RFS Bosses: Round 20

20 July 2017
Written By: 

It is over. And it seems fitting that a popular, but not overwhelmingly so, player would put in the best fantasy effort we have ever seen. Nathan Cleary’s 126 was a phenomenal performance. A three try, two try assist, two line break, one line break assist was beefed up by 10 points from goals and another 24 from kicking metres. It was an out of this world performance.

We’re going to cover a bit on the bye period but first we’ll cover the usual stuff on the top 5000.

The top 5,000

First the weekly average scores at various ranking intervals:

Rank

Ave Score

1

           991

Top 100

           959

Top 500

           928

Top 1,000

           913

Top 1,500

           904

Top 2,000

           897

Top 2,500

           891

Top 3,000

           885

Top 3,500

           880

Top 4,000

           877

Top 4,500

           873

Top 5,000

           870

It is easy to forget that this was a bye round. Most people easily fielded a decent 17 and that led to some massive scores. It is probably an early sign of things to come as the next three or four weeks are likely to be the biggest scoring rounds of the year as people round out their final sides, and before injuries kick in.

Rank

Points behind 1st Round 18

Points behind 1st Round 19

1

0

0

100

509

482

500

845

865

1,000

1048

1091

1,500

1188

1234

2,000

1287

1340

2,500

1372

1438

3,000

1449

1519

3,500

1515

1594

4,000

1583

1657

4,500

1637

1717

5,000

1690

1777

The Top 18 teams are currently separated by less than 180 points while the top 7 are split by less than 75 points. It is really unusual that there would be so many teams still in the running. Last season the top 7 sides were separated by 154 points and the top 18 by 290 points, while in 2015 the top 7 were split by 146 points and the top 18 by 233. We don’t know how many trades everyone has but this could be a very interesting end to the season.

Bosses’ Performances

The Bosses averaged 918 points but there was a bit of a split with four Bosses scoring over 1k, with a high of 1,035, while another four Bosses scored less than 850 and one of those managed just 762.

Here’s where the Bosses are ranked:

Rank

Round 19

Round 18

Top 100

5

5

Top 1,000

10

10

Top 2,000

14

14

Top 5,000

15

15

No change here although there were a couple of Bosses who moved up into the top 500 and should be in for a strong run home.

Captain choices

With a lot of people having a surplus of players there were only two loopholes this week. One Boss looped Gallen and the other looped de Belin. The rest of the captains were Taumalolo (6), Mannering (3), Gallen (2), Trbojevic (1) and Taupau (1).

The Bye Rounds

13 of the 15 Bosses improved their position during the bye period and both of the Bosses that didn’t improve lost less than 50 places. But there were two stand out Bosses that scored over 300 points more than the next best Boss. These two Bosses had a lot of volume (93 and 95 players) but they also had a lot of quality with the 2nd and 4th best average per player among the Bosses. Obviously quantity and quality is best. Here is all the teams:

Team

Total Points

Players Used

Ave

Trades Used

Rank change

Rank % change

Team 1

4987

93

        53.62

15

687

97%

Team 2

4965

95

        52.26

15

606

94%

Team 3

4617

84

        54.96

17

3517

88%

Team 4

4583

88

        52.08

16

147

68%

Team 5

4573

92

        49.71

17

26

21%

Team 6

4543

87

        52.22

17

6094

90%

Team 7

4514

87

        51.89

14

-45

-145%

Team 8

4485

88

        50.97

15

857

75%

Team 9

4460

87

        51.26

16

2380

84%

Team 10

4445

92

        48.32

13

1158

66%

Team 11

4341

82

        52.94

13

3239

75%

Team 12

4284

88

        48.68

13

3634

65%

Team 13

4256

82

        51.90

18

1763

57%

Team 14

4068

77

        52.83

11

-19

-1%

Team 15

3748

77

        48.68

13

2819

38%

Average

4458

86.6

51.49

       14.87

1791

67%

So, even the teams that weren’t that great managed to increase their ranks by quite a bit. The teams that were strong managed to make some huge gains, this really illustrates the potential gains from some planning (and a bit of good fortune) during this time of the year.

It is interesting to note that the team that used the most number of trades was well down the list. Trades isn’t really a telling factor because we aren’t considering the trades in the weeks leading up to the byes. In this case those 18 trades still only got to 82 players, that’s a combo of low numbers coming in but also a bit of bad luck with injuries and a little bit of poor trading.

The average scoring by the Bosses was up almost 100 points compared to last year which is almost entirely due to there being 86.6 players this year compared to 85 last year (the average per player was 51.49 this year and 51.34 last year). Last year the average rank improvement was 43% compared to 67% this year. Finally, the gap between the top and bottom teams widened this year. This year the top team scored 4,987 and the bottom team scored 3,748, last year the top team scored 4,723 and the bottom team 3,823.

Trades

Four Bosses didn’t trade this week. All of them could field a 17 and probably felt they would hold off adding final pieces until this week. Two Bosses traded once and the rest used both trades.

Here’s the trades remaining for all the Bosses:

Remaining Trades

Bosses

2

2

3

3

4

5

5

2

6

2

7

1

With players like SJ, Merrin and Reynolds dropping this week it could be an ominous sign of the post Origin injury carnage we experienced a couple of seasons ago are back.

Here’s the list of players traded out:

Player

Trade outs

Bromwich

3

McGuire

2

Elliot

2

Radradra

1

Harris

1

Crichton

1

MWZ

1

S Mata’utia

1

RTS

1

Graham

1

Suli

1

Gutherson

1

Friend

1


The only surprising thing here is Crichton but it is important to remember that Crichton was at his peak value and is almost certain not going to return the level of points his price commands. If trading him now allows you to get a similar level of player for a lot less while also grabbing a gun in another spot it is a defensible move. We’ll see how it plays out though.  

Here is the list of trade-ins:

Player

Trade ins

Fifita

4

Isaako

4

Papalii

2

Tedesco

2

Vaughan

1

Taumalolo

1

Olam

1

Mannering

1

McCullough

1

Nothing out of the ordinary there.

Composite Team

The composite team scored 997 which in part made up for a terrible week in round 18. It has moved back inside the top 1k.

 

This side has a real problem that can come from just trying to maintain the popular players in other people’s teams. It has 17 decent players (though I’d be concerned about Fuimaono’s minutes to rely on him) but too many of those players are WFBs and there is a lack of DPP flexibility to cover spots. Grabbing a second HOK will be important. At the moment the second most popular HOK is Andrew McCullough although I wonder if CS9 will come back into a few teams. There is also a need for a HLF replacement for Shaun Johnson and I might do this by moving Munster to HLF and grabbing Tom Trbojevic to play CTR. Trbojevic is only in five teams but with Fuimaono trending downwards and Scott not picked (quietly I think his scoring will probably dry up anyway – he’s not Mark friggin Gasnier!) Trbojevic might be a safe option at CTR.

Players used

Here’s the full list of the players used by the Bosses filtered by position.

Row Labels

Sum of Count

2RF

90

May

1

Burgess

14

Crichton

14

de Belin

9

Fai

1

Fualalo

1

Fuimaono

1

Gallen

13

Harawira-Naera

1

Kaufusi

1

L Brown

3

Mannering

7

Merrin

5

Papalii

2

Taumalolo

12

Toomaga

1

Trbojevic

1

Wallace

2

Whitehead

1

CTR

60

Beale

1

Cotric

2

Croker

1

Fine

1

Fuimaono

14

H Hunt

1

Hayne

7

Isaako

2

Kelly

1

L Brown

5

Leilua

3

Mata'utia

2

Moga

1

Scott

9

Suli

1

Toomaga

1

Trbojevic

5

Whare

3

FRF

60

Bromwich

1

Brown

1

Collins

1

Fai

3

Fifita

8

G Burgess

3

Hoare

1

James

3

Jensen

5

Kaufusi

2

Matagi

1

McGuire

1

N Brown

8

Papalii

3

Perrett

1

Taupau

14

Tolman

2

Vaughan

2

HLF

60

Cherry Evans

2

Cleary

8

Croft

1

Feeney

2

Field

5

Fogarty

1

Gutherson

1

Hampton

1

Johnson

14

Laybutt

2

Lolohea

2

Munster

7

Nicholl-Klokstad

1

Nu Brown

7

Reynolds

4

Walker

1

Watson

1

HOK

30

B Smith

1

Brailey

1

Farah

1

Hampton

1

King

3

McCullough

5

McInnes

14

Smith

3

Watson

1

WFB

75

Abbey

4

Brimson

1

Burns

1

Drew

1

Edwards

15

Fogarty

1

Hayne

4

Isaako

2

Mansour

6

Mata'utia

6

Munster

2

Olam

2

Phythian

1

Radradra

4

Sami

1

Slater

1

Tedesco

2

Tuivasa-Sheck

8

Walker

10

Watene Zelezniak

1

Whare

1

Zillman

1

Grand Total

375

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Renegade Analytics Department

The Renegade Analytics Department (RAD) is made up of Steve Nicholls, formerly known as the Renegade Rookie, who having proved himself has finally been given his own department and office in the basement. RAD will provide a deeper insight into sport and fantasy by crunching the numbers. Steve Nicholls is a semi-pro writer/fantasy sports player, willing to give any sport a chance though his love lies with cricket, American football, league, union and ice hockey.

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