games played

16

Ave Minutes

75

Fantasy average

26.44

PPM

0.35

Consistency

0.47

Price (2014 $’s)

198,281

Origin

Certain

Bye weeks

14, 17

CTR is a terrible position for NRL fantasy, and that is the only thing that makes Hodges viable in your team. If he is fit, he can be great; breaking tackles and making big metres out of dummy half. Of course, he has muscles and tendons carved from chalk, so he will inevitably let you down, scoring donuts from the bench/grandstand.

 

Ricky Leutele

2015 Team

Sharks

Position

CTR

Games played

23

Ave Minutes

79

Fantasy average

25.87

PPM

0.33

Consistency

0.46

Price (2014 $’s)

194,022

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

Leutele nailed down a spot in the centres for the Sharks and ended up playing 23 games. He started the season worth $140k and peaked at just over $230k in week 10 which is a useful amount of money for a cash cow centre, certainly a better earner than popular week 1 cash cows like Matthew Allwood and Carlos Tuimavave. Taking Leutele in 2015 is a punt on him becoming more consistent and morphing into a top level gun centre. I’m sceptical but you never know.

 

Johnathan Wright

2015 Team

Warriors

Position

CTR/WFB

Games played

17

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

22.82

PPM

0.29

Consistency

0.39

Price (2014 $’s)

171,176

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 17

A late addition to the Warriors, Wright is another Warriors recruit to come out of Cronulla. To date the Warriors are batting 0-2 with neither Jason Bukuya or Chad Townsend having the sort of impact the Warriors were hoping for. Wright is a solid defender who likes to get involved but he’s a very limited attacking player. He has basically no fantasy value, averaging 25.3 fantasy points in ten games at centre for the Sharks.

 

Brad Tighe

2015 Team

Titans

Position

CTR/WFB

Games played

9

Ave Minutes

66

Fantasy average

15.00

PPM

0.23

Consistency

0.70

Price (2014 $’s)

112,500

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 17

Tighe is still contracted to the Titans but he’ll be a Burleigh Bear this season.

 

Matthew Allwood

2015 Team

Warriors

Position

CTR

Games played

11

Ave Minutes

77

Fantasy average

22.73

PPM

0.30

Consistency

0.63

Price (2014 $’s)

170,455

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 17

Could Matt Allwood be to Coach McFadden what Darius Boyd is to Wayne Bennett? After playing NYC under him, he has followed McFadden to the Warriors. Signing a three year contract it will be interesting to see how this plays out. After playing 11 NRL games and only scoring one try, with one try assist, and an average of 22.7 he will not be worthy of fantasy consideration. The fact that there appears to be great competition in the centre/wing spots is a red flag. Even if listed to start the season do not be lured in; a slow start and NSW cup will beckon.

 

Bryson Goodwin

2015 Team

Rabbitohs

Position

CTR/WFB

Games played

13

Ave Minutes

77

Fantasy average

22.62

PPM

0.29

Consistency

0.36

Price (2014 $’s)

169,615

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

15, 18

Goodwin will be a cheap fantasy player but it was earned in 2014 rather than there being some extenuating circumstances. He’ll be in the frame to replace the Kirisome Auva’a/Lote Tuquri flank.

 

Keith Lulia

2015 Team

Tigers

Position

CTR

Games played

12

Ave Minutes

72

Fantasy average

21.67

PPM

0.30

Consistency

0.64

Price (2014 $’s)

162,500

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

12, 18

Lulia broke his neck in the Tigers’ round 22 game and was incredibly fortunate that the break didn’t do any nerve damage. What he isn’t incredibly fortunate about is breaking his neck in the first place, it is still unclear when or if at all Lulia will be able to resume his rugby league career.

 

Jack Reed

2015 Team

Broncos

Position

CTR

Games played

23

Ave Minutes

74

Fantasy average

24.26

PPM

0.33

Consistency

0.49

Price (2014 $’s)

181,957

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

14, 17

Jack Reed is the much-maligned left centre for the Broncos. He doesn’t break tackles, and he is not quick enough to cut defenses to ribbons. But, he can find the line and is a solid defender. Despite this, he shouldn’t be in your fantasy team, no matter how much you love red headed Englishmen. If that’s your thing, I recommend James Graham. The other worry is that Reed is always likely to be fighting to keep his position with so many talented backs coming through the Broncos younger grades. Under Bennett, being solid may not be enough.

 

Tony Santini

2015 Team

Sea Eagles

Position

CTR

Games played

1

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

11.00

PPM

0.14

Consistency

N/A

Price (2014 $’s)

107,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

A google search reveals more information about Santini’s role as a plasterer than it does about his league career. Before you go booking up Santini to do work around your home it is important to note his license is expired. He might need to look into that as he is 31 and his round 3 appearance is the full extent of his first grade career.

 

Jeremy Hawkins

2015 Team

Raiders

Position

WFB

Games played

3

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

22.00

PPM

0.28

Consistency

0.36

Price (2014 $’s)

165,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14, 17

Hawkins played the last three games in 2014 because Ricky Stuart loves to ruin our cash cows. Instead of coming in at bottom price Hawkins will probably be something like $140,000 after discount. That’s a real problem as Hawkins didn’t show a whole lot in his three games scoring 16, 19 and 31 points suggesting he probably won’t make a lot of money. Go to hell, Ricky Stuart.

Wednesday, 21 January 2015 11:00

RFS Preview: CTR mid-rangers

Most of the gun centres have warts and with the tight salary cap this year can you really afford to spend money on a risky gun? With that in mind finding a potential keeper in this group of players could make your season that much easier.

Note: Since this series of articles started the first fantasy prices of 2015 have been announced. They appear to represent a 16% increase in player value while the salary cap, if they continue to match it with the actual NRL salary cap, will see just a 4% increase in value. That means it will be harder to build a team of guns in 2015 than it was in 2014. This will be a response to complaints in 2014 when the cap went up higher than player values did. It's a good thing, it makes for more differentiation and increases the importance of developing a good team rather than just starting with one. 

If you need to know a players actual price then you can find them at this link.

If you have missed any articles in the series you can find the links here.

James Roberts

2015 Team

Titans

Position

CTR/WFB

Games played

12

Ave Minutes

78

Fantasy average

36.08

PPM

0.46

Consistency

0.48

Price

319,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 17

After being sacked by the Rabbits and Panthers Roberts caught on with the Titans and he was excellent once he grabbed a starting centre spot in the middle of the year. Things were looking up for Roberts but once again he pushed the self-destruct button and finds himself being investigated by the NRL’s integrity unit for a drunken incident. Burning through a third team before he turns 22 will give Roberts the sort of reputation he will never shake but so far Neil Henry and the Titans have stood by their guy. Roberts’ talent will buy him some rope but I doubt it is too long.

 

Dane Gagai

2015 Team

Knights

Position

CTR

Games played

24

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

36.08

PPM

0.45

Consistency

0.36

Price

319,000

Origin

Medium

Bye weeks

14, 17

After a woeful 2013 season fantasy-wise, Dane Gagai returned in 2014 as a decent mid-range centre who frequently scored in the 40s. This was likely due to the more greedy play style he adopted in 2014, as he tried to be the star of the show in an otherwise struggling side. Dane Gagai is a decent fantasy prospect for 2015, with the centre notorious for tackle busting and all but assured of a starting spot for the squad.

 

Shaun Kenny-Dowall

2015 Team

Roosters

Position

CTR

Games played

24

Ave Minutes

79

Fantasy average

36.46

PPM

0.46

Consistency

0.47

Price

323,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 17

SKD probably still has nightmares over this fend from BJ Leilua. SKD might move to the wing to accommodate Blake Ferguson in the mid-field but his bad hands could make him a bit of a liability out wide. He played twice on the wing during 2014 and scored 31 and 26 fantasy points.

 

Jack Wighton

2015 Team

Raiders

Position

CTR

Games played

20

Ave Minutes

78

Fantasy average

35.00

PPM

0.45

Consistency

0.50

Price

310,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14,17

Wighton had a very interesting year that culminated with the prestigious honour of featuring on Fluke or For Real on two occasions. He started the year at five eighth and had some good games and some bad games before Ricky Stuart decided to move him to centre. At centre he was dynamite for four weeks before the bye weeks and an injury stole his momentum. He came back for another two ordinary games at centre before finishing the season with three super games at fullback. His fantasy splits look like this – fullback: three games, average of 51. Centre: eight games, average of 32. Five eighth: nine games, average of 32. Indications to date are that he’s in line for a fullback berth and although three games is a small sample size he showed some good traits at fullback; primarily the ability to break tackles and turn run backs into big metres.

 

Ryan Morgan

2015 Team

Eels

Position

CTR

Games played

13

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

30.62

PPM

0.38

Consistency

0.57

Price

271,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

15, 18

For a player with 65 first grade games Ryan Morgan’s Wikipedia page is pretty empty.  Somebody should sort that out. In fact someone needs to sort out his tragically low online footprint as his most recent puff piece by the Daily Telegraph was way back in 2012. Morgan had a run of three consecutive scores in the 50’s but he didn’t hit that mark again in any of the nine games that followed to end the season. He should be one of the starting centres for the Eels after starting 2014 injured.

 

Joel Reddy

2015 Team

Rabbitohs

Position

WFB

Games played

6

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

28.50

PPM

0.36

Consistency

0.39

Price

222,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

15, 18

Reddy still plays for the Rabbitohs and could even be in line to replace the suspended Kirisome Auva’a or retired Lote Tuqiri in the starting line-up.

 

Brad Takairangi

2015 Team

Eels

Position

2RF/CTR

Games played

21

Ave Minutes

77

Fantasy average

27.52

PPM

0.36

Consistency

0.38

Price

244,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

15, 18

Takairangi joins the Eels after playing a bit of centre, a bit of second row and a bit of five-eighth for the Titans last season. He appears to be a solid scorer at second row averaging close to 40 but that is a mirage caused by a small sample size and one game where he had 33 playmaker points. Could be in the mix at centre for the Eels depending on how the search for a new fullback shakes out.

 

Mahe Fonua

2015 Team

Storm

Position

CTR/WFB

Games played

19

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

29.05

PPM

0.36

Consistency

0.54

Price

257,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 17

Fonua established himself as a first choice centre with the Storm after splitting time at centre and wing in 2013. The Tongan international is the first player born in Melbourne to play for the Storm and although the eligibility rules confuse me but between this and the fact he didn’t reside in QLD or NSW prior to his 13th birthday or have a dad that played Origin it would seem that Fonua is not eligible to play Origin. So he must be a Queenslander.

 

Dean Whare

2015 Team

Panthers

Position

CTR

Games played

24

Ave Minutes

77

Fantasy average

27.00

PPM

0.35

Consistency

0.62

Price

239,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 14

Whare had a three game patch in 2014 where he scored 43, 66 and then 47. In his next three games he scored 7, 4 and 22. Whare’s fantasy scores remind me a lot of Steve Matai and I can see people making those same mistakes on Whare that they make on Matai, both are good players but they don’t belong on your fantasy side.

 

Tautau Moga

2015 Team

Cowboys

Position

CTR/WFB

Games played

9

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

27.33

PPM

0.34

Consistency

0.77

Price

235,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14, 17

The original ghost cow is now a regular starter with the Cowboys, but has failed to live up to expectations. He’s big and fast, but seems unwilling to use his talent aggressively. But, if 2015 is his breakout season, you don’t want to be late getting onboard.

 

Charly Runciman

2015 Team

Dragons

Position

CTR/WFB

Games played

4

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

33.00

PPM

0.41

Consistency

0.23

Price

239,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

The final rounds of the 2013 season looked to be the making of young Runciman’s career, with impressive performances against Parramatta and New Zealand. Since then Runciman was inexplicably over-looked for a centre spot with the likes of Nathan Green and Joel Thompson favoured by Steve Price. Runciman got limited chances on the wing later on in the year due to Brett Morris’ injury. Another in the line of fringe players in the running for a wing/centre role this year.

 

Tim Simona

2015 Team

Tigers

Position

CTR

Games played

14

Ave Minutes

73

Fantasy average

28.14

PPM

0.39

Consistency

0.48

Price 

249,000

Origin

Medium

Bye weeks

12, 18

Simona’s 2014 was a bit of a misfire. Between injuries and suspensions he only managed 14 games for the Tigers and when he was on the field he was nowhere near the level of 2013 when he was dynamite on the wing. This presents a nice opportunity for fantasy owners as he does come undervalued compared to the potential he offers. Grabbing a player like Simona for $210k and seeing him play at a keeper level could be very satisfying and I punt I will take a serious look at.

 

Chris Lawrence

2015 Team

Tigers

Position

CTR

Games played

21

Ave Minutes

76

Fantasy average

26.86

PPM

0.35

Consistency

0.43

Price

238,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

12, 18

Poor Chris Lawrence. He debuted at 17, scored 16 first grade tries the next season. As a 21 year-old he played for City and then for Australia. The world was at his feet and then it all came unhinged. It started with a dislocated hip in 2011 and since then his injuries have increased while his form has decreased. He had a relatively injury free year in 2014 making his most appearances for the Tigers since 2010 and although he was ok he’s never going to approach the level of play he once did, which is really sad considering he won’t be 27 until October.

 

Kane Linnett

2015 Team

Cowboys

Position

CTR

Games played

23

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

35.22

PPM

0.44

Consistency

0.30

Price 

312,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14, 17

Linnett gets solid base stats (approx. 22 points per game), but doesn’t hit the big scores enough to make him a regular top scoring CTR. Of course, there are so few good CTRs around, so you wouldn’t be mad to purchase a player like Linnett. But, while he will probably not average less than his 2014 effort, he is unlikely to improve.

 

Will Hopoate

2015 Team

Eels

Position

CTR/WFB

Games played

19

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

27.42

PPM

0.34

Consistency

0.37

Price

243,000

Origin

Moderate

Bye weeks

15, 18

After two years out of the game on a Mormon mission, Hopoate started last season as a popular mid-range cash cow, but he never delivered on those hopes.  If he shifts to fullback in 2015 he might again look like a mid-range cash cow but there is no evidence to suggest what sort of fantasy player he might be playing at the back. Generally Hopoate was decent but he lacked the explosiveness compared to his first stint in the NRL.

 

Kirisome Auva’a

2015 Team

Panthers

Position

CTR/WFB

Games played

18

Ave Minutes

78

Fantasy average

33.22

PPM

0.43

Consistency

0.49

Price

294,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 14

Auva’a will miss at least 22 rounds of the NRL next season. The NRL conveniently waited till the end of the season so Auva’a could play in a Grand Final because…. I don’t know why.

 

Dylan Farrell

2015 Team

Dragons

Position

CTR/WFB

Games played

6

Ave Minutes

73

Fantasy average

28.67

PPM

0.39

Consistency

0.46

Price

223,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

The much-hyped South Sydney junior started his NRL career with a bang; a hat-trick on debut at 19 causing a big stir in the rugby league community. Since that night, Farrell has struggled to live up to the hype. He made the move to the Dragons last year in the search of a fresh start, but injury hit him again before he could find his feet with consecutive pectoral muscle tears limiting his season to just the 6 games. While his position is still available, Farrell will need to show more to nail it down.

 

Brenko Lee

2015 Team

Raiders

Position

CTR/WFB

Games played

4

Ave Minutes

74

Fantasy average

28.25

PPM

0.38

Consistency

0.73

Price

205,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14,17

Brenko played three quite good games in 2014 to ruin his 2015 starting price, but thankfully scored a 0 in his fourth game to lessen the burden. Even discounted, he’s probably still too expensive which is a real shame because he could have been a valuable cash cow otherwise. Barely involved on defense but he can shed tacklers and score tries on offense.

 

Ngani Laumape

2015 Team

Warriors

Position

CTR/WFB

Games played

16

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

29.81

PPM

0.37

Consistency

0.36

Price

264,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 17

Built like a slightly smaller Konrad Hurrell he is interchangeable between centre and wing. Averaging 29.8 and scoring only five tries from his 16 appearances, Ngani will need injuries and good performances to cement his spot in the run on side. With Glen Fisiiahi’s imminent return and David Fusitua proving a quality finisher Ngani will need to make the most of any opportunities he gets. He has no appeal in fantasy ranks.

 

Steve Matai

2015 Team

Sea Eagles

Position

CTR

Games played

23

Ave Minutes

75

Fantasy average

30.13

PPM

0.40

Consistency

0.49

Price

267,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 14

Every season Steve Matai will reel off a streak of big scores that make people think he’s a good fantasy option and every year he will let those people down. Don’t fall for it. Matai started the year at $175,200 and finished it at $158,722 and in between he managed to go as high as $278,354 off the back of some unsustainable try scoring. He averaged 40 over the first eight weeks scoring nine tries, over the rest of the season he averaged just 21 and the try scoring dried up. Just don’t do it.

Wednesday, 21 January 2015 11:00

RFS Preview: CTR Guns

There are so few gun centres that we slightly dropped the 40 point average requirement to get two players in and gave a pass to a former gun to allow him to be covered. Obviously that makes it a problematic position, just like it was in 2014.

Note: Since this series of articles started the first fantasy prices of 2015 have been announced. They appear to represent a 16% increase in player value while the salary cap, if they continue to match it with the actual NRL salary cap, will see just a 4% increase in value. That means it will be harder to build a team of guns in 2015 than it was in 2014. This will be a response to complaints in 2014 when the cap went up higher than player values did. It's a good thing, it makes for more differentiation and increases the importance of developing a good team rather than just starting with one. 

If you need to know a players actual price then you can find them at this link.

If you have missed any articles in the series you can find the links here.

Dylan Walker

2015 Team

Rabbitohs

Position

CTR

Games played

21

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

43.67

PPM

0.55

Consistency

0.46

Price

386,000

Origin

High

Bye weeks

15, 18

Between round 9 and 21 Walker played nine games and averaged a sick 61.9 fantasy points. For a centre that is an insane level of production. Insane.  Over the year his average at centre was considerably less, 45.8 in 18 games, but that is still more than his season average which was negatively impacted by three games at five-eighth. It is hard to know if he will continue to hit those heights but at a challenging fantasy position he could make an owner's season if he could average between 45 and 50. My gut feeling is you are paying overs after a mammoth season. He played for Australia in the Four Nations at the end of 2014 and that’ll mean he is in the NSW Origin discussion but he’s probably behind a few other candidates.

 

Tim Lafai

2015 Team

Bulldogs

Position

CTR

Games played

21

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

44.24

PPM

0.56

Consistency

0.38

Price

392,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

12, 17

Lafai was a fantasy revelation in 2014 finishing as the second best centre behind Simon Mannering, considering he started the season worth $237k that’s pretty good value. Lafai will start the season worth about $100k more than that so rather than spending all that money on Tim Lafai you might be better off trying to identify the next Tim Lafai. If you are still looking at Lafai it is scores like his 86 in round 24 that you will be looking at but don’t overlook his 11 in round 11.

 

Joey Leilua

2015 Team

Knights

Position

CTR

Games played

22

Ave Minutes

75

Fantasy average

40.18

PPM

0.53

Consistency

0.47

Price 

356,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14, 17

A very dynamic centre who has shown potential in recent years, however, with a distinct lack of any sense of consistency. 2015 is the year for "BJ" to step up, with the new coach Rick Stone preferring a more offensive style of football to that of previous coach Bennett. This in turn should lead to more points for offloads and tackle busts, as he should receive more ball then last season.

 

Konrad Hurrell

2015 Team

Warriors

Position

CTR

Games played

19

Ave Minutes

71

Fantasy average

40.47

PPM

0.57

Consistency

0.42

Price

358,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 17

A fit, healthy, destructive Konrad running at anyone within five metres of the line will result in a tackle bust and a try. He also has a surprising turn of pace leading the team in line breaks with 18. The problem is it may take him 30 minutes before he runs again. Mixed with a poor tackling technique he is prone to provide a rollercoaster ride. Konrad is your classic boom or bust player. Before considering Konrad as a centre it would be wise to see some pre-season vision in regards to his conditioning. In racing parlance, Konrad needs a run and generally never runs fresh up! With an average of 40.5 this is acceptable for any centre although the points will be filled with fist pumping, television screaming passion if you punt on Konrad.

 

Jamal Idris

2015 Team

Panthers

Position

CTR

Games played

20

Ave Minutes

79

Fantasy average

40.60

PPM

0.52

Consistency

0.37

Price 

359,000

Origin

Medium

Bye weeks

11, 14

No centre/wing combo combined for as many broken tackles as Jamal and Josh, in fact nobody else was even close to their 228 broken tackles. Idris took a mid-season hiatus to deal with personal issues but he didn't end up missing many games, just the Panthers round 12, 13 and 14 games. It was a blow to his fantasy owners but he maintained his form once he returned in round 16 finishing with the sixth highest average amongst centres.

 

Jamie Lyon

2015 Team

Sea Eagles

Position

CTR

Games played

22

Ave Minutes

79

Fantasy average

39.95

PPM

0.51

Consistency

0.21

Price 

354,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 14

Jamie Lyon has had a very unique career. He debuted with Parramatta as an 18 year-old and a year later toured Britain with the Kangaroos. He then went on to play in a Origin winning NSW side before falling out with Eels coach Brian Smith and retiring at the age of 22. He spent a year playing club footy in his home town before heading off to St Helens in the English Super League. There he won a Challenge Cup, a Super League title and a Man of Steel award for the player of the year. He signed with the Sea Eagles for 2007 and was controversially selected for the Kangaroos at the end of 2006 before he'd actually returned to the NRL. Despite playing at a high level for Manly and being part of the Sea Eagles Grand Final winning team in 2008 he wouldn’t play rep football again until 2009. He would play in the 2009 and 2010 NSW series losses before deciding that his desire for rep football was gone and making himself unavailable to play for the Blues or Kangaroos. He went on to captain the Sea Eagles to another Grand Final victory in 2011 while continuing to win annual plaudits. Now 32 and in the twilight of his career Lyon has very little to prove in reality but his controversial history is likely to taint his legacy. Regardless Lyon has always done things his way and his way has been pretty successful.

 

Jarrod Croker

2015 Team

Raiders

Position

CTR

Games played

24

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

40.71

PPM

0.51

Consistency

0.45

Price (2014 $’s)

360,000

Origin

Medium

Bye weeks

14,17

Arguably the Raiders’ best player last season, Croker was named the new Raiders’ captain in the off-season. Croker has a nose for the try line with 18 tries in 2014, with many of them coming against the run of play. He is a bit inconsistent as a fantasy player, as most centres are, but he did finish the season strong averaging 48.5 points over his last 11 games. The reliance on tries might be a bit of a concern as 18 is his career high and he only scored eight in 2013.


Will Chambers

2015 Team

Storm

Position

CTR

Games played

21

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

39.67

PPM

0.49

Consistency

0.38

Price

351,000

Origin

High

Bye weeks

11, 17

Chambers made his Origin debut in game three of 2014. He’s first in line to replace the retired Brent Tate on Queensland’s right flank and you expect the transition to be seamless. If Chambers was a New South Welshmen he would have played one game as an injury replacement in 2010 and then been thrown on the scrapheap, such is the muddled thinking that has polluted the Blues in the past decade.

 

Michael Jennings

2015 Team

Roosters

Position

CTR

Games played

18

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

37.44

PPM

0.47

Consistency

0.35

Price

331,000

Origin

High

Bye weeks

11, 17

Michael Jennings continued to do Michael Jennings things in 2014. In 18 games he scored 11 tries and averaged almost three broken tackles a game. However, he was a long way down the list in the centre rankings for offloads and outside the top ten in line break assists and try assists. Jennings was also outside the top ten fantasy centres after being top three in 2013. Could be due for a bounce back.

Friday, 16 January 2015 11:00

2015 Player Prices

Here is the full list of 2015 NRL Fantasy player prices.

Name Team Pos  Price 
Robbie Farah Tigers HOK                588,000
Cameron Smith Storm HOK                582,000
Paul Gallen Sharks FRF/2RF               554,000
Andrew Fifita Sharks FRF                535,000
Andrew McCullough Broncos HOK                523,000
Shaun Fensom Raiders 2RF                519,000
Ben Hunt Broncos HLF                511,000
Shaun Johnson Warriors HLF                485,000
Corey Parker Broncos 2RF                484,000
Johnathan Thurston Cowboys HLF                484,000
Jake Friend Roosters HOK                477,000
Adam Reynolds Rabbitohs HLF                476,000
Matthew Scott Cowboys FRF                471,000
Daly Cherry-Evans Sea Eagles HLF               456,000
Josh Mansour Panthers WFB                450,000
Trent Merrin Dragons 2RF                450,000
James Segeyaro Panthers HOK               448,000
James Graham Bulldogs FRF                448,000
Josh McGuire Broncos FRF                445,000
Jesse Bromwich Storm FRF                444,000
George Burgess Rabbitohs FRF               437,000
Jarrod Mullen Knights HLF                436,000
Anthony Watmough Eels 2RF                432,000
Aaron Woods Tigers FRF                426,000
Cooper Cronk Storm HLF                426,000
Greg Inglis Rabbitohs WFB               426,000
Mitch Rein Dragons HOK                420,000
Boyd Cordner Roosters 2RF                419,000
Wade Graham Sharks 2RF                419,000
Matt Gillett Broncos 2RF                415,000
Aiden Tolman Bulldogs FRF                411,000
Issac Luke Rabbitohs HOK                400,000
Aidan Guerra Roosters 2RF                398,000
Josh Papalii Raiders 2RF                396,000
Nathan Friend Warriors HOK                396,000
Simon Mannering Warriors 2RF                393,000
Tim Lafai Bulldogs CTR               392,000
Billy Slater Storm WFB                388,000
Dylan Walker Rabbitohs CTR               386,000
Anthony Milford Broncos HLF/WFB               385,000
Josh Dugan Dragons WFB/CTR               385,000
Matt Ballin Sea Eagles HOK                384,000
Sam Tomkins Warriors WFB                383,000
Josh Jackson Bulldogs 2RF                382,000
Trent Hodkinson Bulldogs HLF                382,000
James Maloney Roosters HLF                381,000
Sam Thaiday Broncos 2RF                380,000
Mitchell Pearce Roosters HLF                375,000
Jason Nightingale Dragons WFB                374,000
Michael Ennis Sharks HOK                373,000
Tariq Sims Knights 2RF                373,000
Gareth Widdop Dragons HLF                371,000
Jason Taumalolo Cowboys 2RF                371,000
Nathan Peats Eels HOK                370,000
John Sutton Rabbitohs HLF/2RF               369,000
Paul Vaughan Raiders FRF                369,000
Brenton Lawrence Sea Eagles FRF                365,000
Jamie Soward Panthers HLF                365,000
Elijah Taylor Panthers 2RF                363,000
Jamie Buhrer Sea Eagles 2RF/HOK               361,000
Josh Reynolds Bulldogs HLF                361,000
Jarrod Croker Raiders CTR               360,000
Bodene Thompson Warriors 2RF                359,000
Gavin Cooper Cowboys 2RF                359,000
Jamal Idris Panthers CTR               359,000
Manu Ma'u Eels 2RF                359,000
Ethan Lowe Cowboys 2RF                358,000
Konrad Hurrell Warriors CTR               358,000
Michael Gordon Sharks WFB                357,000
Joey Leilua Knights CTR               356,000
Jamie Lyon Sea Eagles CTR               354,000
Beau Scott Knights 2RF                353,000
Chris Heighington Sharks 2RF                353,000
Leeson Ah Mau Dragons 2RF/FRF               351,000
Will Chambers Storm CTR               351,000
Chris Sandow Eels HLF                347,000
Matthew Moylan Panthers WFB                347,000
Jack Littlejohn Sea Eagles HLF/CTR               343,000
James Tamou Cowboys FRF                343,000
James Tedesco Tigers WFB               342,000
Tinirau Arona Sharks FRF/2RF               341,000
Kevin Proctor Storm 2RF                340,000
Alex Glenn Broncos 2RF                338,000
Ryan Hinchcliffe Storm HOK/2RF               338,000
Aidan Sezer Titans HLF               337,000
Kurt Gidley Knights WFB/HOK               337,000
Josh Hodgson Raiders HOK                336,000
Sam Moa Roosters FRF                336,000
Tony Williams Bulldogs 2RF                334,000
Greg Bird Titans 2RF                333,000
Ben Henry Warriors 2RF/CTR               331,000
Matt Prior Sharks 2RF                331,000
Michael Jennings Roosters CTR               331,000
Robert Lui Cowboys HLF                331,000
Brett Stewart Sea Eagles WFB                330,000
Chris Houston Knights 2RF                330,000
Michael Morgan Cowboys HLF/WFB               330,000
Kade Snowden Knights FRF                329,000
Nate Myles Titans 2RF/FRF               328,000
Glen Buttriss Raiders HOK                326,000
Mike Cooper Dragons FRF                326,000
Semi Radradra Eels WFB                326,000
Ben Creagh Dragons FRF                325,000
Ben Hannant Cowboys FRF                325,000
Joseph Paulo Eels 2RF                324,000
Shaun Kenny-Dowall Roosters CTR               323,000
Jeremy Latimore Panthers FRF                322,000
Roger Tuivasa-Sheck Roosters WFB                321,000
Anthony Tupou Sharks 2RF                320,000
David Nofoaluma Tigers WFB                320,000
Blake Austin Raiders HLF                319,000
Dane Gagai Knights CTR               319,000
James Roberts Titans WFB/CTR               319,000
Jordan Rapana Raiders WFB                319,000
Chad Townsend Warriors HLF                318,000
Tim Mannah Eels FRF                318,000
David Shillington Raiders FRF                317,000
Jared Waerea-Hargreaves Roosters FRF                316,000
Tyrone Peachey Panthers 2RF                316,000
Ben Matulino Warriors 2RF/FRF               315,000
Brett Morris Bulldogs WFB                315,000
Jack de Belin Dragons 2RF/FRF               314,000
Sam Perrett Bulldogs WFB                314,000
Benji Marshall Dragons HLF                313,000
Joel Thompson Dragons 2RF                313,000
Kane Linnett Cowboys CTR               312,000
Akuila Uate Knights WFB                310,000
Alex Johnston Rabbitohs WFB                310,000
Jack Wighton Raiders WFB/CTR               310,000
Jeff Robson Sharks HLF                309,000
Kevin Naiqama Tigers WFB                308,000
Kenny Edwards Eels 2RF                306,000
Tyson Frizell Dragons 2RF                302,000
David Taylor Titans 2RF                301,000
Robbie Rochow Knights 2RF                301,000
Tohu Harris Storm 2RF               301,000
Greg Eastwood Bulldogs 2RF                300,000
Sione Mata'utia Knights WFB                300,000
Darius Boyd Broncos WFB                299,000
Adam Blair Broncos FRF                298,700
Tim Robinson Sharks FRF                298,000
Tyrone Roberts Knights HLF                298,000
Clinton Gutherson Sea Eagles WFB                296,000
Daniel Tupou Roosters WFB                296,000
Ryan Hoffman Warriors 2RF                295,000
Junior Paulo Eels FRF                294,000
Kirisome Auva'a Panthers CTR               294,000
Martin Taupau Tigers FRF                294,000
Antonio Winterstein Cowboys WFB                293,000
Jacob Lillyman Warriors FRF                293,000
Kieran Foran Sea Eagles HLF                292,000
Apisai Koroisau Panthers HOK                291,000
Ben Hampton Storm HLF                291,000
Jarrad Kennedy Raiders 2RF                290,000
Luke Douglas Titans FRF                290,000
Thomas Burgess Rabbitohs FRF                290,000
Bryce Cartwright Panthers 2RF                289,000
Dane Tilse Raiders FRF                289,000
Blake Ferguson Roosters WFB/CTR               288,000
Manu Vatuvei Warriors WFB                288,000
Dale Finucane Storm 2RF                286,000
Isaah Yeo Panthers 2RF                286,000
Corey Norman Eels HLF                285,000
Matthew White Titans FRF                285,000
Tupou Sopoaga Panthers 2RF                284,000
Jeremy Smith Knights 2RF                280,000
Jordan McLean Storm FRF                280,000
Peter Wallace Panthers HLF                279,000
Lewis Brown Panthers 2RF                278,000
Willie Mason Sea Eagles FRF                276,000
Daniel Holdsworth Sharks HLF                272,000
Ryan Morgan Eels CTR               271,000
Chase Stanley Bulldogs CTR/WFB               270,000
Mark Ioane Titans FRF                270,000
Peter Hiku Sea Eagles WFB                270,000
Ben Barba Sharks HLF                269,000
Ben Lowe Rabbitohs 2RF                269,000
David Gower Eels FRF                269,000
Jayson Bukuya Sharks 2RF                269,000
Mitchell Aubusson Roosters CTR/2RF               269,000
Tepai Moeroa Eels 2RF                269,000
Jorge Taufua Sea Eagles WFB                268,000
Josh Hoffman Titans WFB                268,000
Daniel Vidot Broncos WFB                267,000
Sam McKendry Panthers FRF                267,000
Steve Matai Sea Eagles CTR               267,000
Valentine Holmes Sharks WFB                267,000
Nigel Plum Panthers FRF                266,000
Pat Politoni Sharks HOK                265,000
Ngani Laumape Warriors WFB/CTR               264,000
Curtis Rona Bulldogs WFB                262,000
Dylan Napa Roosters FRF/2RF               261,000
Michael Lichaa Bulldogs HOK               261,000
Ray Thompson Cowboys HLF/HOK               261,000
Josh McCrone Raiders HLF/HOK               260,000
Tom Symonds Sea Eagles 2RF                260,000
Isaac De Gois Eels HOK                259,000
Vai toutai Eels WFB                259,000
Mahe Fonua Storm WFB/CTR               257,000
Sam Tagataese Sharks FRF                257,000
Kyle Turner Rabbitohs CTR/2RF               255,000
Beau Falloon Titans HOK                254,000
Chris McQueen Rabbitohs 2RF                253,000
Sam Kasiano Bulldogs FRF                253,000
Adam Docker Panthers 2RF                252,000
Rory Kostjasyn Cowboys HOK                252,000
Dallin Watene Zelezniak Panthers WFB                251,000
Peter Mata'utia Dragons WFB/CTR               251,000
Will Matthews Dragons 2RF                251,000
Josh Starling Sea Eagles FRF                250,000
Tim Simona Tigers CTR               249,000
Blake Green Storm HLF                248,000
Daniel Mortimer Titans HLF                248,000
David Tyrrell Rabbitohs FRF                248,000
Fa'amanu Brown Sharks HLF                248,000
Korbin Sims Knights FRF                247,000
Kalifa Faifai Loa Titans WFB                246,000
Scott Bolton Cowboys 2RF                246,000
Sam Williams Raiders HLF                245,000
Sosaia Feki Sharks WFB                245,000
Brad Takairangi Eels CTR/2RF               244,000
Brent Kite Panthers FRF                244,000
David Fa'alogo Knights 2RF/FRF               244,000
Glenn Hall Cowboys 2RF                244,000
William Hopoate Eels WFB/CTR               243,000
Corey Thompson Bulldogs WFB                242,000
Feleti Mateo Sea Eagles 2RF                242,000
Justin Horo Sea Eagles 2RF                240,000
Kurt Mann Storm HLF/WFB               240,000
Travis Waddell Broncos HOK                240,000
Charly Runciman Dragons WFB/CTR               239,000
Curtis Sironen Tigers 2RF                239,000
Dean Whare Panthers CTR               239,000
Kris Keating Dragons HLF/HOK               239,000
Chris Lawrence Tigers CTR               238,000
David Mead Titans WFB                238,000
Marika Koroibete Storm WFB                238,000
Pauli Pauli Eels 2RF/FRF               237,000
Matthew Wright Cowboys WFB/CTR               236,000
Sebastine Ikahihifo Warriors 2RF                236,000
Sisa Waqa Raiders WFB                235,000
Tautau Moga Cowboys CTR/WFB               235,000
Justin Hodges Broncos CTR               234,000
Sami Sauiluma Sharks CTR/WFB               234,000
Joel Edwards Raiders 2RF                233,000
Luke Lewis Sharks 2RF                233,000
Caleb Binge Titans FRF                232,000
Kenny Bromwich Storm FRF/2RF               232,000
Sam Rapira Warriors FRF                232,000
Tim Grant Rabbitohs FRF                232,000
Adam Clydsdale Knights HOK                231,000
Kyle Feldt Cowboys WFB                231,000
Patrick O'Hanlon Bulldogs 2RF                230,000
Ben Ridge Titans 2RF                229,000
Gerard Beale Sharks CTR               229,000
Ricky Leutele Sharks CTR               229,000
Pat Richards Tigers WFB                228,000
Chanel Mata'utia Knights WFB                227,000
Dale Copley Broncos WFB/CTR               227,000
Keith Galloway Tigers FRF                226,000
Martin Kennedy Roosters FRF                226,000
Blake Ayshford Sharks CTR               225,000
Jason Clark Rabbitohs 2RF/HOK               225,000
Josh Morris Bulldogs CTR               225,000
Luke Burgess Sea Eagles FRF                225,000
Siosaia Vave Sea Eagles FRF                225,000
Moses Mbye Bulldogs HLF/HOK               224,000
Young Tonumaipea Storm WFB                224,000
Dane Nielsen Dragons CTR               223,000
Dylan Farrell Dragons CTR               223,000
Cameron McInnes Rabbitohs HOK                222,000
Joel Reddy Rabbitohs CTR               222,000
Frank-Paul Nuuausala Raiders 2RF                221,000
Luke Brooks Tigers HLF                221,000
Shannan McPherson Eels 2RF                221,000
Sione Lousi Warriors 2RF                221,000
Dan Hunt Dragons FRF                220,000
David Simmons Panthers WFB                218,000
Jacob Loko Bulldogs CTR               218,000
Joel Luani Tigers HOK                218,000
Sauaso Sue Tigers 2RF                218,000
Mitch Garbutt Broncos FRF                217,000
Jesse Sene-Lefao Sea Eagles 2RF                216,000
Nene MacDonald Roosters WFB/CTR               216,000
David Fusitua Warriors WFB                215,000
Jack Reed Broncos CTR               215,000
Jack Stockwell Knights FRF                215,000
Peni Terepo Eels FRF                215,000
Luke Keary Rabbitohs HLF                214,000
Matt Lodge Tigers FRF                214,000
Reece Robinson Eels WFB                214,000
Jake Mamo Knights WFB                212,000
Cheyse Blair Sea Eagles WFB                211,000
Isaac Liu Roosters FRF                210,000
William Smith Panthers HLF                209,000
Nathan Gardner Sharks WFB                208,000
Craig Garvey Dragons HOK                207,000
Brenko Lee Raiders CTR               205,000
Shannon Boyd Raiders FRF                205,000
Tim Browne Bulldogs FRF                205,000
Dunamis Lui Sea Eagles FRF                204,000
Matt Srama Titans HOK                204,000
Ryan Simpkins Titans 2RF                204,000
Beau Henry Dragons HLF                203,000
Sione Masima Rabbitohs 2RF                203,000
Tim Glasby Storm FRF                203,000
Jayden Hodges Sea Eagles HOK                202,000
Jonathan Wright Warriors CTR/WFB               202,000
Glenn Stewart Rabbitohs 2RF                201,000
Matthew Allwood Warriors CTR               201,000
Bryson Goodwin Rabbitohs WFB/CTR               200,000
Matt McIlwrick Roosters HOK                199,000
Mitch Brown Sharks WFB                199,000
Thomas Leuluai Warriors HLF/HOK               199,000
Api Pewhairangi Warriors HLF/CTR               197,000
Sika Manu Panthers 2RF                196,000
Adam Quinlan Dragons WFB                195,000
Greg Eden Broncos WFB                195,000
Kyle O'Donnell Raiders 2RF                193,000
Bureta Faraimo Eels WFB                192,000
Keith Lulia Tigers CTR/WFB               192,000
Luke Kelly Eels HLF                192,000
Ryan James Titans FRF/2RF               192,000
David Fifita Sharks FRF                191,000
David Klemmer Bulldogs FRF                191,000
Anthony Don Titans WFB                190,000
Ava Seumanufagai Tigers FRF                190,000
Jake Granville Cowboys HOK                189,000
William Zillman Titans WFB/CTR               189,000
Kurtis Rowe Tigers WFB                187,000
Suaia Matagi Warriors FRF                187,000
Danny Wicks Eels FRF                186,000
Iosia Soliola Raiders CTR               186,000
Kevin Gordon Titans WFB                186,000
Kierran Moseley Titans HOK                186,000
James McManus Knights WFB                185,000
Dene Halatau Tigers 2RF               184,000
Cody Nelson Eels 2RF                183,000
Glen Fisiiahi Warriors WFB                182,000
Drury Low Bulldogs WFB                179,000
David Stagg Broncos 2RF                176,000
Jacob Gagan Sharks WFB                175,000
Junior Roqica Sharks FRF                175,000
Tim Moltzen Tigers HLF/WFB               174,000
Sam Anderson Eels FRF                172,000
Mitchell Moses Tigers HLF               169,000
Joseph Tapine Knights 2RF                166,000
Damien Cook Bulldogs HOK                165,000
Jordan Kahu Broncos WFB/CTR               165,000
Bill Tupou Raiders WFB                164,000
Corey Oates Broncos 2RF                164,000
Mitchell Cornish Raiders HLF               164,000
Darcy Lussick Eels 2RF/FRF               163,000
John Asiata Knights 2RF                162,000
Justin O'Neill Cowboys CTR/WFB               160,000
Matt Robinson Titans 2RF                160,000
Clint Newton Knights 2RF                158,000
Lachlan Maranta Broncos WFB                158,000
Jeremy Hawkins Raiders CTR               154,000
Kane Evans Roosters FRF                154,000
Sitaleki Akauola Tigers 2RF               153,000
Richard Fa'aoso Eels FRF                152,000
Kyle Stanley Sharks HLF/CTR               151,000
Ben Crooks Eels CTR               150,000
Jake Marketo Dragons 2RF                150,000
Travis Robinson Storm CTR               150,000
Carlos Tuimavave Knights HLF/CTR               147,000
David Williams Sea Eagles WFB                147,000
Todd Lowrie Broncos 2RF                147,000
Beau Champion Eels CTR               146,000
Cameron King Cowboys HOK                146,000
David Hala Titans FRF               146,000
Mark Nicholls Raiders 2RF                146,000
Edrick Lee Raiders WFB               145,000
Nathaniel Neale Rabbitohs FRF/2RF               145,000
Frank Pritchard Bulldogs 2RF                144,000
Jack Buchanan Tigers FRF                144,000
John Palavi Warriors 2RF                144,000
Ben Murdoch-Masila Panthers FRF/2RF               142,000
Brendan Elliot Roosters CTR               142,000
Cameron Munster Storm WFB                142,000
Dominique Peyroux Warriors CTR               142,000
George Rose Dragons FRF                142,000
Jackson Hastings Roosters HLF                142,000
Patrice Siolo Sharks 2RF                142,000
Penani Manumalealii Sharks HLF                142,000
Tuimoala Lolohea Warriors HLF                142,000
Willis Meehan Roosters 2RF                142,000
Isaac John Panthers HLF                139,000
Sam Hoare Cowboys FRF                138,000
Brad Tighe Titans CTR/WFB               137,000
Charlie Gubb Warriors FRF                137,000
Dayne Weston Storm FRF/2RF               137,000
Heath L'Estrange Dragons HOK                137,000
James Hasson Sea Eagles 2RF                137,000
Jarrod Wallace Broncos FRF                137,000
Josh Drinkwater Tigers HLF                137,000
Justin Hunt Eels WFB                137,000
Kurt Baptiste Raiders HOK                137,000
Lachlan Coote Cowboys WFB               137,000
Lagi Setu Roosters 2RF                137,000
Lloyd Perrett Bulldogs FRF                137,000
Matthew Duffie Storm WFB                137,000
Nathan Green Dragons CTR               137,000
Sam Mataora Knights 2RF/FRF               137,000
Siliva Havili Warriors HOK                137,000
Slade Griffin Storm CTR               137,000
Tony Santini Sea Eagles CTR               137,000
Ben Spina Cowboys FRF                136,000
Blake Leary Sea Eagles 2RF                136,000
Brayden Wiliame Sea Eagles WFB/CTR               136,000
Brenden Santi Tigers 2RF                136,000
Felise Kaufusi Storm FRF                136,000
Francis Molo Broncos FRF                136,000
Jake Trbojevic Sea Eagles FRF                136,000
Kaysa Pritchard Eels HOK                136,000
Kelepi Tanginoa Cowboys 2RF                136,000
Michael Chee Kam Sea Eagles 2RF/CTR               136,000
Samisoni Langi Roosters HLF                136,000
Shaun Spence Panthers 2RF                136,000
Tyson Andrews Titans FRF                136,000
Zac Santo Cowboys WFB                136,000
James Gavet Broncos FRF               135,000
Tom Learoyd Lahrs Storm FRF                132,000
Aaron Gray Rabbitohs CTR               128,000
Abraham Papalii Roosters 2RF                128,000
Adam Tuimavave-Gerrard Dragons 2RF                128,000
Ajuma Adams Broncos FRF                128,000
Angus Crichton Rabbitohs CTR/2RF               128,000
Ashley Taylor Broncos HLF                128,000
Ben Musolino Sea Eagles 2RF                128,000
Chance Peni Tigers CTR               128,000
Chris Grevsmuhl Rabbitohs 2RF                128,000
Christian Hazard Titans HLF                128,000
Cody Walker Rabbitohs HLF                128,000
Dan Levi Knights HOK                128,000
David Bhana Warriors 2RF                128,000
Delroy Berryman Sea Eagles WFB                128,000
Ed Murphy Rabbitohs CTR/WFB               128,000
Eto Nabuli Dragons WFB                128,000
George Jennings Panthers CTR               128,000
Harlan Alaalatoa Bulldogs 2RF                128,000
Hezron Murgha Cowboys WFB                128,000
Hymel Hunt Storm CTR               128,000
Jack Bird Sharks CTR               128,000
Jack Ahearn Raiders WFB                128,000
Jamie Dowling Titans CTR/2RF               128,000
Jarrod McInally Bulldogs WFB                128,000
Javid Bowen Cowboys WFB                128,000
Jeff Lynch Raiders FRF                128,000
Joe Ofahengaue Broncos FRF                128,000
John Folau Eels CTR               128,000
Jonathon Reuben Roosters WFB                128,000
Joseph Ualesi Eels 2RF                128,000
Kodi Nikorima Broncos HLF                128,000
Lachlan Burr Titans 2RF                128,000
Leilani Latu Panthers FRF                128,000
Ligi Sao Sea Eagles 2RF                128,000
Luke Page Raiders FRF                128,000
Manaia Rudolph Sea Eagles HLF/CTR               128,000
Marmin Barba Broncos HLF                128,000
Michael Morris Sharks 2RF                128,000
Mitchell Cronin Raiders WFB                128,000
Mitchell Dodds Broncos FRF                128,000
Nathan Brown Tigers FRF                128,000
Nathaniel Peteru Warriors FRF                128,000
Paterika Vaivai Knights FRF                128,000
Patrick Kaufusi Cowboys FRF                128,000
Regan Campbell-Gillard Panthers FRF                128,000
Rhys Kennedy Raiders FRF                128,000
Richard Kennar Storm WFB                128,000
Rodney Coates Panthers FRF                128,000
Rory O'Brien Dragons FRF                128,000
Rulon Nutira Dragons FRF                128,000
Saulala Houma Sharks FRF                128,000
Shannon Wakeman Dragons FRF                128,000
Shaun Nona Storm HLF                128,000
Siosiua Taukeiaho Roosters 2RF/WFB               128,000
Solomone Kata Warriors CTR               128,000
Tyler Randell Knights HOK                128,000
Zac Strasser Broncos HLF                128,000
Wednesday, 21 January 2015 11:00

RFS Preview: HLF rookies and cheapies

Last season Ben Hunt went from an oft debated cash cow to a legit must-own gun. Is there a Ben Hunt in this crop of rookies and cheapies?

Note: Since this series of articles started the first fantasy prices of 2015 have been announced. They appear to represent a 16% increase in player value while the salary cap, if they continue to match it with the actual NRL salary cap, will see just a 4% increase in value. That means it will be harder to build a team of guns in 2015 than it was in 2014. This will be a response to complaints in 2014 when the cap went up higher than player values did. It's a good thing, it makes for more differentiation and increases the importance of developing a good team rather than just starting with one. 

If you need to know a players actual price then you can find them at this link.

If you have missed any articles in the series you can find the links here.

Thomas Leuluai

2015 Team

Warriors

Position

HOK/HLF

Games played

12

Ave Minutes

66

Fantasy average

22.50

PPM

0.34

Consistency

0.39

Price

199,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 17

After a disappointing 2014, riddled with more time on the sideline than on the paddock, it will be interesting to see what role he plays this year. I think McFadden would like to play him at stand-off but with an aging Nathan Friend, he might find himself spending time at hooker. Averaging a miserable 22, it will mean that with a decent pre-season, and free from injuries, he could be a potential cow. His starting price may be as low as $165k, so he would be worthwhile adding to the watch list and keeping a lazy eye on during pre-season.

 

Luke Keary

2015 Team

Rabbitohs

Position

HLF

Games played

9

Ave Minutes

72

Fantasy average

24.89

PPM

0.35

Consistency

0.36

Price

214,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

15, 18

Keary was a better player than his fantasy stats would suggest. The mini-Foran is well equipped to playing second fiddle to another player while picking and choosing where to make an impact, this is highlighted by his six try assists and seven line break assists in nine games at the end of 2015. He is off contract at the end of the season and although he’s likely to re-sign with the Rabbits he could be attractive to a number of teams.

 

Luke Brooks

2015 Team

Tigers

Position

HLF

Games played

21

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

24.95

PPM

0.31

Consistency

0.62

Price

221,000

Origin

Medium

Bye weeks

12, 18

The winner of the most over hyped rookie award in 2013 was Matt Moylan. He just was not as good as he was being out to be by the leagarrazi. But the following year Moylan rewarded the leagarazzi’s faith by being very good. The winner of the most over hyped rookie award in 2014 was Luke Brooks. Brooks had some wonderful moments but they weren’t that frequent, as he managed just 12 try assists and nine line breaks (zero try assists or line break assists in his last six games). His defensive frailties are fairly well known and are not a misconception; for players with more than 100 tackles nobody had a worse missed tackle rate than Brooks’ 34%. So although he has undeniable talent he still has a lot to improve upon. Will Brooks follow Moylan’s footsteps from overrated to correctly rated? Brooks was at his best while Braith Anasta was in the line-up so it is questionable he’ll handle all the responsibility of being paired with another inexperienced half partner. As a fantasy player he’s going to be a cheap option and one day he’ll probably turn into a gun, but it would be a bit of a risk to assume that is 2015.

 

Jackson Hastings

2015 Team

Roosters

Position

HLF

Games played

1

Ave Minutes

22

Fantasy average

12.00

PPM

0.55

Consistency

N/A

Price

142,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 17

The son of former Roosters legend Kevin Hastings, Jackson can play halfback, five-eighth and fullback, but his opportunity may present itself at hooker. With Jake Friend starting the year in the medical ward, Hastings could be in line to start the season on the interchange bench, rotating with Matt McIlwrick. He’s a very intriguing young player who could fill the Daniel Mortimer interchange/reserve grade role while continuing to develop. If an injury was to hit James Maloney or Mitchell Pearce or if one made it back to Origin, then Hastings could be a decent cash cow.

 

Luke Kelly

2015 Team

Eels

Position

HLF

Games played

6

Ave Minutes

76

Fantasy average

24.67

PPM

0.32

Consistency

0.30

Price

192,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

15, 18

Just two weeks after this article calling Luke Kelly no frills like it was a good thing, his job belonged to Chris Sandow. Kelly is one of those guys that has come to the dinner but he hasn’t brought a bottle of wine and his conversation is not interesting. There will always be room for those guys in NSW Cup or as short term injury replacements.

 

Kyle Stanley

2015 Team

Sharks

Position

HLF/CTR

Games played

9

Ave Minutes

29

Fantasy average

17.56

PPM

0.61

Consistency

0.61

Price

151,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

The Sharks have broadened their recruitment beyond Wests and into St George and Canterbury. These recruitment drives have yielded players like Kyle Stanley, Mitch Brown and Gerard Beale, so exciting times.

 

Mitchell Moses

2015 Team

Tigers

Position

HLF/WFB

Games played

10

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

19.10

PPM

0.24

Consistency

0.90

Price

169,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

12, 18

Moses appeared to be a better real life player than he was a fantasy player. He had one game with 62 points but in his other nine outings his high was just 28 points. A strong chance to start the year paired with schoolyard chum Luke Brooks and that combined with his price will make him a popular cash cow. I think he might be worth the dice roll but buyer beware: he played four games in the halves last season and averaged just 16 points per game.

 

Mitchell Cornish

2015 Team

Raiders

Position

HLF

Games played

8

Ave Minutes

39

Fantasy average

19.75

PPM

0.51

Consistency

0.83

Price

164,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14,17

It feels like a mediocre, rebuilding team should be loaded with cash cows but there is only one. Mitchell Cornish should be the best cash cow half of 2015. The only thing for fantasy owners to worry about is whether Ricky Stuart is a dick. I mean we know he is but will he be a dick in this instance? Cornish scored 39 and 50 in his two games at halfback and kicked for a massive 601m in round 26. Provided that Cornish isn’t paired with Sam Williams you can expect Cornish to do a mountain of kicking which should make him far more consistent than a player like Luke Brooks was last year. He should be in your team.

 

Carlos Tuimavave

2015 Team

Knights

Position

HLF/CTR

Games played

1

Ave Minutes

39

Fantasy average

20.00

PPM

0.51

Consistency

N/A

Price

147,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

14, 17

Tuimavave was signed from the Warriors to add depth to Newcastle's backline should injuries arise. While it is largely unknown what his actual position in the team is, it's rather likely that he'll see minutes in first grade at some point of the season. Not one for NRL Fantasy as his position is by no means guaranteed.

 

Samisoni Langi

2015 Team

Roosters

Position

HLF

Games played

1

Ave Minutes

7

Fantasy average

5.00

PPM

0.71

Consistency

N/A

Price

136,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 17

Langi was one of four Roosters youngsters that only played a solitary regular season game (the others being Jackson Hastings, Willis Meehan and Brendan Elliot). Langi’s seven minutes of game time was the second smallest amount of first grade action a player had last year (Taniela Lasalo had five minutes for the Eels). He’s stuck behind young players with a better pedigree.

 

Tuimoala Lolohea

2015 Team

Warriors

Position

HLF

Games played

3

Ave Minutes

26

Fantasy average

16.67

PPM

0.65

Consistency

1.29

Price

142,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 17

An undoubted talent, Andrew McFadden was so keen to get him experience he came off the interchange twice before starting on the wing. If the Chad continues to underperform, or injuries beset the Warriors, fantasy owners could very quickly take a liking to Tuimoala. An extended run in first grade will ensure that people learn how to say his name and potentially see a genuine cash cow emerge.

 

Josh Drinkwater

2015 Team

Tigers

Position

HLF

Bye weeks

12, 18

Price

137,000

After being crowded out of the Dragons’ halves Drinkwater took off to the London Broncos in 2014. It wasn’t a successful experience with the Broncos relegated to the second division amongst a run of historic thrashings. More than anything Drinkwater needed the game time and he got that by making 25 appearances and leading the Broncos in point scoring. He’s battling Mitchell Moses for the starting five eighth role.

 

Kodi Nikorima

2015 Team

Broncos

Position

HLF

Bye weeks

14, 17

Price

128,000

Nikorima will be one of the players seeking out the now vacant fullback position at the Broncos. He’s quick and immensely talented. A basement price starting fullback is hard to go past.

 

Kane Elgey

2015 Team

Titans

Position

HLF

Bye weeks

11, 17

Price

128,000

Elgey was the U20’s player of the year in 2014 so he has some pedigree. The Titans also have another promising young half in Christian Hazard but currently it is Elgey that is getting the newspaper clippings. 

 

Zach Strasser

2015 Team

Broncos

Position

HLF

Bye weeks

14, 17

Price

128,000

Strasser is a talented young half who is low in the pecking order.

 

Ashley Taylor

2015 Team

Broncos

Position

HLF

Bye weeks

14, 17

Price

128,000

Taylor is a talented young half who is low in the pecking order.

 

Blake Green

2015 Team

Storm

Position

HLF

Bye weeks

11, 17

Price

248,000

Green returns to the NRL hoping to fill the Storm’s troublesome five eighth position. He played 43 first grade games with the Eels, Sharks and Bulldogs before heading to Super League in 2011 where he has played for Hull and Wigan. Green won the Harry Sunderland Trophy in Wigan’s 30-16 Super League Grand Final against Warrington in 2013 so he's decent.

 

Ryan Matterson

2015 Team

Eels

Position

HLF

Bye weeks

15, 18

Price

128,000

Matterson is a player to watch. The Eels extended his contract for the next three seasons so they must believe. The five eighth is the captain of the Eels’ under 20 side and also represented the NSW under 20’s and Junior Kangaroos. Would need an injury to see game time in 2015 but if that happens look out.

 

Isaac John

2015 Team

Panthers

Position

HLF

Bye weeks

11, 14

Price

139,000

Isaac John made the leap from reserve grade to international league for the ANZAC Test in 2014. He would have got a decent run in first grade at the end of the year but unfortunately for him got a blew his achilles so Will Smith got the job instead.

 

Cody Walker

2015 Team

Rabbitohs

Position

HLF

Bye weeks

15, 18

Price

128,000

Walker was charged with a domestic violence assault in November. He’ll probably lose his contract if found guilty since that was what the Rabbitohs did to Kirisome Auva’a… Oh wait my mistake they started him all season. In that case mark Walker down as the round 1 starter.

 

Tyler Cornish

2015 Team

Roosters

Position

HLF

Bye weeks

11, 17

Price

128,000

The younger brother of Raiders halfback Mitch Cornish, Tyler is unlikely to see an NRL debut in 2015 but Trent Robinson hasn’t shied away from blooding youngsters in the past. Cornish has the potential to be an NRL calibre halfback but he’ll be battling the slightly older Jackson Hastings.

 

Shaun Nona

2015 Team

Storm

Position

HLF

Bye weeks

11, 17

Price

128,000

Another candidate to fill the Storm's stand-off spot but Nona is probably the outside contender. If he does make it to first grade people shouldn’t see too many dollar signs, Cooper Cronk is the definition of dominant halve with his partners often relegated to part time playmaker/willing defender which doesn’t make for a great fantasy output. Gareth Widdop was a low 30’s fantasy player in 2013 while the Hampton/Roberts combo was similar in 2014. Expect Nona to be a high 20’s player if he gets the role.

 

Te Maire Martin

2015 Team

Tigers

Position

HLF

Bye weeks

12, 18

Price

128,000

I don’t know much about Martin but he has a nice little youtube resume which also features fellow Tigers' youngster Lamar Liolevave. Martin led Keembra Park High School to the National title in 2013 and was a stand out in the Tigers’ NYC team in 2014.

 

Christian Hazard

2015 Team

Titans

Position

HLF

Bye weeks

11, 17

Price

128,000

Last pre-season Hazard was being talked up as a threat to Albert Kelly and Aiden Sezer. Unfortunately when the opportunity presented itself Hazard was also injured and never got that shot which instead went to half the Titans roster. Hazard is battling Kane Elgey for the right to be the first cab off the rank in 2015.

 

Tuesday, 20 January 2015 11:00

RFS Preview: HLF mid-rangers

Every year a half or five-eighth emerges from this group to be a bona fide fantasy star. Who's it going to be this year?

Note: Since this series of articles started the first fantasy prices of 2015 have been announced. They appear to represent a 16% increase in player value while the salary cap, if they continue to match it with the actual NRL salary cap, will see just a 4% increase in value. That means it will be harder to build a team of guns in 2015 than it was in 2014. This will be a response to complaints in 2014 when the cap went up higher than player values did. It's a good thing, it makes for more differentiation and increases the importance of developing a good team rather than just starting with one. 

 

If you have missed any articles in the series you can find the links here.

Jeff Robson

2015 Team

Sharks

Position

HLF

Games played

18

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

34.94

PPM

0.44

Consistency

0.44

Price

309,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

Robson played with four different halves partners in 2014; Todd Carney (six games), Fa’amanu Brown (eight games), Daniel Holdsworth (three games) and Luke Lewis (one game). What’s interesting is he had very different fantasy point averages with each partner; with Holdsworth it was 23, with Carney 34, with Brown 39 and Lewis 40. The difference between Robson’s scores playing with Brown and Lewis compared to the other two was mostly due to kick metres and the difference between Carney and Holdsworth was that Robson didn’t manage any attacking stats playing with Holdsworth. So what will new halves partner Benny Barba mean for Robson? He should look a lot more like the fantasy player who was paired with Brown than the others. At five eight Barba averaged just 71 kick metres per game so Robson will do almost all the kicking. But before you start thinking Robson is a great fantasy option for 2015 you have to remember he is priced as a player that averaged 35 points and nudging that average up five points isn’t going to make you a lot of money.

 

Aidan Sezer

2015 Team

Titans

Position

HLF

Games played

13

Ave Minutes

76

Fantasy average

38.08

PPM

0.50

Consistency

0.31

Price

337,000

Origin

Medium

Bye weeks

11, 17

Sezer destroyed TDC’s season in 2014 which was hilarious for us but devastating for the bearded one. Going into the season the bye focused fantasy players had their eye on two halfback options; Adam Reynolds or Aidan Sezer. It was a 50/50 call and sadly for those that went with /50 it did not work out well. Reynolds wasn’t great early but he still managed to average 15 points better than Sezer while avoiding injuries. Sezer didn’t avoid injuries, he was banged up from round 1 and ended up missing 11 games including the entire bye period. It doesn’t help TDC but the blessing is Sezer could represent outstanding value at his sub $300k price tag.

 

Blake Austin

2015 Team

Raiders

Position

HLF

Games played

19

Ave Minutes

66

Fantasy average

36.05

PPM

0.55

Consistency

0.39

Price

319,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14,17

Last season Austin played fullback, five eighth, halfback, centre and second row which are all positions the Raiders have a vacancy, and he could probably also play hooker as well. There is a lot of uncertainty on where Austin will play this season but five eighth with young Mitch Cornish is looking like it would make a lot of sense.  Austin is far too expensive to think of as a cash cow but he played six games at five eighth last season and averaged 45 fantasy points a game which is very solid. He’s a good ball runner able to regularly break tackles.

 

Chad Townsend

2015 Team

Warriors

Position

HLF

Games played

19

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

35.95

PPM

0.45

Consistency

0.31

Price

318,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 17

Chad cemented his journeyman status in 2014. After leading the 2013 Cronulla-Sutherland NSW Cup team to the premiership fantasy owners may have thought they had a point of difference. Playing second fiddle to SJ, Chad didn’t provide attacking statistics needed for a half to make him a keeper. If he does remain in the role he will need to shore up his defence, accept his role and be the best journeyman he can be. Honest toiler, prefer others.

 

Tyrone Roberts

2015 Team

Knights

Position

HLF

Games played

24

Ave Minutes

74

Fantasy average

33.71

PPM

0.46

Consistency

0.44

Price

298,000

Origin

Medium

Bye weeks

14, 17

Tyrone Roberts had a huge chance to stamp his spot as a genuine fantasy gun in the early stages of 2014, being the lone playmaker. However, he ultimately failed to provide the goods as Newcastle ran out to three losses on the trot to start the season. His position in the Newcastle squad still remains to be seen. While he is likely to start the season at halfback, Roberts impressed coming off the bench to play hooker at stages and may find himself in that position again at some point in 2015.

 

Benji Marshall

2015 Team

Dragons

Position

HLF

Games played

15

Ave Minutes

78

Fantasy average

35.33

PPM

0.45

Consistency

0.49

Price

313,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 14

Benji was gone. After his relationship with the Wests Tigers soured and his form hit an all-time low, Marshall left rugby league for union. After struggling to find his feet in his new sport the Dragons threw the former Kiwi captain a lifeline. A nightmare return against the Eels quickly faded from memory as the halfback put together consistently improving performances towards the end of the season. After a full off-season under his belt Benji is ready to keep building in the new year.

 

Chris Sandow

2015 Team

Eels

Position

HLF

Games played

21

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

39.19

PPM

0.49

Consistency

0.38

Price

347,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

15, 18

Like he does every year Sandow had people salivating early in the year when he scored 45 and 68 in his first two games. He managed to retain a solid level of scoring across his first ten games averaging 45.6 but over the next 11 games he only averaged 33.3. At Sandow’s price point he is only a worthwhile proposition if he turns into a fantasy gun but that doesn’t look like it will happen. Sandow finished the year with 296 points in negative plays which was the most in the NRL and until he can rid his game of some of those he’ll never be a reliable fantasy option.

 

Peter Wallace

2015 Team

Panthers

Position

HLF

Games played

14

Ave Minutes

75

Fantasy average

31.50

PPM

0.42

Consistency

0.44

Price

279,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

Wallace returned to the Panthers after spending six years with the Broncos. Unfortunately injuries cost him ten games and he missed the Panthers finals run. He’s very much the second playmaker behind Jamie Soward. Wallace was part of Scotland’s quarter final run at the RLWC, a tournament that will probably represent the last of his representative duties.

 

Fa’amanu Brown

2015 Team

Sharks

Position

HLF

Games played

11

Ave Minutes

76

Fantasy average

28.00

PPM

0.37

Consistency

0.35

Price

248,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

A touching video was circulated during 2014 of Nu Brown telling his parents he had been selected to play for Samoa. Unfortunately injury ruled him out of that game but he’ll likely get another chance with them some time soon. He’s a solid but unspectacular fantasy option.

 

Ben Hampton

2015 Team

Storm

Position

HLF

Games played

11

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

32.91

PPM

0.41

Consistency

0.60

Price

291,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 17

After a sensational round one performance it looked like Ben Hampton was primed to replace Gareth Widdop as the final piece of the Storm spine but he stuttered over subsequent weeks and lost his place. He’ll have every opportunity to re-assert himself as the Storm 6 now that Ben Roberts is gone and Joel Romelo is still a Hobbit but the way is not completely clear with the Storm also adding Blake Green. As a fantasy player he is substantially better when Cooper Cronk doesn’t play, averaging 44.8 without him and 23 with him.

 

Robert Lui

2015 Team

Cowboys

Position

HLF

Games played

23

Ave Minutes

73

Fantasy average

37.43

PPM

0.51

Consistency

0.38

Price

331,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14, 17

Lui is the reliable foil to the brilliance of Thurston. But, despite doing his job in 2014, he may be pushed out of the team for the return of Coote. In any case, he is not a great fantasy option, and will keep averaging in the mid-30s.

 

Daniel Mortimer

2015 Team

Titans

Position

HLF

Games played

19

Ave Minutes

54

Fantasy average

28.05

PPM

0.52

Consistency

0.56

Price

248,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 17

Morts was a godsend for many fantasy players last year. He transferred from the Roosters to the Titans to start in the halves, he was ridiculously cheap, he played the big byes and he delivered with an average just shy of 40. Mortimer also comes into 2015 under-valued, if his price was based just on his time at the Titans he would be valued at around $292k. It is also worth noting that while he was paired with his 2015 halves partner, Aiden Sezer, he averaged 38 so he should make a bit of money.

 

Sam Williams

2015 Team

Raiders

Position

HLF

Games played

4

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

33.75

PPM

0.42

Consistency

0.43

Price

245,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14,17

Williams returns to the Raiders after an aborted stay with the Dragons in 2014, along with a stint with Catalans where he played okay but still played second fiddle to Thomas Bosc. He managed to play four games for St George-Illawarra, averaging 33.8 fantasy points which isn’t dissimilar to the 36.67 he averaged in nine games with the Raiders in 2013. His main weapon is his big boot but if he gets paired with Cornish that’s a role Cornish can handle just fine.

 

Kieran Foran

2015 Team

Sea Eagles

Position

HLF

Games played

20

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

32.95

PPM

0.41

Consistency

0.50

Price

292,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 14

Foran is the epitome of a great player that makes for a mediocre fantasy player and just because he has name recognition you shouldn’t think he has value. Foran consistently averages in the low 30’s and you can be pretty sure he’ll do that again in 2015. Foran’s value to the Sea Eagles is significantly more than his value to your fantasy team. Like his halves partner, Daly Cherry-Evans, Foran will be signing a big new contract in 2015 and if that contract isn’t with the Sea Eagles then expect dark times on the Northern beaches.

 

Will Smith

2015 Team

Panthers

Position

HLF

Games played

6

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

26.83

PPM

0.34

Consistency

0.29

Price

209,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

Insert Fresh Prince of Bel Air joke here. Hilarious right? You’re welcome.

 

Ben Barba

2015 Team

Sharks

Position

HLF

Games played

24

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

30.42

PPM

0.38

Consistency

0.45

Price

269,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

Broncos’ fans have a bad tendency to lust after any and every top Queensland player available, and sometimes not available, on the market so there is something deeply satisfying about seeing Ben Barba become a spectacular bust. One of Barba’s strengths with the Bulldogs was his ability to run off blockbusting forwards but the Broncos just didn’t have those sort of players, sure Corey Parker offloads a lot but he only had five line break assists all year. That makes the Sharks a pretty interesting destination for Barba because the Sharks do have some forwards that could help Barba rediscover his abilities. Barba sounds like he will be playing five eighth and his splits with the Broncos suggest he’s got the same fantasy value regardless of position, he averaged 30 at five eighth and 31 at fullback.

 

Corey Norman

2015 Team

Eels

Position

HLF

Games played

24

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

32.21

PPM

0.40

Consistency

0.39

Price

285,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

15, 18

For a player that played every minute of the Eels’ season Corey Norman was pretty anonymous, he just does his job and keeps out of your consciousness. I literally can’t think of a thing to say about him.

 

Moses Mbye

2015 Team

Bulldogs

Position

HLF/HOK

Games played

8

Ave Minutes

77

Fantasy average

26.88

PPM

0.35

Consistency

0.29

Price

224,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

12, 17

Mbye burned the bye prepared fantasy owners with an injury in round 11. That was a real shame because he looked really good in the game scoring 42 points. He ended up starting games at centre, halfback, five eighth and the grand final at hooker while also coming off the interchange once. He’ll be expected to be Origin cover for Trent Hodkinson and Josh Reynolds this year but he could also find his versatility rewarded with a bench spot. That’ll be a tragedy for the fantasy prospects of Michael Lichaa.

 

Beau Henry

2015 Team

Dragons

Position

HLF

Games played

3

Ave Minutes

56

Fantasy average

29.00

PPM

0.52

Consistency

0.64

Price

203,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

What an unfortunate story Beau Henry is, heralded as the ‘next big thing’ after a Holden Cup season that won him player of the year for the Dragons in 2009. After almost signing with the Cowboys, Wayne Bennett convinced Henry to stay, only to punt him 12 months later. Henry signed on with the Newcastle Knights and made his debut the next year; Bennett followed, and punted him again. After an unsuccessful stint at the Titans, Henry has returned to where it all started.

Monday, 19 January 2015 11:00

RFS Preview: HLF Guns

Similar to the gun hookers the gun halves have lots of quality options. A Dally M winner or a Golden Boot winner. A premiership winner or an Origin star. Lots of choices to sort through.

Note: Since this series of articles started the first fantasy prices of 2015 have been announced. They appear to represent a 16% increase in player value while the salary cap, if they continue to match it with the actual NRL salary cap, will see just a 4% increase in value. That means it will be harder to build a team of guns in 2015 than it was in 2014. This will be a response to complaints in 2014 when the cap went up higher than player values did. It's a good thing, it makes for more differentiation and increases the importance of developing a good team rather than just starting with one. 

If you have missed any articles in the series you can find the links here.

Shaun Johnson

2015 Team

Warriors

Position

HLF

Games played

21

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

54.81

PPM

0.69

Consistency

0.32

Price

485,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 17

His undeniable talent has often not added up to fantasy dominance. 2014 proved to be a breakthrough year with him averaging 54.8 points and leading the Kiwis to a dominant end of year Four Nations tournament. Most people will be locking him in as a fantasy must! With improved goal kicking, less missed tackles and taking the role of dominant half while not having to worry about origin you should consider seriously having the fleet of foot SJ as one of your starting halves. A constant complaint in the past is his lack of consistency, however, in a six week spell he never scored less than 55 and over a 10 week spell only once dipped below 52. Myth Busted!

 

Ben Hunt

2015 Team

Broncos

Position

HLF

Games played

24

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

57.79

PPM

0.72

Consistency

0.28

Price

511,000

Origin

Moderate

Bye weeks

14, 17

Ben Hunt was the best buy of 2014, but won’t start 2015 at such an attractive price. In 2014 he was the only playmaking option, and dominated the kicking. A new look Broncos spine means the equation has changed. Will he reach the same heights?

 

Daly Cherry-Evans

2015 Team

Sea Eagles

Position

HLF

Games played

21

Ave Minutes

78

Fantasy average

51.52

PPM

0.66

Consistency

0.30

Price

456,000

Origin

High

Bye weeks

11, 14

DCE’s 2015 season could easily end up being over shadowed by the breathless speculation over his contract status and that’ll only get worse the deeper into the season it remains unresolved. The contract will likely be the richest in NRL history and the lucky suitor will be getting a 25 year-old player ready to enter his prime. His fantasy status wasn’t quite so rosy as he dropped from the number one HLF in 2013 down to seventh in 2014. His range of scores were far more inconsistent in 2014 but that can at least in part be explained by the number of injuries he carried throughout the year.  

 

Adam Reynolds

2015 Team

Rabbitohs

Position

HLF

Games played

23

Ave Minutes

78

Fantasy average

53.83

PPM

0.69

Consistency

0.25

Price

476,000

Origin

Moderate

Bye weeks

15, 18

Reynolds will likely be a popular fantasy player as the Rabbitohs again get favourable fantasy bye weeks. His fantasy scores were a touch inconsistent and he had a knack for getting banged up but he still finished ranked as the fourth highest scoring fantasy HLF and two of the players ahead of him won’t be available in 2015 (Cam Smith who surely won’t be DPP and Jarryd Hayne who’ll be entering an NFL training camp). Reynolds will probably be paired up with Luke Keary all season after seeing some time with Dylan Walker and John Sutton in 2014. Reynolds averaged 44 in four games with Reynolds, 53 in 14 games with Sutton and 61 in six games with Keary. The difference between Reynolds’ average and playing with Keary was almost entirely down to kick metres, he had 304m per game without Keary and 390m per game with him.

 

Johnathan Thurston

2015 Team

Cowboys

Position

HLF

Games played

22

Ave Minutes

79

Fantasy average

54.64

PPM

0.69

Consistency

0.29

Price

484,000

Origin

Certain

Bye weeks

14, 17

JT is a god, and we should just be thankful that we can hang out in his world. Many coaches will be locking JT into their team as a gun half. But, only the smart coaches will know that JT is a volatile player, and once bought, must be kept. Small scores will be followed by mammoth efforts, and it is always just after you sell him that he tears the Raiders apart. In 2013, his opening score was 2 points, and not hampered by injury. 2014 saw a much more reliable JT take the field, with only 3 scores below 40. But, a round 26 score of 20 must have pissed off some H2H coaches.

 

Jarrod Mullen

2015 Team

Knights

Position

HLF

Games played

16

Ave Minutes

78

Fantasy average

49.31

PPM

0.64

Consistency

0.33

Price

436,000

Origin

Medium

Bye weeks

14, 17

Coming off a fantastic season both form and fantasy wise in 2013, Mullen was unable to reach the same heights in 2014. After being injured at the Nines, Mullen, who was predicted to be one of the highest scoring halves never truly recovered from that injury. With a whole off season under his belt, Mullen should be back to his high scoring ways of 2013, with the addition of being undervalued in comparison to his scoring ability.

 

Cooper Cronk

2015 Team

Storm

Position

HLF

Games played

18

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

48.11

PPM

0.61

Consistency

0.28

Price

426,000

Origin

Certain

Bye weeks

11, 17

Cronk averaged 53.7 points prior to round 21, I got him in round 22 and from that point he averaged just 37 *sigh*. Pretty much everything about his post Origin game was worse than pre Origin; he averaged five less tackles per game, kicked for 100m less per game, had less try assists per game….. This post-Origin decline wasn’t something Cronk experienced in 2013, in fact he finished that year quite strong, so it isn’t clear if this is the start of something or just a one year fluke, keep it at the back of your mind.

 

James Maloney

2015 Team

Roosters

Position

HLF

Games played

24

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

43.00

PPM

0.54

Consistency

0.33

Price

381,000

Origin

Moderate

Bye weeks

11, 17

Maloney had a down season in 2014, as if losing his Origin place to Josh Reynolds wasn’t bad enough he also dropped from fantasy HLF elite into a level occupied be Chris Sandow and Jamie Soward. Not a good year. He could be a nice risky/high upside play but if you were feeling like that sort of move you might be better off going with Aiden Sezer. He’s probably just an injury or two away from an Origin recall.

 

Mitchell Pearce

2015 Team

Roosters

Position

HLF

Games played

23

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

42.43

PPM

0.53

Consistency

0.38

Price

375,000

Origin

Moderate

Bye weeks

11, 17

The much reviled Mitchell Pearce finally relinquished his hold on the Blues number 7 jersey and lo and behold the Blues win an Origin series. People are never going to be fair to Pearce but he actually played pretty well once he lost his Origin place scoring five tries, setting up 14 and committing just seven errors in the 14 games after he was dumped. Josh Reynolds is always on the cusp of doing something stupid so Pearce’s Origin days may not be over.

 

Jack Littlejohn

2015 Team

Sea Eagles

Position

HLF

Games played

5

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

45.60

PPM

0.57

Consistency

0.16

Price

343,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

I was not on board with Littlejohn’s cash cow prospects because I felt his first up score wasn’t sustainable and his playing window would close quickly. He was quick to prove that score was sustainable and injuries gave him another couple of games to really rub it in. This year he is over-priced while sitting behind the best halves combo in the NRL so he shouldn’t be on your fantasy radar.

 

Trent Hodkinson

2015 Team

Bulldogs

Position

HLF

Games played

21

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

43.14

PPM

0.54

Consistency

0.34

Price

382,000

Origin

High

Bye weeks

12, 17

Hodkinson had a breakout season in 2014 being a part of the Blues Origin series win while also being integral to the Bulldogs Grand Final run. He was a much less effective fantasy and real life player after Origin, part of that was niggly injuries but that is what you get when you’re an Origin player. Hodkinson is actually off contract after this season but to date his contract status hasn’t attracted anywhere near the chatter of Cherry-Evans, Foran or Adam Reynolds. Hodkinson is a professional and off the field so it seems unlikely he’ll have a dramatic fall off in 2015 but his year will be judged on whether the Blues can repeat and whether the Bulldogs can go one better.

 

Josh Reynolds

2015 Team

Bulldogs

Position

HLF

Games played

15

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

40.80

PPM

0.51

Consistency

0.30

Price

361,000

Origin

Certain

Bye weeks

12, 17

Yes, Josh Reynolds is a massive grub but grubs are part of the essence of rugby league. We all need players to hate and that is what Josh Reynolds is. He’s the heir apparent in grubbiness to Michael Ennis which is a big responsibility, but one he can probably live up to. Reynolds injured his shoulder during the Grand Final and is likely to miss big chunks of the pre-season, he had the same injury last year and was ready to go for round 1 so expect him to be good to go this year too.

 

Gareth Widdop

2015 Team

Dragons

Position

HLF

Games played

24

Ave Minutes

80

Fantasy average

41.96

PPM

0.52

Consistency

0.38

Price

371,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 14

The England international had arguably his best year in the Red V last season. Finishing fourth in Dally M voting and taking the lead role in the halves after previously living in the shadow of Melbourne Storms ‘big three’. With four different halves partners for the season, Widdop will be looking forward to some consistency since Benji Marshall joined to club halfway through 2014.

 

Jamie Soward

2015 Team

Panthers

Position

HLF

Games played

23

Ave Minutes

78

Fantasy average

41.22

PPM

0.53

Consistency

0.42

Price

365,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

Soward was inspirational for the Panthers in 2014 putting his messy divorce with the Dragons behind him. Coach Ivan Cleary released Soward in ways that Steve Price never could at the Dragons and it led to Soward recapturing vintage form. Soward carried a huge playmaking burden with the Panthers and that increased once Peter Wallace got injured and the youngster Will Smith came into the side, Soward revelled in that burden and took the Panthers to the brink of the Grand Final. He’s a polarising figure but his value in 2014 can’t be denied.

Monday, 19 January 2015 11:00

RFS Preview: HOK Rookies and Cheapies

With the salary cap situation as it is, Fantasy owners will have to find real value, and they might be able to find it among this group of players. 

Note: Since this series of articles started the first fantasy prices of 2015 have been announced. They appear to represent a 16% increase in player value while the salary cap, if they continue to match it with the actual NRL salary cap, will see just a 4% increase in value. That means it will be harder to build a team of guns in 2015 than it was in 2014. This will be a response to complaints in 2014 when the cap went up higher than player values did. It's a good thing, it makes for more differentiation and increases the importance of developing a good team rather than just starting with one. 

If you have missed any articles in the series you can find the links here.

Matt McIlwrick

2015 Team

Roosters

Position

HOK

Games played

7

Ave Minutes

40

Fantasy average

24.71

PPM

0.62

Consistency

0.41

Price

199,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 17

With Jake Friend likely to miss the start of the season, Matt McIlwrick could shape as a decent early season cash cow. Playing around 60 minutes a game he should be able to average around 40 points, which if Friend is out long enough, will net you about $115k. McIlwrick played a bit of hooker and a bit of second row and like many before struggled to develop under the super coach Ricky Stuart. It’ll be very interesting to see what he can do with his opportunity in 2015.

 

Cameron King

2015 Team

Cowboys

Position

HOK

Games played

2

Ave Minutes

34

Fantasy average

16.50

PPM

0.49

Consistency

0.47

Price

146,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14, 17

King is one of three hookers competing for a starting role. The kid is immensely talented, and would be a great option if he locks down the 60 minute starting hooker role. Fantasy coaches will be watching the trials and team lists closely to see how King, Kostjasyn and Granville fit into one or two hooker positions.  

 

Adam Clydsdale

2015 Team

Knights

Position

HOK

Games played

21

Ave Minutes

39

Fantasy average

26.14

PPM

0.68

Consistency

0.40

Price

231,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14, 17

One of the game’s most promising young talents should see a definite increase in minutes in season 2015. After spending much of 2014 coming off the bench, he secured a starting position for much of the end of the season as the Knights finished off a poor season strongly. There's a definite potential if he starts getting big minutes as he is a Cameron Smith style work horse with plenty of attacking prowess.

 

Jake Granville 

2015 Team

Cowboys

Position

HOK

Games played

8

Ave Minutes

24

Fantasy average

22.75

PPM

0.93

Consistency

1.11

Price

189,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14, 17

Every fantasy coach with hopes of performing well will be hoping that A) Granville will be an 80 minute player B) He takes his form from the Broncos with him C) Fanhub give him dual position WFB again. With a points per minute of an off the charts 0.933, his prospects for owners are juicy. In the two games McCullough was injured he played 58 and 65 minutes, and scored a healthy 61 and 63 points. Jake Granville could potentially be the 2015 version of James Segeyaro. The main concern for Granville will be staying out of bars and not going for late night drives with James Tamou. You heard it here first; he will be a cash cow special!

 

Matt Srama

2015 Team

Titans

Position

HOK

Games played

6

Ave Minutes

42

Fantasy average

26.17

PPM

0.63

Consistency

0.31

Price

204,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 17

Srama has had an interesting off-season. First he was devastated to be unwanted by the Titans just a few months after signing a contract extension. Then he signed for the Roosters with the intention to fill in for Jake Friend who isn’t going to be ready for the start of the season. Then he had a contract dispute with the Titans who were refusing to make a pay-out. Then he backed out of his deal with the Roosters. Then he went back to the Titans. So Srama is the real life embodiment of TDC’s Paul Gallen related fantasy moves.

 

Siliva Havili

2015 Team

Warriors

Position

HOK

Games played

6

Ave Minutes

21

Fantasy average

15.17

PPM

0.72

Consistency

0.26

Price

137,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

11, 17

At 21 years of age and with an international cap under his belt, Havili possesses a bright future. With Nathan Friend acting as the teacher, Siliva will be an attentive pupil. Unfortunately his chances will be limited. If a major injury were to strike Friend, then fantasy coaches will be working out if the $100-160k profit is worth a trade or two. Keep a sneaky eye on him.

 

Kurt Baptiste

2015 Team

Raiders

Position

HOK

Games played

5

Ave Minutes

30

Fantasy average

14.40

PPM

0.48

Consistency

0.78

Price

137,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14,17

The Raiders started about seven different hookers last season but Baptiste could only get five games from the bench. He did re-sign for another two years so maybe he could get a run if Ricky Stuart can finally see that Josh McCrone offers negative value.

 

Damien Cook

2015 Team

Bulldogs

Position

HOK

Games played

2

Ave Minutes

44

Fantasy average

24.50

PPM

0.56

Consistency

1.36

Price

165,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

12, 17

Cook had the second worst consistency rating in 2014 with his two games returning 1 and 48 fantasy points. That’ll happen when you get 80 minutes one game and 7 in the other.  He’s reserve grade fodder unless something ill happens to Michael Lichaa.

 

Heath L’estrange

2015 Team

Dragons

Position

HOK

Games played

5

Ave Minutes

23

Fantasy average

14.60

PPM

0.63

Consistency

0.31

Price

137,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

Another interesting off-season acquisition by the Saints, the journeyman L’estrange made a name for himself in the NRL after debuting with the Roosters and getting a premiership at Manly before a successful stint in the UK with the Bradford Bulls. The third specialist hooker at the Dragons may struggle to get a run in the NRL, but brings a lot of experience to the position with youngsters Rein and Garvey.  

 

Kaysa Pritchard

2015 Team

Eels

Position

HOK

Games played

1

Ave Minutes

12

Fantasy average

1.00

PPM

0.08

Consistency

N/A

Price (2014 $’s)

107,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

15, 18

Injury cost Pritchard a big opportunity during 2014. When Nathan Peats went down injured at mid-season Pritchard would have been primed to slip into his starting role, but unfortunately Pritchard was himself already injured forcing the Eels to look to Isaac de Gois. It is unclear how Peats, Pritchard and IDG will co-exist in 2015 but you would have to think Pritchard is at the bottom of the pecking order. Pritchard is still young, he got injured playing for the NSW U20 Origin side, so he’ll get another opportunity sometime but it might need to happen someplace else. 

 

Kierran Moseley

2015 Team

Titans

Position

HOK

Games played

1

Ave Minutes

46

Fantasy average

~32

PPM

0.69

Consistency

N/A

Price

186,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 17

Moseley made his NRL debut with the Panthers in round 25. He wasn’t even included in NRL Fantasy but if he was he would have scored about 32 points in 46 minutes of play starting at hooker. Matt Srama coming back to the Titans after appearing to defect to the Roosters will hurt Moseley’s opportunities.

 

Kris Keating

2015 Team

Dragons

Position

HOK/HLF

Bye weeks

11, 14

Price

239,000

Keating is a very interesting signing for the Dragons after coming home from an ill-fated stint for UK Super League club Hull KR. After previous three year stints with Parramatta and Canterbury, the ‘energy ball’ half will be in competition with Henry for the backup half role. If anything, Keating will be a big part of a formidable Illawarra Cutters line up for 2015.

 

Chad Redman

2015 Team

Knights

Position

HOK

Bye weeks

14, 17

Price

128,000

Chad Redman impressed for Newcastle in the 2014 preseason, however was not given adequate time to perform in first grade in the actual NRL season. Redman, if he manages to grab a starting spot may be worth a look at in your fantasy team.

 

Manaia Cherrington

2015 Team

Tigers

Position

HOK

Bye weeks

12, 18

Price

128,000

The Captain of the Tigers’ NYC side, Cherrington was named to the NYC team of the year in 2014. He’s a possibility for some game time when Robbie Farah is on Origin duties.

Sunday, 18 January 2015 11:00

RFS Preview: HOK mid-rangers

Lots of mid-range players are mid-range for a reason - they aren't very good. But there is at least one pretty good prospect in this group. I'll give you a clue; it isn't Glen Buttriss.

Note: Since this series of articles started the first fantasy prices of 2015 have been announced. They appear to represent a 16% increase in player value while the salary cap, if they continue to match it with the actual NRL salary cap, will see just a 4% increase in value. That means it will be harder to build a team of guns in 2015 than it was in 2014. This will be a response to complaints in 2014 when the cap went up higher than player values did. It's a good thing, it makes for more differentiation and increases the importance of developing a good team rather than just starting with one. 

If you have missed any articles in the series you can find the links here.

Isaac de Gois

2015 Team

Eels

Position

HOK

Games played

20

Ave Minutes

62

Fantasy average

30.75

PPM

0.49

Consistency

0.43

Price

259,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

15, 18

IDG made a mid-season switch to the Eels from the Sharks when Nathan Peats went down injured. He proved to be capable of big minutes when the opportunity presented itself but the return of Peats likely pushed him to the bench or back down to NSW Cup.

 

Kurt Gidley

2015 Team

Knights

Position

HOK/WFB

Games played

23

Ave Minutes

65

Fantasy average

38.13

PPM

0.59

Consistency

0.40

Price

337,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14, 17

On his day Gidley was one of the more consistent and high scoring fantasy players in the game. With the increasing likelihood of Gidley to capture the starting fullback for 2015, he is actually a legitimate prospect. The only risk you run with having Gidley in your side is the injury crisis he seems to experience every year. It's a risk that could pay off however, as Gidley will be underpriced for a fullback with great upside should he manage to stay fit.

 

Apisai Koroisau

2015 Team

Panthers

Position

HOK

Games played

13

Ave Minutes

38

Fantasy average

32.85

PPM

0.87

Consistency

0.36

Price

291,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

Koroisau was an automatic choice for all the poor suckers that started the season with Isaac Luke at hooker, and he did the business by making over $100k. Moving to the Panthers he finds himself behind James Segeyaro with the real intrigue being does behind me behind on the interchange or behind in reserve grade?

 

Michael Lichaa

2015 Team

Bulldogs

Position

HOK

Games played

15

Ave Minutes

42

Fantasy average

29.47

PPM

0.70

Consistency

0.29

Price

261,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

12, 17

Lichaa will find himself on a lot of fantasy teams come round 1. As the replacement for Michael Ennis he has the opportunity to play big minutes provided he can keep Moses Mbye off the interchange bench. Including Mbye on the bench would lead to a change in Des Hasler’s bench composition and with the Bulldogs army of hulking forwards that could be something Des is loathe to do. Though it is a little tricky to judge Lichaa’s ceiling people shouldn’t presume he will be a gun hooker, his PPM looks more like Mitch Rein and Nathan Friend than Andrew McCullough and Jake Friend. He’ll definitely make you some money though.

 

Josh Hodgson

2015 Team

Raiders

Position

HOK

Bye weeks

14,17

Price

336,000

Fresh off smashing the door down in a student flat in Dunedin (and making his international) debut Hodgson joins the Raiders as the probably starting hooker unless Ricky Stuart wants to continue with the spine wackiness. His 123 games for Hull in the SuperLeague are probably enough to make his price much to high to be worth looking at for fantasy, remember Scott Moore?

 

Jayden Hodges

2015 Team

Sea Eagles

Position

HOK

Games played

2

Ave Minutes

44

Fantasy average

30.00

PPM

0.68

Consistency

1.04

Price

202,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

Sea Eagles’ fans got a taste of life after Matt Ballin thanks to a late season injury and it actually tasted pretty good. Hodges was a solid defender who was capable of adding spark from dummy half. Hodges might be a good cash cow if something were to befall Ballin in 2015, although it is hard to establish what minutes Geoff Toovey would give him. He was good in 80 minutes in round 26 but saw his minutes slashed in half in both the finals losses and Toovey favoured second rower Justin Horo to start at hooker in the Bulldogs game.

 

Cameron McInnes

2015 Team

Rabbitohs

Position

HOK

Games played

7

Ave Minutes

39

Fantasy average

27.57

PPM

0.70

Consistency

0.28

Price

222,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

15, 18

The Junior Kangaroo played well in 2014 when he was part of the package to replace an injured Isaac Luke. With Api Koroisau now in Penrith McInnes moves to number two on the depth chart.

 

Craig Garvey

2015 Team

Dragons

Position

HOK

Games played

1

Ave Minutes

57

Fantasy average

32.00

PPM

0.56

Consistency

N/A

Price

207,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

After a controversial year following some trouble in the courts, Garvey will be out to prove a point in 2015. Shane Pumipi and Kyle Stanley are no longer with the club, leaving the former U20s NSW representative to fight it out with Heath L’estrange for the bench utility role. An injury to incumbent Mitch Rein will throw Garvey in the deep end and turn him into a very handy cash cow for anything long term.

 

Glen Buttriss

2015 Team

Raiders

Position

HOK

Games played

24

Ave Minutes

52

Fantasy average

36.88

PPM

0.71

Consistency

0.23

Price

326,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14,17

The biggest achievement by Glen Buttriss in 2014 was providing the inspiration to the 10th overall fantasy team, RNGD In The Buttriss.

 

Beau Falloon

2015 Team

Titans

Position

HOK

Games played

23

Ave Minutes

57

Fantasy average

28.65

PPM

0.50

Consistency

0.35

Price

254,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 17

I am against scraping the City v Country rep game. I don’t think I could bear to live in a world where journalists use a few crappy quotes from a mediocre city or country player to spin a story around how close they are to playing Origin when we all know they don’t have a shit show. Here’s the Beau Falloon version from last year. But I’ll save you the click and take you straight to the punch line, “City hookerBeau Falloon says the Titans saved him from park football and now he is ready to press his claims for a NSW jersey.” Don’t ever change City v Country.

 

Rory Kostjasyn

2015 Team

Cowboys

Position

HOK

Games played

23

Ave Minutes

51

Fantasy average

28.43

PPM

0.56

Consistency

0.34

Price

252,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14, 17

Kostjasyn is a utility player, which means he should not be in your fantasy team. If he locks down the starting hooker or half spot, then you should think about it, and then probably pass.

 

Travis Waddell

2015 Team

Broncos

Position

HOK

Games played

10

Ave Minutes

38

Fantasy average

27.10

PPM

0.71

Consistency

0.38

Price

240,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14, 17

The only reason you should care about Waddell is if he is selected on the bench. In which case, you still don’t buy him, but you should be wary of buying McCullough.

 

Joel Luani

2015 Team

Tigers

Position

HOK

Games played

6

Ave Minutes

49

Fantasy average

28.00

PPM

0.57

Consistency

0.23

Price

218,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

12, 18

Luani filled in for Robbie Farah on six occasions although he never played more than 63 minutes in any of those games. He was serviceable, but he isn’t going to be pushing for an expanded role anytime soon.

 

Ray Thompson

2015 Team

Cowboys

Position

HOK/HLF

Games played

20

Ave Minutes

46

Fantasy average

29.45

PPM

0.63

Consistency

0.44

Price

261,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14, 17

Thompson played 20 games last year, at half, hooker and off the interchange. Low minutes and a PPM of 0.6 left him with an average less than 30. Fundamentally, Thompson needs a major change in role to be viable in NRL fantasy, and with the purchase of Granville and return of Coote, he will be getting that role change soon…in QLD Cup.

 

Josh McCrone

2015 Team

Raiders

Position

HOK/HLF

Games played

24

Ave Minutes

60

Fantasy average

29.33

PPM

0.49

Consistency

0.42

Price

260,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

14,17

Resident Raiders fan Matthew Duggan is not a fan of McCrone’s but I think he’s too close to the situation. Sure McCrone is a liability in defence but he also commits a lot of errors. And yes I acknowledge he provides next to no threat running the ball but he’s also a mediocre distributor. And although I admit he gives away too many penalties he also keeps talented young players in NSW Cup so they can flee to better teams at the first opportunity. Duggan sees the swings but entirely misses the swings.  

 

Pat Politoni

2015 Team

Sharks

Position

HOK

Games played

10

Ave Minutes

39

Fantasy average

30.00

PPM

0.77

Consistency

0.57

Price

265,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

Coming into the season as the Sharks fourth string hooker Politoni wouldn’t have expected to play 10 games let alone start four of them. He’ll find himself as the number two hooker to start 2015 but will need an injury to 80 minute man Michael Ennis to get game time. 

Sunday, 18 January 2015 11:00

RFS Preview: HOK Guns

In past years the common strategy was to load up on a pair of gun hookers, ideally Cam Smith and Robbie Farah, and ride them to victory. With the changes in the pricing and cap structure this year (see below) and the apparent number of under valued hookers that strategy could change this year. Even with a possibly injured CS9 there is no shortage of gun hookers; from the established greatness of Robbie Farah, to the dynamic play of James Segeyaro, the consistency of Andrew McCullough or the potential value in Isaac Luke or Nathan Peats. Let's take a look.

Note: Since this series of articles started the first fantasy prices of 2015 have been announced. They appear to represent a 16% increase in player value while the salary cap, if they continue to match it with the actual NRL salary cap, will see just a 4% increase in value. That means it will be harder to build a team of guns in 2015 than it was in 2014. This will be a response to complaints in 2014 when the cap went up higher than player values did. It's a good thing, it makes for more differentiation and increases the importance of developing a good team rather than just starting with one.

If you have missed any articles in the series you can find the links here.

James Segeyaro

2015 Team

Panthers

Position

HOK

Games played

22

Ave Minutes

66

Fantasy average

50.59

PPM

0.76

Consistency

0.38

Price

448,000

Origin

Medium

Bye weeks

11, 14

Segeyaro really broke out in 2015. In round 9 he emerged as the 80 minute starter in Penrith and from that point on he was the hottest player in fantasy averaging 60.36 points a game. He’s underpriced due to his time on the bench so if he can keep the newly acquired Api Koroisau in reserve grade he will be fantasy gold.

 

Robbie Farah

2015 Team

Tigers

Position

HOK

Games played

18

Ave Minutes

79

Fantasy average

66.39

PPM

0.84

Consistency

0.21

Price

588,000

Origin

High

Bye weeks

12, 18

Farah was the highest averaging fantasy player in 2014 averaging 66.4 in his 18 games, but despite holding the number one ranking his season had three distinct phases. Phase one was the first six weeks of the season when Farah came out of the blocks hot averaging 76 points a game while passing 75 three times, including a high of 104. At the end of this 100 point game Farah got injured. He came back for round 10 to prove his fitness for Origin, he was fit, but he was no help for fantasy players as during the bye period he played just three games and averaged 64.7. After Origin Farah played all nine games and averaged just 60.6 with a high of 75 and a low of 42. Farah being a fast starter and slow finisher goes beyond just 2014 as he displayed a similar trend in 2013. The question on Farah probably isn’t should you get him it is should you get him back after Origin? 

 

Andrew McCullough

2015 Team

Broncos

Position

HOK

Games played

22

Ave Minutes

75

Fantasy average

59.05

PPM

0.78

Consistency

0.22

Price

523,000

Origin

Medium

Bye weeks

14, 17

Macca is the third best fantasy hooker, behind Smith and Farah. In 2014, good coaches predicted a breakout year and were rewarded. However, 2015 sees a new coach and new roster. When Macca plays 80 he is a beast, when he doesn’t he is solid, but not exceptional. His ability to sniff out a try can get him big scores. Pay close attention to the Broncos bench to see if Macca will continue his rise in 2015.

 

Cameron Smith

2015 Team

Storm

Position

HOK

Games played

22

Ave Minutes

79

Fantasy average

65.77

PPM

0.84

Consistency

0.15

Price

582,000

Origin

Certain

Bye weeks

11, 17

CS9 is a first ballot fantasy immortal. He has been one of the best players in fantasy since fantasy was invented and that was no different last season where he once again finished with more points than anyone else. What is really incredible is his week to week consistency. He has a co-efficient of variation score of 0.15 which puts him as easily the most consistent gun in fantasy. You know when you have CS9 he’s going to deliver. However, he’s likely to miss the start of 2015 following surgery and his scheduled return of round four could cause fantasy owners some headaches on when to get the legend back in; immediately or after Origin?

 

Jake Friend

2015 Team

Roosters

Position

HOK

Games played

21

Ave Minutes

66

Fantasy average

53.86

PPM

0.81

Consistency

0.26

Price

477,000

Origin

Medium

Bye weeks

11, 17

Jake Friend was a bit of a tease in 2014, just as you think he’s setting himself up to be an 80 minute hooker he has a 60 minute game and disappoints everyone. He ended up playing 80 minutes on six occasions, averaging 68.7 fantasy points compared to 47.9 in the games he didn’t play 80 minutes. It was almost like Trent Robinson added a back-up hooker to the bench because he couldn’t find any better ideas on how to fill the last interchange spot. Former Raider Matt McIlwrick will be the threat to Friend becoming an elite fantasy player in 2015. Friend will miss the start of the season as he recovers from injury but could be good as Origin cover.

 

Nathan Friend

2015 Team

Warriors

Position

HOK

Games played

24

Ave Minutes

71

Fantasy average

44.71

PPM

0.63

Consistency

0.27

Price

396,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 17

A player who plays tough, and has the heart of a warrior, he averaged 44.7, seemingly all made from his 1,073 tackles. His output will be limited with future planning taking place, seeing him playing reduced minutes. His career appeared done mid-2014, averaging single digits in running meters and being a one dimensional tackling machine. He rallied late in the season using the element of surprise to score a try or two and, unbelievably, having a try assist from a cross field bomb.  In horse racing parlance he would be summed up as an honest toiler, prefer others. With that said he did out average Matt Ballin and Nathan Peats!

 

Nathan Peats

2015 Team

Eels

Position

HOK

Games played

10

Ave Minutes

76

Fantasy average

41.80

PPM

0.55

Consistency

0.46

Price

370,000

Origin

Medium

Bye weeks

15, 18

Peats had a very good first season with the Eels until injuries finished his year in round 12. He got a lot of Origin chatter early in the year when it looked like Robbie Farah would miss game one, and although he isn’t going to push Farah he’ll continue to be mentioned as a potential understudy. It wouldn’t be a surprise to see Peats and another 24 year-old, Andrew McCullough, filling the Origin rake roles whenever Farah and Smith hang up the boots. For fantasy he won’t come cheaply and people should be mindful of that fact he had three crapper games in his ten appearances, one of which was injury impacted, but it also wouldn’t be a shock to see him push himself into keeper territory.

 

Isaac Luke

2015 Team

Rabbitohs

Position

HOK

Games played

16

Ave Minutes

72

Fantasy average

45.25

PPM

0.63

Consistency

0.33

Price

400,000

Origin

Zero

Bye weeks

15, 18

Luke put a lot of fantasy seasons into turmoil with his 18 in round 2, followed by an injury in round 3. Once he returned from injury and got his old role back he actually produced at the level many expected, averaging 52.6 over the last eight weeks. He should be able to have similar production in 2015 and at about $340k this means he is over $50k under-valued making him an intriguing prospect. He does have a bit of risk with the developing Cameron McInnes waiting in the wings and the capability to score an 18 at any time but it would be silly not to have him on your radar.

 

Matt Ballin

2015 Team

Sea Eagles

Position

HOK

Games played

23

Ave Minutes

78

Fantasy average

43.43

PPM

0.56

Consistency

0.22

Price

384,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

Ballin had the third highest tackle count finishing just short of 1,000 tackles on the year. The fact that his fantasy points also finished just short of 1,000 are a good illustration of how he does his fantasy scoring. You can expect the same in 2015, he will be consistent but safely in the second tier of hooking options. His contract is up at the end of the 2015 season and whether he gets an extension will give us a good feel for how the Sea Eagles feel about potential cash cow Jayden Hodges.

 

Michael Ennis

2015 Team

Sharks

Position

HOK

Games played

24

Ave Minutes

78

Fantasy average

42.17

PPM

0.54

Consistency

0.27

Price

373,000

Origin

Low

Bye weeks

11, 14

The writing was on the wall for Ennis when Michael Lichaa signed with the Bulldogs and after a brief flirtation with the Raiders (never do anything more than flirt with Ricky Stuart), Ennis joined the Sharks. He’s a really interesting signing and joins Andrew Fifita, Paui Gallen, Luke Lewis and Wade Graham in forming one of the better forward packs around, a pack which if healthy, could see the Sharks make a push for the top eight in 2015. Good luck with staying healthy though.

 

Mitch Rein

2015 Team

Dragons

Position

HOK

Games played

22

Ave Minutes

68

Fantasy average

47.45

PPM

0.70

Consistency

0.20

Price

420,000

Origin

Medium

Bye weeks

11, 14

Rein simply did not live up to expectations in 2014. While his fantasy numbers continue to impress when he plays 80 minutes, lingering injuries, a lack of spark out of acting half and some poor middle defensive plays meant the Dragons persisted with a bench hooker for the main part of the year. With young gun Craig Garvey back on deck this year, Rein will be pushed all the way for his minutes in 2015. 

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